Democrats Aren’t Going to Like This Latest Presidential Poll, By Philip Hodges June
29, 2016
In a new Quinnipiac University poll, the two presumptive nominees are in a statistical tie. Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 42% to 40%.
The Quinnipiac University poll surveyed 1,610 likely voters from June 21st through the 27th, with a margin of error of ± 2.4%.
Even with third party candidates included in the poll,
Clinton still only leads Trump by 2 percentage points, 39% to 37%. Libertarian
Party nominee Gary Johnson polls at 8%, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein
polls at 4%.
This Quinnipiac University poll differs from other recent
polls which have Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump by several percentage
points.
Last month, an NBC News/Wall Street
Journal poll was
released showing Clinton besting her Republican rival by three points, 46% to
43%.
In a Washington
Post/ABC News poll
conducted from June 20th through the 23rd, Clinton had a
double-digit lead. She led Trump 51% to 39%. The Washington Post headline said
that support for Trump had “plunged.”
But this Quinnipiac University poll seems to have reversed
that trend slightly in Trump’s favor. It’s entirely possible that the UK’s
declaration of independence from the EU is having an impact on the presidential
race here.
[Read Related Article: What the UK’s Exit from the EU Means for Trump]
The percentage gap between Clinton and Trump may continue
to narrow as more of Hillary
Clinton’s emails are leaked,
even some she deleted:
Judicial Watch today released 165 pages
of new State Department records that include a previously unreleased March 22, 2009, email of former Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton revealing that she was concerned about how her records were
being handled and had “no idea how my papers are treated at State. Who
manages both my personal and official files?” Clinton top aide Huma
Abedin responds: “We’ve discussed this” and promises to explain it again.
This is the fifth set of records produced to Judicial Watch by the State
Department (from the non-“state.gov” email accounts of Huma Abedin) that
contain Hillary Clinton emails that were not produced by the State Department
as part of the 55,000 pages of emails that Hillary Clinton turned over to the
State Department.
It remains to be seen whether Hillary Clinton’s email
controversy and FBI investigation will have any effect on her support come this
November.
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