Cook County lost more population
than any other county in the United States from July 2015 to July 2016,
according to a new data release from the U.S. Census Bureau. Cook County shrank by 21,324 people.
The county had more births than deaths and gained 18,434 people from
international immigration. However, Cook County had a net loss of 66,244 people
to other parts of the United States, which more than offset the components of
population growth.
In fact, most of Illinois is
depopulating – 93 of Illinois’ 102 counties are experiencing net out-migration,
and 89 of Illinois’ 102 counties have shrinking populations. Illinois’
dysfunctional government, weak job creation, and ever-increasing tax burden
help explain why. A Paul Simon Public Policy Institute poll released in October
2016 found that taxes were the No. 1 reason people want to leave Illinois.
Welfare impoverishes society and
socialism fails every where it is tried. Remember to thank a Democrat! Posted
by Herman Talmadge III, New Georgia Republican facebook. See below:
Cook County
Illinois Suffers Largest Population Drop In Entire US | Zero Hedge, by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com, posted by Tyler Durden, 3/18/17
Illinois voters are voting with their feet. Not only are people scrambling to get out of Cook
County, but the entire state is suffering. Illinois
Policy Institute writer Michael Lucci explains in this guest post on Cook County Migration. Cook County has Largest Population Loss
of Any County in U.S.
Cook
County lost more population than any other county in the United States from
July 2015 to July 2016, according to a new data release from the U.S. Census Bureau.
Cook
County shrank by 21,324 people. The county had more births than deaths and
gained 18,434 people from international immigration. However, Cook County had a
net loss of 66,244 people to other parts of the United States, which more than
offset the components of population growth.
However,
the people leaving Cook County aren’t showing up in other parts of Illinois
when the net movements of people are considered. In fact, most of Illinois is
depopulating – 93 of Illinois’ 102 counties are experiencing net out-migration,
and 89 of Illinois’ 102 counties have shrinking populations.
Illinois’
dysfunctional government, weak job creation, and ever-increasing tax burden
help explain why. A Paul Simon Public Policy Institute poll released in October
2016 found that taxes were the No. 1 reason people want to leave Illinois.
Cook, DuPage, Lake, Kane, McHenry, Will
counties see net out-migration to other parts of the U.S.
The
major driver of Cook County’s shrinking population is that the county’s
domestic migration losses have doubled over the last five years, while
international gains have remained flat and gains from more births than deaths
have declined.
The
flow of people out of Cook County did not result in net in-migration for the
collar counties. Cook County’s net out-migration of 66,244 people was followed
by net out-migration of 9,171 people from DuPage; 5,179 from Lake; 1,824 from
Kane; 1,589 from McHenry; and 1,253 from Will. Kendall County is the nearest to
Cook to have net inflows, with Kendall gaining 553 more people than it lost to
other parts of the country.
The
out-migration from Cook, DuPage, Lake and McHenry counties was large enough to
make all those counties shrink in total population. Kane County and Will County
managed to have population gains despite their out-migration problems.
It
should worry policymakers in Chicago and Cook County that out-migration and
population loss were already so strong in the July 2015 – July 2016 timeframe.
That’s because Chicago and Cook County’s major property and sales tax hikes had
not yet taken effect at the time of this out-migration. When those tax hikes
are in place, the Chicago area will likely lose more population due to
taxation. And the economic effects of increased taxation will be felt a few years
later, with fewer jobs and economic growth than would have occurred without the
tax hikes. Population loss in the Chicago area is likely to get worse.
Not just the collar counties: All of
Illinois is seeing population losses The problem is
not just with Cook and the collar counties: The majority of Illinois counties
are shrinking. Eighty-nine of Illinois’ 102 counties are shrinking in total
population. Northeast Illinois is shrinking most in terms of total population,
but many downstate counties are shrinking and seeing more out-migration as a
percentage of population. For example, Rock Island and Peoria counties both
have more out-migration as a percentage of population than Cook County.
Most
of Illinois’ metropolitan statistical areas are also shrinking due to large
migration losses to other parts of the country, with only Elgin and Champaign
showing slow population growth. The Chicago metro division saw a net migration
loss of nearly 78,000 people, driving a population decline of more than 19,000 people
for the Chicago metro division.
Elgin
had net migration losses to other parts of the country. However, Elgin’s
population growth is attributable to an unusually high birth rate and a solid
gain of international immigrants. Champaign similarly relies on international
immigration to avoid a shrinking population size. Champaign showed a large gain
from international immigration, likely a flow of international students to the
University of Illinois.
The
U.S. Census Bureau’s report does not come as a surprise, but it should serve as
a warning to state and local governments. Illinois is depopulating, and no area
is immune from its effects. Downstate communities are especially stressed due
to the loss of manufacturing jobs and other blue-collar industries. And the
Chicago area is likely to face additional stress as nearly $2 billion dollars in tax hikes are phased in over the next few years.
Lawmakers
can take on two key measures to give taxpayers hope. The first is to freeze
property taxes statewide so Illinoisans can feel secure in their homes. The
second is to pass a balanced budget without any tax increases to give residents
confidence that lawmakers can rein in out-of-control spending and not
repeatedly hit up taxpayers for more of their hard-earned dollars.
Before
considering any more tax increases, policymakers statewide should consider the
sobering reality of how quickly people are leaving the state. Michael Lucci Mish Getaway
People
keep asking “When are you leaving?” Rest assured plans are in progress and have
been for some time. But some people are stuck here. Others want to be here for
personal reasons even though they are fed up with the state of affairs.
IPI Push
1.
Give Illinoisans much-needed
property tax relief
2.
Consolidate Illinois’ many layers of
duplicative government
3.
Cut burdensome regulations to
attract businesses and jobs to Illinois
The
Illinois Policy Institute is fighting on your behalf every day in Springfield.
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