The Great Enrichment of the past two centuries has one
primary source: the liberation of ordinary people to pursue their dreams of
economic betterment, by Deirdre N. McCloskey, 5/20/16
Why are we so rich? An American earns, on average, $130 a
day, which puts the U.S. in the highest rank of the league table. China sits at
$20 a day (in real, purchasing-power adjusted income) and India at $10, even
after their emergence in recent decades from a crippling socialism of $1 a day.
After a few more generations of economic betterment, tested in trade, they will
be rich, too. Actually, the “we” of comparative enrichment includes most
countries nowadays, with sad exceptions.
Two centuries ago, the average world income per human (in
present-day prices) was about $3 a day. It had been so since we lived in caves.
Now it is $33 a day—which is Brazil’s current level and the level of the U.S.
in 1940. Over the past 200 years, the average real income per person—including
even such present-day tragedies as Chad and North Korea—has grown by a factor
of 10. It is stunning.
In countries that adopted trade and economic betterment
wholeheartedly, like Japan, Sweden and the U.S., it is more like a factor of
30—even more stunning. And these figures don’t take into account the radical
improvement since 1800 in commonly available goods and services.
Today’s concerns over the stagnation of real wages in the
U.S. and other developed economies are overblown if put in historical
perspective. As the economists Donald Boudreaux and Mark
Perry have argued in these pages, the official figures don’t take account
of the real benefits of our astonishing material progress.
Look at the magnificent plenty on the shelves of
supermarkets and shopping malls. Consider the magical devices for communication
and entertainment now available even to people of modest means. Do you know
someone who is clinically depressed? She can find help today with a range of
effective drugs, none of which were available to the billionaire Howard
Hughes in his despair. Had a hip joint replaced? In 1980, the operation
was crudely experimental. Nothing like the Great Enrichment of the past two
centuries had ever happened before.
Doublings of income—mere 100% betterments in the human
condition—had happened often, during the glory of Greece and the grandeur of
Rome, in Song China and Mughal India. But people soon fell back to the
miserable routine of Afghanistan’s income nowadays, $3 or worse. A
revolutionary betterment of 10,000%, taking into account everything from canned
goods to antidepressants, was out of the question. Until it happened. What
caused it?
The usual explanations follow ideology. On the left,
from Marx onward, the key is said to be exploitation. Capitalists
after 1800 seized surplus value from their workers and invested it in dark,
satanic mills. On the right, from the blessed Adam Smith on-ward, the
trick was thought to be savings. The wild Highlanders could become as rich as
the Dutch—“the highest degree of opulence,” as Smith put it in 1776—if they
would merely save enough to accumulate capital (and stop stealing cattle from
one another).
A recent extension of Smith’s claim, put forward by the late
economics Nobelist Douglass North (and now embraced as orthodoxy by the World
Bank) is that the real elixir is institutions. On this view, if you give a
nation’s lawyers fine robes and white wigs, you will get something like English
common law. Legislation will follow, corruption will vanish, and the nation
will be carried by the accumulation of capital to the highest degree of
opulence. But none of the explanations gets it quite right.
What enriched the modern world wasn’t capital stolen from
workers or capital virtuously saved, nor was it institutions for routinely accumulating
it. Capital and the rule of law were necessary, of course, but so was a labor
force and liquid water and the arrow of time. The capital became productive
because of ideas for betterment—ideas enacted by a country carpenter or a boy
telegrapher or a teenage Seattle computer whiz. As Matt Ridley put it
in his book “The Rational Optimist” (2010), what happened over the past two
centuries is that “ideas started having sex.” The idea of a railroad was a
coupling of high-pressure steam engines with cars running on coal-mining rails.
The idea for a lawn mower coupled a miniature gasoline engine with a miniature
mechanical reaper. And so on, through every imaginable sort of invention.
The coupling of ideas in the heads of the common people
yielded an explosion of betterments. Look around your room and note the
hundreds of post-1800 ideas embedded in it: electric lights, central heating
and cooling, carpet woven by machine, windows larger than any achievable until
the float-glass process. Or consider your own human capital formed at college,
or your dog’s health from visits to the vet. The ideas sufficed. Once we had
the ideas for railroads or air conditioning or the modern research university,
getting the wherewithal to do them was comparatively simple, because they were
so obviously profitable. Storefronts along Hudson Street in New York City,
circa 1860 to 1900.
If capital accumulation or the rule of law had been
sufficient, the Great Enrichment would have happened in Mesopotamia in 2000
B.C., or Rome in A.D. 100 or Baghdad in 800. Until 1500, and in many ways until
1700, China was the most technologically advanced country. Hundreds of years
before the West, the Chinese invented locks on canals to float up and down
hills, and the canals themselves were much longer than any in Europe. China’s
free-trade area and its rule of law were vastly more extensive than in Europe’s
quarrelsome fragments, divided by tariffs and tyrannies.
Yet it was not in China but in northwestern Europe that the
Industrial Revolution and then the more consequential Great Enrichment first
happened. Why did ideas so suddenly start having sex, there and then? Why did
it all start at first in Holland about 1600 and then England about 1700 and
then the North American colonies and England’s impoverished neighbor, Scotland,
and then Belgium and northern France and the Rhineland?
The answer, in a word, is “liberty.” Liberated people, it
turns out, are ingenious. Slaves, serfs, subordinated women, people frozen in a
hierarchy of lords or bureaucrats are not.
By certain accidents of European politics, having nothing to
do with deep European virtue, more and more Europeans were liberated.
From Luther’s reformation through the Dutch revolt against
Spain after 1568 and England’s turmoil in the Civil War of the 1640s, down to
the American and French revolutions, Europeans came to believe that common
people should be liberated to have a go.
You might call it: life, liberty and the pursuit of
happiness. To use another big concept, what came—slowly, imperfectly—was
equality. It was not an equality of outcome, which might be labeled “French” in
honor of Jean-Jacques Rousseau and Thomas Piketty.
It was, so to speak, “Scottish,” in honor of David
Hume and Adam Smith: equality before the law and equality of social
dignity. It made people bold to pursue betterments on their own account. It
was, as Smith put it, “allowing every man to pursue his own interest his own
way, upon the liberal plan of equality, liberty and justice.” And that is the
other surprising notion explaining our riches: “liberalism,” in its original
meaning of “worthy of a free person.” Liberalism was a new idea.
The English Leveller Richard Rumbold, facing the hangman in
1685, declared, “I am sure there was no man born marked of God above another;
for none comes into the world with a saddle on his back, neither any booted and
spurred to ride him.” Few in the crowd gathered to mock him would have agreed.
A century later, advanced thinkers like Tom
Paine and Mary Wollstonecraft embraced the idea. Two centuries
after that, virtually everyone did. And so the Great Enrichment came.
Not everyone was happy with such developments and the ideas
behind them. In the 18th century, liberal thinkers such
as Voltaire and Benjamin Franklin courageously advocated
liberty in trade.
By the 1830s and 1840s, a much enlarged intelligentsia,
mostly the sons of bourgeois fathers, commenced sneering loftily at the liberties
that had enriched their elders and made possible their own leisure.
The sons advocated the vigorous use of the state’s monopoly
of violence to achieve one or another utopia, soon. Intellectuals on the
political right, for instance, looked back with nostalgia to an imagined Middle
Ages, free from the vulgarity of trade, a nonmarket golden age in which rents
and hierarchy ruled. Such a conservative and Romantic vision of olden times fit
well with the right’s perch in the ruling class.
Later in the 19th century, under the influence of a version
of science, the right seized upon social Darwinism and eugenics to devalue the
liberty and dignity of ordinary people and to elevate the nation’s mission
above the mere individual person, recommending colonialism and compulsory
sterilization and the cleansing power of war.
On the left, meanwhile, a different cadre of intellectuals
developed the illiberal idea that ideas don’t matter. What matters to progress,
the left declared, was the unstoppable tide of history, aided by protest or
strike or revolution directed at the evil bourgeoisie—such thrilling actions to
be led, naturally, by themselves.
Later, in European socialism and American Progressivism, the
left proposed to defeat bourgeois monopolies in meat and sugar and steel by
gathering under regulation or syndicalism or central planning or
collectivization all the monopolies into one supreme monopoly called the state.
While all this deep thinking was roiling the intelligentsia
of Europe, the commercial bourgeoisie—despised by the right and the left, and
by many in the middle, too—created the Great Enrichment and the modern world.
The Enrichment gigantically improved our lives.
In doing so, it proved that both social Darwinism and
economic Marxism were mistaken. The supposedly inferior races and classes and
ethnicities proved not to be so. The exploited proletariat was not driven into
misery; it was enriched. It turned out that ordinary men and women didn’t need
to be directed from above, and when honored and left alone, became immensely
creative.
The Great Enrichment is the most important secular event
since human beings first domesticated wheat and horses. It has been and will
continue to be more important historically than the rise and fall of empires or
the class struggle in all hitherto existing societies.
Empire did not enrich Britain. America’s success did not
depend on slavery. Power did not lead to plenty, and exploitation was not
plenty’s engine.
Progress toward French-style equality of outcome was
achieved not by taxation and redistribution but by the Scots’ very different
notion of equality. The real engine was the expanding ideology of classical
liberalism.
The Great Enrichment has restarted history. It will end
poverty. For a good part of humankind, it already has. China and India, which
have adopted some of economic liberalism, have exploded in growth. Brazil,
Russia and South Africa, not to speak of the European Union—all of them fond of
planning and protectionism and level playing fields—have stagnated. Economists
and historians from left, right and center cannot explain the Great Enrichment.
Perhaps their sciences need revision, toward a “humanomics” that takes ideas
seriously. Humanomics doesn’t abandon the economics of arbitrage or entry, or
the math of elasticities of demand, or the statistics of regression analysis.
But it adds the study of words and meaning and their stunning contribution to
our enrichment.
What public policy to further this revolution? As little as
is prudent. As Adam Smith said, “it is the highest impertinence…in kings and ministers
to pretend to watch over the economy of private people.” We certainly can tax
ourselves to give a hand up to the poor. Smith himself gave to the poor with a
liberal hand. The liberalism of a Christian, or for that matter of a Jew,
Muslim or Hindu, recommends it. But note, too, that 95% of the enrichment of
the poor since 1800 has come not from charity but from a more productive
economy.
Rep. Thomas Massie, a Republican from Kentucky,
had the right idea in what he said to Reason magazine last year: “When people
ask, ‘Will our children be better off than we are?’ I reply, ‘Yes, but it’s not
going to be due to the politicians, but the engineers.’ ” I would
supplement his remark. It will also come from the businessperson who buys low
to sell high, the hairdresser who spots an opportunity for a new shop, the oil
roughneck who moves to and from North Dakota with alacrity and all the other
commoners who agree to the basic bourgeois deal: Let me seize an opportunity
for economic betterment, tested in trade, and I’ll make us all rich.
Dr. McCloskey is distinguished professor emerita of
economics, history, English and communication at the University of Illinois at
Chicago. This essay is adapted from her new book, “Bourgeois Equality: How
Ideas, Not Capital or Institutions, Enriched the World,” published by the
University of Chicago Press.
Source: How
the West (and the Rest) Got Rich, The WSJ Saturday Essay, May 20, 2016
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