Trump Campaign 10-17-24

Trump’s common-sense agenda is listed on a flier provided by the Georgia Republican Party. 

1 Eliminate taxes on Social Security for seniors

2. Let the voters in each State determine their own abortion policies.

3. Secure the southern border, deport criminal illegals and demolish the foreign drug cartels.

4. Rebuild our cities.

5. Keep violent criminals off the streets.

6. Keep men out of women’s sports and protect women’s scholarships by reversing the Biden-Harris rewrite of Title IX.

7. Unleash American Energy Production to lower gas prices and inflation.

8. Stop the out-of-control spending to end inflation.

9. Eliminate taxes on tips for tip-based workers.

On the reverse side of the flier and 10 policies proving Kamala Harris is failed, weak and dangerously Liberal.

As San Francisco District Attorney:

1.  Granted Probation to a violent criminal that then murdered two men.

2.  Shielded convicted crack dealers suspected of being illegal immigrants from federal immigration officials.

As California Attorney General:

3.  Opposed concealed carry permits for law abiding citizens unless they could demonstrate and extraordinary need to carry a gun beyond concern for personal safety.

4.  Categorized rape of an unconscious person, human trafficking involving sex acts with minors, assault with a deadly weapon and more as “non-violent crimes, allowing inmates who committed those offences to receive earlier parole.

As a US Senator:

5.  Encouraged donations to a fund that bailed out now convicted rapists, assaulters and murderers.

6.  Co-sponsored Berine Sanders’ $32 trillion Medicare For All healthcare takeover plan that would raise taxes, increase national debt and functionally eliminate private health insurance.

7.  Co-sponsored Alexandria Ocasio Cortez’s $93 trillion Green New Deal, which would kill 2 million American jobs and cost the average family $165,000.

As Vice President:

8.  Failed on the economy, with inflation reaching a 40-year high and grocery prices rising over 21%.

9.  Failed as Border Czar, allowing over 10 million people to enter the US illegally.

10. Crippled domestic oil and gas production, driving gas prices up over 30%.     

Comments

They forgot: The CARES Act cost was $3.4 trillion and was passed in 2020 by the Democrat House and Senate and signed by Biden in 2021. Kamala Harris cast the deciding vote to pass the $1.7 trillion “Inflation Reduction Act in 2021 that caused the inflation spike in 2022. Feb 28, 2023 — The federal government has provided about $4.6 trillion to help the nation respond to and recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. Most of the $4.6 trillion authorized by Democrats remains unspent, and should be clawed back to reduce the debt.

The cumulative inflation impact from all of these appropriations is more like 35% and is global because of energy price increases that impact transportation and fertilizer costs. The illegal immigrant invasion is understated at 10 million. It is probably approaching 20 million.

The cost of illegals is estimated at $451 billion per year.

https://homeland.house.gov/2023/11/16/what-they-are-saying-homeland-majoritys-fourth-interim-report-on-the-financial-cost-of-secretary-mayorkas-border-crisis/

Federal overspending moved the US Nominal GDP from $21T in 2020 to $27T in 2024 and set off the US inflation and moved the National Debt to $35T. In 2020, the federal government spent around $260 billion on interest. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that interest payments on federal debt will total $892 billion in 2024. Inflation in 2020 was 1.4%. Cumulative inflation from 2021 to 2024 is running at 35% if you count the CPI plus food, consumer goods, fuel, rent, utilities, insurance and interest costs. 

The COVID cost in 2020 was $5 trillion. The cost in 2021 was $28 billion. The cost in 2022 was $2 billion. Six COVID-19 relief laws enacted in 2020 and 2021 provided about $4.6 trillion of funding for pandemic response and recovery. -Feb 28, 2023

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

Trump’s Campaign Strategy 10-17-24

I approve of Trump’s strategy. His detractors have said Trump needs to talk more about the detail of his policies and refrain from attacking his Democrat opponents. They are wrong. Voters know his policies. What they don’t know is that Democrats would continue to spend us into bankruptcy and complete their takeover of the US private sector. They will continue to promise more “free stuff” that they won’t deliver.  This is their strategy, to promise “free stuff”. It establishes government-controlled socialism and “fundamentally transforms our Free Market Economy into a Government Controlled Economy. The next step is Communism. 

The US was designed to expand the Private Sector Economy where prices are determined by supply and demand and limit Government Control. In our Free Market Economy, prices are determined by supply and demand. Trump’s strategy is to reduce government regulations and lower taxes to restore our Private Sector Economy.  This also requires that government at all levels reduce spending to reduce inflation caused by money printing that supports government overspending. Federal overspending can be reduced by cutting grants to States and municipalities for harmful, wasteful and non-essential projects.

Trump will close the border and deport illegal migrants who entered the US from 2021 to 2024 back to their home countries and will finish the border wall. Deportations will begin with criminals, gang members and terrorists. Trump will end aid to countries who refuse to take their criminals back.

Trump will use reducing and withholding federal grants to States to remove Sanctuary States and Sancruary Cities, catch and release and refusal to prosecute crime.

Trump will withhold federal grants to Universities that allow disruptive protests. He may need to make Universities revoke tenure to remove Marxist faculty.

Political Free Speech needs to be redefined to ensure that Protestors are not allowed to march on streets and highways. Protest demonstrations need to be confined in stadiums and conference centers rented by their organizers and never allowed in residential or commercial areas.

Trump will close the US Department of Education to remove federal grants to States and put States in charge of Education.

Trump should reduce Grants to States to let States assume more responsibility to fund their own infrastructure. This will limit spending to critical infrastructure and eliminate unnecessary infrastructure funding.

Trump should remove federal grants from non-profits. They should get their funding from donations by supporters.

Trump will remove bribery from diplomacy and cut foreign aid. Other countries need to fund their own development.

Trump should consider quitting the UN. The Abraham Accords sets a better model for leading countries to take responsibility for troubled neighboring countries.

Trump has replaced war with “total economic isolation”. He will isolate Iran, Russia, North Korea and China to end wars in Israel and Ukraine and prevent China from taking Taiwan.

Soros should be deported to Russia.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

US Voters by Party 10-17-24

Pew Research identified the separation of US voters

The partisan identification of registered voters is now evenly split between the two major parties: 49% of registered voters are Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party, and a nearly identical share – 48% – are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party. 

Four years ago, in the run-up to the 2020 election, Democrats had a 5 percentage point advantage over the GOP (51% vs. 46%).

The share of voters who are in the Democratic coalition reached 55% in 2008. For much of the last three decades of Pew Research Center surveys, the partisan composition of registered voters has been more closely divided.

About two-thirds of registered voters identify as a partisan, and they are roughly evenly split between those who say they are Republicans (32% of voters) and those who say they are Democrats (33%). Roughly a third instead say they are independents or something else (35%), with most of these voters leaning toward one of the parties. Partisan leaners often share the same political views and behaviors as those who directly identify with the party they favor.

The share of voters who identify as independent or something else is somewhat higher than in the late 1990s and early 2000s. As a result, there are more “leaners” today than in the past. Currently, 15% of voters lean toward the Republican Party and 16% lean toward the Democratic Party. By comparison, in 1994, 27% of voters leaned toward either the GOP (15%) or the Democratic Party (12%).

While the electorate overall is nearly equally divided between those who align with the Republican and Democratic parties, a greater share of registered voters say they are both ideologically conservative and associate with the Republican Party (33%) than say they are liberal and align with the Democratic Party (23%).

A quarter of voters associate with the Democratic Party and describe their views as either conservative or moderate, and 14% identify as moderates or liberals and are Republicans or Republican leaners.

The partisan and ideological composition of voters is relatively unchanged over the last five years.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/the-partisanship-and-ideology-of-american-voters/

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

US Voters by Gender 10-17-24

Partisanship by gender, sexual orientation, marital and parental status 

Men continue to be more likely than women to associate with the Republican Party.

Partisan affiliation also varies by marital status, with gender differences in party identification apparent among married and unmarried voters.

Sexual orientation is also strongly associated with partisanship among both men and women.

Among all registered voters, men tilt to the GOP (52% of men identify with or lean toward the Republican Party, 46% to the Democratic Party).

By a similar margin, women tilt Democratic (51% Democratic, 44% Republican, including leaners).

Married men and women are more likely to identify with or lean toward the Republican Party than their unmarried counterparts, with 59% of married men and half of married women oriented toward the GOP.

And while majorities of both men and women voters who have never been married and do not live with a partner align with the Democratic Party, never-married women are particularly likely to do so:

Women who have never been married are three times as likely to associate with the Democratic Party as with the Republican Party (72% vs. 24%). 

By a narrower – though still sizable – margin (61% to 37%), never-married men also favor the Democrats.

Democrats have a substantial advantage among both women and men who live with a partner but are not married, and a narrower edge among those who are divorced or separated.

Widowed men tilt Republican (55% GOP vs. 44% Democratic, including party leaners), while widowed women are about equally likely to associate with the GOP or Democrats (46% and 47%).

Lesbian, gay and bisexual women overwhelmingly identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party over the GOP (83% vs. 12%). Similarly, the Democratic Party enjoys a wide advantage among gay and bisexual men (83% vs. 17%).

Straight men are more likely to associate with the Republican Party than straight women (55% vs. 47%).

The Republican Party has held an edge among men for much of the last 30 years. Although that narrowed somewhat between 2019 and 2021, the GOP advantage has since returned.

While women have consistently been more likely to associate with the Democratic Party over the past several decades, the Democratic edge among women is narrower than it was a few years ago.

A slim majority (54%) of fathers of children under age 18 identify with or lean toward the Republican Party, compared with 44% of men who do not have children. There is a nearly identical gap in partisan association between mothers of minor children and women without children.

At all age levels, parents are more Republican-oriented than non-parents. For example, 55% of men ages 35 to 44 who have children under 18 identify with or lean toward the GOP. This compares with about a third (36%) of men of the same age who are not parents.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/04/09/partisanship-by-gender-sexual-orientation-marital-and-parental-status/ 

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

US Manufacturing Jobs 10-16-24

BLS Reports:  Over 12.7 million U.S. workers were employed in manufacturing in 2022. Updated Oct 6, 2023. There are 634,666 Manufacturing businesses in the US as of 2023, an increase of 1.1% from 2022.

https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2023/a-look-at-manufacturing-jobs-on-national-manufacturing-day.htm#:~:text=Over%2012.7%20million%20U.S.%20workers,and%20the%20District%20of%20Columbia.

Statisia.com reports different numbers: 

1985      20,120,800

1986      20,295,800

1987      20,235,300

1988      20,430,000

1989      20,630,400

1990      20,338,600

1991      19,589,500

1992      19,076,200

1993      18,710,100

1994      19,271,200

1995      19,520,000

1996      19,653,400

1997      19,961,200

1998      19,762,300

1999      19,322,900

2000      19,167,300

2001      18,147,100

2002      16,918,200

2003      16,129,800

2004      15753,500

2005      15,518,400

2006      15,642,600

2007      15,341,500

2008      15,131,400

2009      13,454,000

2010      13,251,800

2011      13,596,100

2012      13,935,900

2013      14,188,300

2014      14,462,000

2015      14,534,500

2016      14,777,700

2017      14,656,100

2018      14,855,200

2019      14,065,200

2020      13,884,600

2021      14,577,000

2022      14,577,200

2023      14,922,000

https://www.statista.com/statistics/664993/private-sector-manufacturing-employment-in-the-us/

Comments

Statista reports 5,198,800 fewer US manufacturing jobs in 2023 than in 1985. The higher numbers of manufacturing jobs from 1985 to 1990 were due to the Electronics Design Cycles for the PC and Telecom upgrades. The dip in 1993 was due to NAFTA and the Globalism Fad. After 1993, the decline in manufacturing jobs were caused by Global Supply Chains that are now coming apart due to Islamic Terror Proxies sponsored by Iran in the Persian Gulf and low sea levels at the Panama Canal.

Trump’s 15% Corporate Tax should level the playing field for US jobs to return to the US.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

US Union Jobs 10-16-24

Union Membership peaked in 1955 at 35.7% has continued to decline and now stands at 10%.  

1983      20.1%

1984      18.8%

1985      18.0%

1986      17.5%

1987      17.0%

1988      16.8%

1989      16.4%

1990      16.0%

1991      16.0%

1992      15.7%

1993      15.7%

1994      15.5%

1995      14.9%

1996      14.5%

1997      14.1%

1998      13.9%

1999      13.9%

2000      13.4%

2001      13.3%

2002      13.3%

2003      12.9%

2004      12.5%

2005      12.5%

2006      12.0%

2007      12.4%

2008      12.5%

2009      12.3%

2010      11.9%

2011      11.8%

2012      11.3%

2013      11.3%

2014      11.1%

2015      11.1%

2016      10.7%

2017      10.7%

2018      10.5%

2019      10.3%

2020      10.8%

2021      10.3%

2022      10.1%

2023      10.0%

https://www.statista.com/statistics/195349/union-membership-rate-of-employees-in-the-us-since-2000/

Right-to-work laws allow workers to choose whether or not to join a labor union, and they cannot be forced to join as a condition of employment. 

26 States have Right to Work Laws: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nebraska, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Right to Work Laws began to be passed by States in 1944. These States allow employees to refuse to join a Union and pay Union Dues.

US Union Membership peaked in 1955 at 35.7% and declined to 10% in 2023. Most of these are Government Employees and Utility Employees. CWA Communication Workers of America membership is 700,000.

The National Education Association is far and away the largest, with over three million members.

The 2^nd largest union is the Service Employees International Union, with just about two million members.

The number of non-union Construction Workers has increased from 60.5% in 1973 to 89.3% in 2023.

Comments

Union strikes drove US inflation and lowered productivity. Right to Work States lowered Unionization.  NAFTA was a good excuse for US companies to send their auto parts manufacturing to Mexico and close their Unionized Plants. Unions typically try to propagandize its members to develop an antagonistic relationship against management to justify its existence. Unions were led by Marxists, then transferred to the Mafia and then handed back to the Marxists.

My first Union Job was at Granite City Steel. I worked a summer job in 1962 and1963. I was appalled when the Shop Seward walked in one night and knocked over all the stacked steel with the crane, because he expected a slow-down. I predicted their demise. This reinforced my opinion that unions in manufacturing companies had to go. They were anti-productivity.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

US Household Income 10-15-24

US Median Household Income peaked in 2019 at $81,610. It followed inflation since 1984 at $59,930 and rose to $78,171 in 2024. 

Year     $Income

2024      78171      Biden

2023      80610

2022      77540

2021      79260

2020      79560      Trump

2019      81210

2018      75790

2017      73810

2016      73520     Obama

2015      71000

2014      67360

2013      68220

2012      65740

2011      65750

2010      66730

2009      68340

2008      68780     Bush 1

2007      71210

2006      70080

2005      69310

2004      68250

2003      68350

2002      68310

2001      68870

2000      70020

1999      70210     Clinton

1998      68470

1997      66050

1996      64710

1995      63770

1994      61800

1993      61150

1992      61450     Bush 2

1991      61960

1990      63830

1989      64610

1988      63530     Reagan

1987      63060

1986      62280

1985      60050  

1984      58930

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N

Comments

Reagan moved the Household Income from $58,930 to $63,530 from 1984 to 1988. Bush 1 took it down from 64,610 to 61,450. Clinton moved it up from $61,150 to $70,210 from 1993 to 1999. Bush 2 took it down from 70,020 to $68,780 from 2000 to 2008. Obama took it up from $68,340 to $73,520 from 2009 to 2016. Trump took it up from $73,810 to $81,210 in 2000. Biden took it down from $79,260 to $78,171 from 2021 to 2024.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader