Is the tea party ready to
chill out?
After 2014 losses, conservative
activists chart a new strategy by Kyle
Cheney, 11/26/14
Most of their candidates were crushed this year, even as their party won big. Now, many tea party activists are embracing a strategy for 2016 that’s strikingly at odds with the movement’s take-no-prisoners approach.
Most of their candidates were crushed this year, even as their party won big. Now, many tea party activists are embracing a strategy for 2016 that’s strikingly at odds with the movement’s take-no-prisoners approach.
It’s time, they say, to show a
little restraint.
In interviews, more than a dozen conservative leaders said the activist right needs to be pickier about which Republican incumbents it challenges in primaries, acknowledging its total wipeout in primary challenges to resurgent establishment Republicans.
“I would generally urge my
conservative friends to not focus on the primaries as much as on open races,”
said Richard Viguerie, a veteran tea party operative. “There’s some primaries
you have to go out there — and you should — but I wouldn’t spend as much energy
and resources on incumbents, particularly for Senate.”
Though many of the conservatives
noted that just the threat of a primary challenge can pull a mainstream
Republican senator to the right, some questioned the wisdom of targeting
relatively reliable conservatives this year, such as Kansas’ Pat Roberts and
Kentucky’s Mitch McConnell. As a general rule, they said, the tea party should
only go after Republican incumbents who are to the left of their state’s
electorate. They mentioned New Hampshire’s Kelly Ayotte, Illinois’ Mark Kirk
and Pennsylvania’s Pat Toomey — Republicans representing liberal or moderate
electorates – as senators up for reelection in 2016 who may deserve a pass on
those grounds.
Such a strategic change may be
easier said than done; many of the conservative movement’s ideological leaders
and top funders are dedicated to the notion that it’s better to be right than
to win. And the question of which moderate Republicans deserve a pass is a
subject of inevitable dispute. Joe Carr, who ran unsuccessfully in the GOP
primary against Tennessee Sen. Lamar Alexander, is one who urges a more
cautious, strategic approach — even as he defends his decision to take on
Alexander.
“As conservatives, we have to do a
good job of choosing the battles that move the pendulum in the Senate more to
the right,” said Carr, who maintains that Alexander is still more liberal than
the voters of Tennessee. “If we move the pendulum to the right, let’s make sure
we don’t knock some of our own players out of the way unnecessarily.”
That would be a reversal for groups
like Senate Conservatives Fund and Tea Party Patriots, which — along with
groups like Club for Growth, the Madison Project and FreedomWorks — spent north
of $11 million on ads during primary season, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, only to see its candidates flop. Neither group would make
its leaders available to comment on its thinking about 2016.
It was a miserable year for the tea
party, with its highest-profile candidates all losing to establishment-backed
incumbents. In Kansas, Milton Wolf, a doctor and distant relative of President
Barack Obama, was roiled by a professional scandal and lost to Roberts. In
Mississippi, conservative challenger Chris McDaniel bested Republican Sen. Thad
Cochran on primary day but fell short in a runoff that still has the right
crying foul. In Kentucky, Matt Bevin was crushed by McConnell despite tea party
support for the challenge. Alexander, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham and
Texas Sen. John Cornyn also survived feeble tea party-backed challenges.
“I think strategically we’ll have to
be a little bit smarter,” said Drew Ryun, political director of the Madison
Project, a conservative political action committee. “I think there’s going to
maybe have to be a narrowed focus, maybe not spreading the field as we did this
election cycle.”
Indeed, it’s not enough to run
losing candidates simply to make a statement, argued Marjorie Dannenfelser,
president of the anti-abortion Susan B. Anthony List: “If you’re going to shoot
a bear, you better kill it. If you actually are going to engage in a primary
challenge, play to win.”
Rick Santorum, the former Pennsylvania
senator who was the choice of many social conservatives during his 2012
presidential bid, is one who argues that conservatives should take on moderate
Republicans in conservative states but give a pass to moderates representing
more liberal constituents.
“I think you have to be smart,” he
said. “If your voting record or level of activism isn’t up with what the
majority of folks in your state would like to see in your party, then I think a
challenge is a legitimate thing.”
That, Santorum said, could exempt
Ayotte, Toomey and Kirk — all top Democratic targets in 2016. He added that he
doesn’t expect any of them to face a serious challenge from the right.
Chris McDaniel's loss to Sen. Thad Cochran in the
Mississippi runoff still has the right crying foul. | AP Photo
Arizona Sen. John McCain may be less
fortunate. McCain, a former presidential nominee who has built an identity
around sometimes poking his party’s base in the eye, has already emerged as a
top target for conservatives — if he ultimately decides to run for a sixth
term. Last week, McCain took steps toward a reelection bid and predicted he’ll
face a primary challenger.
Carr said McCain may be a “viable
target” for conservatives, but only if there’s a responsible alternative who
has a reasonable chance of holding the seat.
“In McCain’s case, can we get that
truly viable alternative that can articulate the conservative message without
making a mess of things?” Carr wondered.
Milton Wolf was roiled by a scandal and lost to Sen. Pat
Robert in Kansas.| AP Photo
Leaders of some conservative groups
say their decisions to go after incumbents in primaries will depend largely on
how the new Republican Senate majority governs. If leaders capitulate to
Democratic demands or water down their ideological principles, they say,
conservatives may be as fired up as ever to mount challenges.
“Republicans create the most
problems when they’re in the majority a lot of the time,” said Chris Chocola,
president of the Club for Growth. He argued that GOP lawmakers often “work hard
to protect the majority at all costs and therefore lose.”
“Let’s see how our officeholders
behave between now and 2016,” added Jim Gilmore, a former Virginia governor who
embraces — and has been embraced by — the tea party movement. “If Republicans
adopt a good [policy agenda] and move the country ahead, I think that a lot of
these primary challengers will take care of themselves … We need to have a
positive, conservative approach to the challenges facing the nation. I think
that we can unify the tea party conservatives and the regular conservatives.”
Comments
In the
Georgia Primary we supported Constitutional candidates. They each received 25%
of the vote. Most Georgia voters haven’t
thought through this solution to paying down our debt and setting policy to
support a free enterprise system. Voters don’t yet see the disconnect between what
many of our incumbents say vs. how the vote.
We
have supported more discussion of the Constitution and it is happening. More candidates are actually talking about
closing the US Department of Education, so we know we are having some impact.
We
follow the legislators’ scores posted by the Club for Growth, Heritage Action, New
American Freedom Index, and Numbers USA for the US Congress and
electtherightcandidate.us for Georgia Legislators.
Tea Parties were busy this year fighting UN Agenda 21 implementation at the city, county and state level and have been fighting Common Core and the Convention of States. We were urging our legislators to nullify bad federal laws and regulations. We don’t like federal grants to states and we don’t like the Federal Reserve. All of this gets RINOs nervous, because they are too dependent on campaign contributions from to the Chamber of Communists. We have been promoting the US Constitution (as written) and the 10th Amendment.
Tea Parties were busy this year fighting UN Agenda 21 implementation at the city, county and state level and have been fighting Common Core and the Convention of States. We were urging our legislators to nullify bad federal laws and regulations. We don’t like federal grants to states and we don’t like the Federal Reserve. All of this gets RINOs nervous, because they are too dependent on campaign contributions from to the Chamber of Communists. We have been promoting the US Constitution (as written) and the 10th Amendment.
Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader
I'd like to see less in-fighting; I know my Tea Party web site does not like receiving competing e-mails from people who claim to be more conservative than thou, when one of them is a proven conservative. Why should we do the Left's job by trashing our own candidates? Why can't they just line up and let the older people go first? Isn't that what a real political party does?
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