By BLS 1/7/25
The BLS has reduced the number
of jobs reported in 2024 by another 589,000. 7,982,000 were lost from 2021 to
2024.
The DOGE Team needs to look at this at the Department of Labor and fix it.
The BLS has reduced the number of US jobs reported from April 2023 to March 2024 by 818,000. When spread through the prior year, the average monthly job gain from April 2023 through March 2024 was 173,500 versus nearly 242,000, an analysis of BLS data shows. The downward adjustments were limited to the private sector, with nearly half in the professional and business services industry (revised down by 358,000, or 1.6%.) Other sectors showing large negative swings included the information industry (down 68,000, or 2.3%), leisure and hospitality (down 150,000, or 0.9%) and manufacturing (down 115,000, or -0.9%).
This report is preliminary and will be revised. This report counts the additions to payroll on ADP and others that offer payrolling services. These numbers will be compared with payroll tax receipts received in 30 days from all employers and revised. The estimates released by the Labor Department on Wednesday — after an uncharacteristic delay of more than half an hour — are preliminary and will not be finalized until February 2025.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/21/economy/bls-jobs-revisions/index.html
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
The average work week dropped
from 34.3 to 34.2 hours in July 2024.
Job openings decreased in August
from 8.184 million to 7.67 million
Job openings increased in July
2024 from 8.14 million to 8.184 million
Job openings increased in June
2024 from 8.06 million to 8.14 million.
Job openings decreased in May
2024 from 8.1 million to 8.06 million.
Job openings decreased in April
from 8.75 million to 8.1 million.
Job openings decreased in March
2024 from 8.86 million to 8.75 million.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
Jobs restored in 2021 from the
Covid years were 7.2 million.
Jobs created in 2022 were 4.5
million.
Jobs created in 2023 were 3.1
million. rev to 2.282 million.
The report shows jobs over stated
in 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024 by month:
153,000 in December 2024
227,000 in November 2024
12,000 in October 2024
254,000 in September 2024
142,000 in August 2024 rev to
144,000
114,000 in July 2024 rev to
89,000
206,000 in June 2024 rev to
145,000
272,000 in May 2024 rev to 218,000
175,000 in April 2024 rev to
165,000
303,000 in March 2024 rev to
310,000
275,000 in February 2024 rev to
270000
353,000 in January 2024 rev to
229000
Total 1,426,000
158,000 in December 2023 rev to
290000
199,000 in November 2023
150,000 in October 2023
336,000 in September 2023
187,000 in August 2023
187,000 in July 2023
185,000 in June 2023 rev dn 24000
314,000 in May 2023 rev dn 25000
253,000 in April 2023 rev dn
818,000
236,000 in March 2023
311,000 in February 2023
517,000 in January 2023
3,033,000 in 2023
-1,700,000 layoffs
1,333,000 jobs
223,000 in December 2022
263,000 in November 2022
261,000 in October 2022
263,000 in September 2022
315,000 in August 2022
528,000 in July 2022
372,000 in June 2022
390,000 in May 2022
428,000 in April 2022
431,000 in March 2022
678,000 in February 2022
467,000 in January 2022
4,620,000 in 2022
-1,760,000 layoffs
2,860,000 jobs
199,000 in December 2021
210,000 in November 2021
531,000 in October 2021
194,000 in September 2021
235,000 in August 2021
943,000 in July 2021
850,000 in June 2021
559,000 in May 2021
278,000 in April 2021
785,000 in March 2021
379,000 in February 2021
49,000 in January 2021
5,212,000 in 2021
-1,300,000 layoffs
3,912,000 jobs
12,855,000 total 2021-2024
-19,430,000 layoffs
-6,575,000 jobs -818,000 rev
-7,393,000 -589,000 = -7,982,000
BLS Jobs Report January 2025
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 143.000 in January 2025, down by 113,000 jobs from 256,000 in December 2024. Unemployment declined from 4.1% to 4.0%. Job gains occurred in health care, retail trade, and social assistance. Employment declined in the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction industry.
The number of unemployed persons decreased from 7.0 million to 6.8 million in January 2025.
Long Term Unemployment decreased from 1.6 million to 1.4 million in January 2025.
The Labor Participation rate moved from 62.5% to 62.6% in January 2025.
There were 5.5 million actively seeking jobs.
Health care jobs increased by 44,000 in January 2025 and is well above February 2020 levels.
Retail trade rose 34,000 jobs in January 2025. Retail jobs are down by 100,000 since February 2020
Government jobs increased by 32,000 in January 2025 and is above February 2020 levels.
Social Assistance jobs rose by 22,000 in January 2025.
Mining, Oil and Gas Extraction jobs decreased by 8,000 in January 2025 did not increase in October, November or December 2024.
Employment showed little change
over the month in other major industries, including
construction, manufacturing,
wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing, information,
financial activities,
professional and business services, leisure and hospitality, and other
services.
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf
Comments
This is the worst government report on the planet. Job numbers are not accurate and are repeatedly revised after the damage has been done. BLS needs AI to scan databases. Jobs added are estimates based on ADP data, but these are then revised by Quarterly Tax Filings.
The US Jobs deficit was 9.5 million in January 2021. This is the shortfall between jobs held in February 2020.
Over 16 million illegal immigrants entered the US since January 2021. I expect they will take government welfare in addition to jobs where they can be supervised by bi-lingual illegals in jobs that don’t require English and drug cartel jobs. Over 4 million legal immigrants arrive each year and 2 million US students graduate each year.
The US Labor Force Participation
Rate 2021-2024
62.5 December 2024
62.5 November 2024
62.6 October 2024
62.7 September 2024
62.7 August 2024
62.7 July 2024
62.6 June 2024
62.5 May 2024
62.7 April 2024
62.7 March 2024
62.5 February 2024
62.5 January 2024
62.5 December 2023
62.8 November 2023
62.7 October 2023
62.8 September 2023
62.8 August 2023
62.6 July 2023
62.6 June 2023
62.6 May 2023
62.6 April 2023
62.6 March 2023
62.5 February 2023
62.4 January 2023
60.1 December 2022
62.1 November 2022
62.2 October 2022
62.3 September 2022
62.4 August 2022
62.1 July 2022
62.2 June 2022
62.3 May 2022
62.2 April 2022
62.4 March 2022
62.3 February
62.2 January 2022
61.9 December 2021
61.8 November 2021
61.6 October 2021
61.6 September 2021
61.7 August 2021
61.7 July 2021
61.6 June 2021
61.6 May 2021
61.7 April 2021
61.5 March 2021
61.4 February 2021
61.4 January 2021
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/labor-force-participation-rate
US
Layoffs by Year
2023 194,000
2022 93,000
2021 10,353,000
Total 10.640.000
https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2022/article/job-openings-and-quits-reach-record-highs-i
Jobs 2021-2024
Jobs restored 12,686,000
Job Lay-offs 10,640,000
Jobs created 2,046,000 rev – 818,000 = 1,228,000
The BLS has reduced the number
of jobs reported in 2024 by another 589,000. 7,982,000 were lost from 2021 to
2024.
12,855,000 total 2021-2024
-19,430,000 layoffs
-6,575,000 jobs -818,000 rev -7,393,000 -589,000 = -7,982,000
Comments
The 12,686,000 Jobs restored are off-set by the 10.640,000 Job Lay-offs to have 2.046.000 Jobs created in 2021 to 2023 minus 818,000 puts Jobs created at 1,228,000.
The US population is 335.9 million. The Labor Participation rate is 62.6%. The US Labor force is 209.9375 million.
The BLS Jobs Data is released monthly to report job starts but doesn’t report job lay-offs. It is quietly adjusted later and recorded unintelligibly in tables near the bottom of the report.
The average work week remained at 34.3 hours to 34.1 hours in January 2025.
The Labor Participation rate moved from 62.5 in December 2024 to 62.6% in January 2025. These are clues that US citizen employment is flat. The increase is likely due to job gains by illegal immigrants.
US
Lay-offs 2023-2024
By Trading Economics 2-24-24
Feb
2024 1.72K
Jan
2024 1.60K
Dec
2023 1.61K
Nov
2023 1.55K
Oct
2023 1.65K
Sep
2023 1.61K
Aug
2023 1.68K
Jul
2023 1.68K
Jun
2023 1.55K
May
2023 1.55K
Apr 2023 1.59K
Mar
2023 1.84K
Total 19.63K
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-layoffs-and-discharges
Comments
If I applied the data above on US layoffs to the US Jobs Report, the data shows jobs lost from 2021 to Feb 2024 were 6,944,000.
Jobs 2021-2023 Revised Feb 2024
Jobs restored 12,686,000 12,686,000
Job Lay-offs 10,640,000
19,630,000
Jobs created 2,046,000 -6,944,000 jobs lost
Comments
By 2021, most large companies required job seekers to apply via painfully complex company job websites. They hired mostly Black and LGBTQ applicants to comply with DEI edicts. White Conservatives were not welcome and many quit their Woke companies. Company website applications were too much hassle for lower paid workers who used to show up with a resume to get a job.
The 11 million jobs open reported in 2021, was a fishing trip for Engineers with specific skills in AI, EV, Cyber abatement and advanced chip design and manufacturing. At the same time these companies were in the process of deciding what new fad they would continue to fund. Apple was going to make EVs and dropped it. Bezos bought Twitter, found corruption and laid off 75% of his workforce. AI companies did find Engineers who had been studying AI since 2000. Engineers can now work from home as consultants.
As job postings fell from 2022 to 2023, non-engineering jobs were posted “in case they needed employees”, but applicants were ignored as companies continued to question future demand for their services. Applicants stopped applying through company websites and turned to finding their own jobs.
The 8 million jobs open reported in 2024 reflects the bubbles in job postings that arose from “ready, fire, aim” tactics used by big companies as they assessed what fads would succeed. Low EV sales reflected prohibitive costs, design flaws and limitations. EV mandates continue to be ignored. The EV Mandate has been removed and Car Manufactures need to re-set their operations to include fewer EVs and more Hybrids and gasoline powered cars.
Covid vaccine edicts by Woke Companies resulted in forced terminations from 2021 to 2023. Small “non-essential” businesses closed in Democrat States. On-line sales spiked as retail stores closed. Big Box grocery stores gained business as restaurant and fast-food sales declined. Covid taught consumers to eat at home. Work from home became popular and employees are hesitant to go back to the office. Big City office space is being converted to apartment units.
Open Borders from 2021 has resulted in the invasion of illegal migrants to big cities. Illegal gangs have added to the crime and employees are even more hesitant to go to the office.
10 million illegals or 65% of our 16 million are working in the US and have taken the jobs. The 6 million plus Illegal migrants are working for Drug Cartels, collecting welfare and awaiting work permits. Many are working illegally in the US at familiar companies processing animal parts, landscaping and working in on-line retail in warehouse jobs.
This 818,000 downward revision should prompt Congress to ensure that better methods are adopted by BLS for this market sensitive report, before everyone just decides to ignore all future US Job Reports.
The October 2024 Jobs Report indicates no job growth except for 95,000 jobs in Healthcare, Government and Construction. Job losses are included totaling 100,000 jobs in Manufacturing and Professional & Business Services. Real Job Growth is 5,000 jobs for October 2024.
The January 2025 Jobs Report records the lag between future jobs and the time it takes to prepare planned oil and gas extraction sites and the time it takes to build manufacturing plants.
Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party
Leader
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