CFACT presents four
inconvenient facts about global warming at COP 21 display December 4, 2015 by CFACT
Ed, 126
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CFACT has participated in the UN
climate process going back to the original Rio Earth summit. We are an
officially recognized NGO observer at COP 21. CFACT’s display is in the NGO
pavilion at booth 37c.
We used our space to inject four
“inconvenient facts” into the COP. They are the kind of rock solid, 100%
scientifically valid points that leave the warming-indoctrinated spluttering.
Here they are:
INCONVENIENT
FACTS: TEMPERATURE
“The troposphere has not warmed as
fast as almost all climate models predict.” “After 1998, the observations are
likely to be below the simulated values, indicating that the simulation as a
whole are predicting too much warming.” – Remote Sensing
Systems
“Satellite analysis of the upper
atmosphere is more accurate, and should be adopted as the standard way to
monitor global temperature change.” – NASA, April, 1990
There is a “robust” cosmic
ray-global temperature relationship… and thus provide further corroboration of
the solar/cosmic ray theory of climate of Svensmark et al. – National Academy of
Sciences of the United States of America,
Aug 2015
“Assuming the proposed cuts are
extended through 2100 but not deepened further, they result in about 0.2°C less
warming by the end of the century compared with our estimates. – Massachusetts
Institute of Technology, Energy and
Climate Outlook, 2015
“Using the peer-reviewed climate
model MAGICC, I estimate the marginal impact of carbon reduction promises
called INDCs (Intended Nationally Determined Contributions) from the EU, USA,
China and the rest of the world, along with the likely global policy output. My
major finding is that the total effect is very small: less than 0.05°C
difference by the end of the century.” – Global
Policy, Nov. 2015
All
countries’ commitments from Paris = less than 0.05°C difference by the end of
the century.
“Tide gauge records along coastlines
provide evidence that mean sea levels (MSLs) have risen since the late
nineteenth century with globally averaged rates of 1.33–1.98 mm per year… There
has been “underestimation of possible natural trends of up to ~1 mm per year
erroneously enhancing the significance of anthropogenic footprints.”
– University of Siegen, Nature Communications, July, 2015
– University of Siegen, Nature Communications, July, 2015
“According to the new analysis of
satellite data, the Antarctic ice sheet showed a net gain of 112 billion tons
of ice a year from 1992 to 2001. That net gain slowed to 82 billion tons of ice
per year between 2003 and 2008.”
“Antarctica is not currently
contributing to sea level rise, but is taking 0.23 millimeters per year away,”
– NASA
“Global sea level is less sensitive
to high atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations than previously thought.”– Stanford, Geology, August, 2015
Island nations not sinking. “No
islands have been lost, the majority have enlarged, and there has been a 7.3%
increase in net island area over the past century (A.D. 1897–2013). There is no
evidence of heightened erosion over the past half-century as sea-level rise
accelerated. Reef islands in Funafuti continually adjust their size, shape, and
position in response to variations in boundary conditions, including storms,
sediment supply, as well as sea level. Results suggest a more optimistic
prognosis for the habitability of atoll nations.” Geology, March, 2015
“The global population of polar bears is about 26,000 bears.
This is up 1,000 bears from 2014. Estimations are between 25,000- 30,000
bears globally.” – International
Union for Conservation of Nature
“Arctic sea ice is increasing, with
the extent of ice at the highest it has been since 2004.– Denmark
Ocean and Ice Services
“Arctic sea ice persisted in the
James and Hudson bays well into August of 2015. it was reported that the worst
mid-summer ice conditions in 20 years was preventing the routine delivery of
supplies by ship.” – NASA
“Sea ice in at least three Eastern
Canadian polar bear subpopulations was well above normal for 2015.” – Canadian
Ice Services
Arctic sea ice is up by at least a
third after a cool summer in 2013. “It would suggest that sea ice is more
resilient perhaps,” says Rachel Tilling, University College London.” – The
Guardian, July 2015
Extreme weather is historically normal
“We have identified considerable
inter-annual variability in the frequency of global hurricane landfalls,” the
authors state, “but within the resolution of the available data, our evidence
does not support the presence of significant long-period global or individual
basin linear trends for minor, major, or total hurricanes within the period(s)
covered by the available quality data.” – Journal
of the American Meteorological Society,
July 2012
“There is not enough evidence at
present to suggest more than low confidence in a global-scale observed trend in
drought or dryness (lack of rainfall) since the middle of the 20th century. - IPCC
5th Assessment Report
“There is low confidence in any long
term increases in tropical cyclone activity … and low confidence in attributing
global changes to any particular cause.” Any increased hurricane damages “have
not been conclusively attributed to anthropogenic climate change; most such
claims are not based on scientific attribution methods.” There is “low
confidence” for trends on tornadoes, and “the evidence for climate driven
changes in river floods is not compelling.” - IPCC
5th Assessment Report
“When closely examined there appears
to be no increase in extreme weather events in recent years compared to the
period 1945–77, when the Earth’s mean temperature was declining. The global
warming/extreme weather link is more a perception than reality (Khandekar et
al. 2005). The purported warming/extreme weather link has been fostered by
increased and uncritical media attention to recent extreme weather events. The
latest IPCC documents appear to de-emphasize the warming/extreme weather link
by suggesting ‘low confidence’ in linking some of the events to recent warming
of the climate.” - The
Global Warming Extreme Weather Link,
GWPF, 2013
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