2024 Election Results 11-6-24

Fox News calls Election with Trump as the Projected Winner. Republicans win the House and Senate. This is a Projected Win based on Votes reported by the States as of 5AM on 11/6/24 with 80% to 99% of Votes Reported.  Republicans expect to win more House and Senate Seats. 

Branch     Republican   Democrat

Executive Trump 277    Harris 226 

Senate         51                43

House        195               176

The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including four independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024.

https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-election-predictions/

Trump is projected to win the majority of the Battleground States including:

State                Electoral Votes

Pennsylvania           19

N Carolina               16

Georgia                   16

Michigan                 15  

Arizona                   11  

Wisconsin               10

Nevada                    6

Total 7 States         93 

 

Trump is projected to lose in

State              Electoral Votes

Minnesota             10

New Mexico           5

Total 2 States       15

 

Harris is projected to win in 13 Blue States

State            Electoral Votes

California              54

New York             28

Illinois                  19

New Jersey         14

Virginia               13

Washington        12

Massachusetts   11

Maryland            10

Colorado            10

Connecticut         7

N Hampshire      4

Rhode Island      4

Hawaii                4

Vermont             3

Delaware           3

DC                     3

Maine                2 

Total 16 States 198            

 

Trump is projected to win in 21 Red States

State        Electoral Votes

Texas                 40

Florida                30

Ohio                   17

Indiana               11

Tennessee         11

Missouri             10

S Carolina           9

Alabama             9

Louisiana            8

Kentucky            8

Oklahoma          7

Kansas              6

Iowa                  6

Arkansas          6

Mississippi       6

W Virginia        4

Montana          4

Idaho               4

Nebraska        4

N Dakota        3

S Dakota        3

Wyoming       3

Alaska           3

Total States 23  209

 

Trump Projected Totals

Group           States   Electoral Votes

Battleground      7               93

Red States       23             209

Total                30             294

 

Harris Projected Totals

Group            States   Electoral Votes

Battleground     2              15

Blue States      17           198

Total                19            213

https://www.270towin.com/

Comments

If Federal Lands were restored to the States, the Federal Budget could be reduced and the States effected could grow their State GDPs to attract more farming, forestry and commerce. States could sell pasture land and tree farms to US Citizens and end the annual forest fire festivals. Congressional representation should be determined by the number of US Citizens in each State, not the population that includes legal and illegal non-citizens.

Large Cities and Large Metro Areas are too crowded and Citizens need jobs created in the rural county exurbs to be able to move out of the cities. Rural Cities need Manufacturing and resource extraction businesses to provide jobs. Fresh water needs to be conserved and used to water crops.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

National Sovereignty 11-5-24

National Sovereignty has been adopted by all Countries on the planet over thousands of years.  It is maintained by guarded borders by the governments of these countries. Invasions are repelled by each country’s Military, Border Patrol and Law Enforcement. Border Walls are required to keep Illegals from entering. Illegals are  deported back to their own countries. Legal immigration is supported. Countries are obligated to provide employment opportunities to citizens in their Private Sector Economies so their populations can be self-supporting. The rights of citizens to own property is the key to developing Intergenerational Wealth, needed to support the next generation of each family. In the US, it became the key to creating the Private Sector Middle Class. 

National Sovereignty is aided by the “National Culture” reflected in its history and reinforced by unique Traditions, national holidays, festivals and religious holidays that also bring in a tourist trade. Families pass their National Culture to their children, who participate in the festivities. The UK has the “Royals. France has the Ambiance and the Café’s. Germany has Oktoberfest. Italy has the Pope. All have Castles, Mansions, Scenery and Local Cuisine. Many US Tourists feel a connection to their parents’ “home countries” in Europe.

In 1969, we visited Monterrey Mexico for a week and saw the difference in living conditions in the city versus life in the desert and it was striking. The modest adobe houses were poor and their inhabitants didn’t look happy. The wealthier residents In the City of Monterrey had all the modern conveniences and the inhabitants looked happy. We were told that the poor would likely never own land.

In 1984, I made a business trip to Singapore with Dennis Hayes to set up a Sales Office to provide Asian customers with Hayes Modems. Mattel was closing its game plant and I was there to meet with 3 candidates to run our Sales Office. One was their Plant Manager, another was their Personnel Manager and the third was the Secretary to the Plant Manager. They were perfect. I wrote an employment agreement for the Plant Manager who was a US Citizen. Singapore was modern and the people were exceptional.

In 1993, we made a business trip to Germany to set up a Sales Office to provide European customers with LXE bar-code-reading computer equipment. We landed in Frankfort and stayed to interview Sales Manager nearby candidates. We drove to Stuttgart to meet with our Law Firm. We drove to Dusseldorf to interview nearby candidates and stayed at the Steigenberger Park Hotel. We had weekends off and toured Achen and local castles and churches and the tomb of Holy Roman Emperor, Charlemagne. My wife was a Johannes and we found Johannes Castle, Johannes Beer and went dancing. Germans in and near the cities spoke English and we met a few. They were proud of their Bakery Goods and proud of their Beer. They were friendly, competitive and hard-working. Their local news was business oriented and that was refreshing, because the US Media was shallow.

In 2001, we joined a Tour to Italy that included Rome, Assisi, Verona, Florence, Pizza and Venice. We heard Pope John Paul II give his Christmas Message in 135 of his favorite languages. We were stuck at the Vatican because the bus drivers quit to go home for Christmas. We spent the night at a local hotel and returned to our own hotel the next morning.  Our Bus Tour was well attended and well led. The Italian citizens we met at the Tourist sites were happy, but those we saw on the street were stressed. Young couples with 1 child looked concerned. Their economy was not the best in 2001 and living costs were high.

Our exposure to other countries and other cultures convinced us that we share the same aspirations. We rely on a strong Private Sector Economy to provide for ourselves and our families. This requires Economic Sovereignty.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Economic Sovereignty 11-5-24

Economic Sovereignty is tied to National Sovereignty and has been for thousands of years. The basic unit of the Economy is the Family. Individual citizens are responsible for providing their own food, shelter and transportation. If their family members need assistance, families are responsible for giving that assistance. Beyond that, individuals are not responsible for assisting others outside of their families.  

Economic Sovereignty is tied to Home Ownership in the US and relies on landing in an occupation that pays well. It is a family condition all US citizens are presumed to work for and secure. Our parents and grandparents understood this and were aided by our education system to ensure that everybody got the message. Prior to the creation of Public Schools, Self-Learning required personal initiative. We saw this in George Washington and Abraham Lincoln who were self-educated.

My Grandfather was born in 1886 and worked on the family farm. At age 11, he took a factory job in St. Louis to earn enough to hire a tutor to prepare him to apply to Medical School. He entered Medical School at age 16 and graduated at the top of his class and was hired as the Medical School’s First Professor of Internal Medicine at age 19. He taught Internal Medicine and completed his Surgical Residency at age 21. He was at the forefront of the advancement of Medical Science until his death in 1961.

The US Public School System taught all most students needed to know to function successfully as adults in 8 years during the 1920s. Most US citizens completed their formal education in Grade 8. Some went on to Colleges and Trade Schools to pursue occupations that required the training. Some went to Colleges to learn Physics, Biology, English Literature and other courses. Some went to Universities to become Physicians, Lawyers, Engineers, Chemists, and Accountants. 

In 1938, the US passed its Child Labor Laws, ending the ability of children under age 16 from working In hazardous mining and manufacturing jobs. This was moderated to allow children who were age 14 to work in non-hazardous jobs with parental permission. These laws are still in effect today in 2024. Most Teens work in these non-hazardous jobs from 1938 through the 1979.when the Teen Labor Participation Rate peaked at 57.9%. I reached 34.1% in 2011 and continues to decline.

https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2017/article/teen-labor-force-participation-before-and-after-the-great-recession.htm

In the late 1950s, Teens could buy a used car from a relative for $100 to $200. Gasoline was 20 cents/gallon. Teen employment was possible and this gave Teens an edge to learn how to work at an early age.

In the 1957, I bought my moms used 1946 Plymouth for $100 and gas was 20 cents/gallon..  In 1963, I bought a 1956 Chevrolet hard top for $750 and gas was 30 cents/gallon.

In 2024, the average price of a used car in the US is $25,000 and gas is $3/gallon.

My grandkids are finding good used cars on-line priced from $3000 to $7000. They do a complete inspection.

My great grandkids moved to a Rural County to find a good school, but live farther from typical employment opportunities.

Those in my generation had a much better chance to secure Economic Sovereignty than our children are experiencing in 2024.

Economic Sovereignty also applies to Private Sector Companies are currently operating under the oppression created by Unnecessary Federal Regulations..

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Ending Globalism 11-4-24

Globalism was introduced in UN Agenda 21 in 1989. The lame excuse was “Global Warming Theory”.  Over the past 35 years, the Global Warming Hoax has been discredited, because we have not seen any changes in our weather patterns but the side-effects of replacing natural gas with wind and solar to produce electricity have been destructive and too expensive. 

The economies in all countries are National Economies. The World Bank does the best job and gives the best advice to all countries. They counsel countries to keep their Debt to GDP as low as possible and cite opportunities they should pursue to increase their exports. They base their loans to counties on their economic performance and potential. The worst advice comes from the UN. They stress “human rights” problems to attract potential aggressors including internal political rivals, rogue neighboring countries and Islamic Terror Groups. The best advice on strengthening National Economies comes from Trump. He encourages countries to produce what they consume, increase exports and eradicate Terror Groups. The citizens of struggling countries are typically eager to work, because many of them live day to day.

Ending Globalism involves making what you consume if that is possible and feasible. Nations have always engaged in trade with each other and that won’t ever stop. But providing the means to allow citizens to provide for their own food, shelter and transportation remains a priority for countries to pursue. The Global Supply Chain is easily disrupted by rogue countries like Iran. Their Proxies are attacking cargo ships attempting to exit in the Red Sea to block shipments through the Suez Canal. The Panama Canal has experienced low water levels slowing movement of cargo ships. Rerouting these ships increases the cost of transportation of goods for companies who use the Global Supply chain routes. The Dock Workers Strike reminded us that the US reliance on the Global Supply Chain has its risks.

The economic incentive to create the Global Supply Chain was motivated by US companies wanting to reduce their Labor Costs. China offered a 50% discount on circuit boards and other components and US companies began having China produce their electronics. US Companies also wanted to sell their products to China’s large population, but that is no longer happening. China’s threat to absorb Taiwan threatens US access to the best computer chips on the planet. The US companies have already started to transfer their manufacturing to other Asian and Pacific Island countries and Trump has proposed lowering Corporate Taxes from 21% to 15%  for companies who will increase manufacturing in the US. Trump is also proposing “Reciprocal Trade” to lower foreign Tariffs placed on US exports. Trump will increase Oil and Natural Gas production to drive down the price and enforce trade sanctions against Iran. This will lower Oil revenue and end their ability to fund their Terror Proxy Groups. Trump will impose sanctions on Russia to loser their revenue and end the was in Ukraine.

The US invented high-speed manufacturing and ended its quality problems with Lean Management and Continuous Improvement prior to off-shoring its manufacturing. The US knows how to apply these processes to modern semi-automated and fully automated manufacturing plants. The Global Supply Chain was always aimed at the US consumer-base and it’s time to bring it home. The first step will provide jobs for US Citizens to train to work in modern manufacturing plants. The second step is to train US Citizens to become Design Engineers to work in modern manufacturing Design Teams. The Technology developed by these Engineers will restore US Intellectual Property.

The Root Cause of this flailing in the US is “Short-Term Thinking”.  US CEO’s prioritized “Earnings” to keep their jobs by keeping their stock prices high. Making an inferior product for a lower price was what they offered. Foreign-Based companies will respond to Trump’s 15% Corporate Tax and will build enough manufacturing capacity in the US and hire US Citizens to make enough goods for US consumption.  US-Based companies will abandon their foreign-based companies and build modern manufacturing plants in the US to lower its Corporate Tax to 15%.They will build these manufacturing plants in “Right to Work” States.

US Companies will need to return to the strategy of producing very high-quality products using Lean Management and Modern Automation techniques. Their Goal should be to return to “Profitable Growth”.  They should drop “social activist virtue signaling” and focus on the customer and product quality and reliability. 

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Small Business 11-4-24

The Small Business Administration (SBA) defines a small business in the United States as a business that meets the following criteria: 

Number of employees: Has fewer than 500 employees 

Annual receipts: Has average annual receipts under $7.5 million, with some exceptions by industry 

Ownership: Is independently owned and operated 

Location: Has a place of business in the US and operates primarily within the US 

Dominance: Is not dominant in its field on a national basis  

The SBA also assigns size standards to each North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) code. 

Small businesses can vary in size, revenues, and regulatory authorization. Some small businesses, like a home accounting business, may only need a business license. Others, like restaurants serving liquor, day cares, and retirement homes, may need inspection and certification from government authorities. 

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), about 1 in 4 small businesses in the United States fail within their first year of operation. Here are some other small business failure rate statistics for 2024:

Failure rates by industry The healthcare and social assistance industry has the highest survival rate, with 85% of businesses surviving their first year. The transportation industry has the lowest survival rate, with only 75% of businesses surviving their first year. 

Failure rates by reason The most common reasons for small business failure include: 

Cash flow problems: 82% of small businesses fail due to cash flow problems 

Lack of market demand: 42% of small businesses fail due to a lack of market demand 

Mismatched team: 23% of small businesses fail due to having a mismatched team 

Competition: 19% of small businesses fail because of competition winning 

 

Survival rates by year

BLS reports that 20% of businesses fail in the first year, 30% by year two, and 50% by the five-year mark 

Treasury Department reports that 23.2% of businesses fail in the first year, 48% fail by two years and 65.3% fail in 10 years.  

Survival rates for businesses increase as they establish themselves. For example, more than two-thirds of businesses that survive five years also survive ten years. 

The transportation and warehousing industry has the highest percentage of businesses fail in their first year, with 24.8% failing. The mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction industry is second with 24.4%, and the information industry is third with 24.1%.

The US Government defines “failure” when businesses close. The reason that a business closes could be caused by the Owner Retiring or Selling the Business.

Death and Retirement of Private Business Owners of Family-Owned Businesses is the major cause of what government calls “failure”. If the value of the Private Company exceeds the estate tax exemption.

In 2024, the first $13,610,000 of an estate is exempt from taxes, up from $12,920,000 in 2023. Estate taxes are based on the size of the estate. It's a progressive tax, just like our federal income tax. That means that the larger the estate, the higher the tax rate it is subject to.

Reasons why businesses fail  Figuring out why small businesses fail is a bit trickier because “failure” as defined by these statistics is simply the business no longer existing—anything else will have to be self-reported by the founder, and that isn’t always reliable. CB Insights research based on over 100 startup post-mortems found these reasons listed most often for why the founder thought the business failed:

42% – no market need for their services or products

29% – ran out of cash

23% – didn’t have the right team running the business.

19% – bested by a competitor

18% – pricing and cost issues

17% – failed because of a poor product offering

17% – failed because they lacked a business model

14% – failed because of poor marketing

14% – failed because they ignored their customers

https://www.commerceinstitute.com/business-failure-rate/

Comments

The “BLM Riots“ in 2000, Shutdowns” in 2001 and “Smash and Grab Looting” in 2002 have thinned out many retail locations. The inflation from 2021 to 2024

has had an equal affect on retail operations. Poor communities are now without neighborhood grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, fast food and retail stores. The Illegal Migrant Invasion and Homeless Invasion from 2021 to 2024 has made access to stores less attractive and less safe. Many employees continue to work from home. They eat at home. There are opportunities to reopen small businesses, but most are in poor neighborhoods. The large restaurant chains have closed locations.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader