Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Iran Economy 5-1-25

Iran's nominal GDP has fluctuated over the past decade. In 2014, Iran's nominal GDP was $463.747 billion, and it has shown some growth since then. In 2023, it reached $404.626 billion. 

Here's a breakdown of Iran's nominal GDP in recent years:

 

Year

Nominal GDP (USD Billion)

2014

$463.747

2019

$241.66

2020

$195.53

2021

$289.29

2022

$376.25

2023

$404.63

2024

$464.18

2025 (est.)

$463.747

https://www.google.com/search?q=iran+nominal+gdp+2014+to+present

 

In January 2025, Iran's population was estimated to be 92.0 million. Iran's population has been steadily increasing from 2014 to 2023. The population was estimated to be 77.47 million in 2014 and is projected to reach 90.608 million in 2023. 

Here's a more detailed look: 

2014: 77.47 million

2015: 78.49 million

2016: 79.56 million

2020: 87.723 million

2023: 90.608 million

https://www.google.com/search?q=iran+population+2014+to+present

Iran's government debt to nominal GDP ratio is projected to be 34.00% by the end of 2025. This follows an all-time high of 48.30% in 2020. Specifically, the general government gross debt is expected to reach €147.30 billion by 2025. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=iran+debt+to+nominal+gdp+2020+to+2025

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

US Sanctions on Iran 5-1-25

The United States has imposed an arms ban and an almost total economic embargo on Iran, which includes sanctions on companies doing business with Iran, a ban on all Iranian-origin imports, sanctions on Iranian financial institutions, and an almost total ban on selling aircraft or repair parts to Iranian aviation ... 

NATIONAL SECURITY PRESIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM/NSPM-2

The White House February 4, 2025

MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF STATE
THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY
THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
THE ATTORNEY GENERAL
THE SECRETARY OF ENERGY
THE SECRETARY OF THE INTERIOR
THE SECRETARY OF HOMELAND SECURITY
THE ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT AND CHIEF OF STAFF
THE UNITED STATES TRADE REPRESENTATIVE
THE UNITED STATES PERMANENT REPRESENTATIVE TO THE UNITED NATIONS
THE DIRECTOR OF NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE
THE DIRECTOR OF THE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

THE DIRECTOR OF THE OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET
THE ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT FOR NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS
THE COUNSEL TO THE PRESIDENT
THE ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT FOR ECONOMIC POLICY
THE CHAIRMAN OF THE JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF
THE DIRECTOR OF THE FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION

SUBJECT: Imposing Maximum Pressure on the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Denying Iran All
Paths to a Nuclear Weapon, and Countering Iran’s Malign Influence

As President, my highest priority is to ensure the safety and security of the United States and the American people.  Since its inception in 1979 as a revolutionary theocracy, the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran has declared its hostility to the United States and its allies and partners.  Iran remains the world’s leading state sponsor of terror and has aided Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, the Taliban, al-Qa’ida, and other terrorist networks.  The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is itself a designated Foreign Terrorist Organization.

The Iranian Government, including the IRGC, is using agents and cyber-enabled means to target United States nationals living in the United States and other countries around the world for attacks, including assault, kidnapping, and murder.  Iran has also directed its proxy groups, including Hezbollah’s Islamic Jihad Organization, to embed sleeper cells in the Homeland to be activated in support of this terrorist activity.   

Iran bears responsibility for the horrific Hamas massacres committed on October 7, 2023, and bears responsibility for continued Houthi attacks against the United States Navy, allied navies, and international commercial shipping in the Red Sea.  Since April 2024, the regime has twice demonstrated its willingness to launch ballistic and cruise missile attacks against the State of Israel. 

Iran commits grievous human rights abuses and arbitrarily detains foreigners, including United States citizens, on spurious charges without due process of law, subjecting them to abuse.  The United States stands with the women of Iran who face daily abuse by the regime. 

Iran’s nuclear program, including its enrichment- and reprocessing-related capabilities and nuclear-capable missiles, poses an existential danger to the United States and the entire civilized world.  A radical regime like this can never be allowed to acquire or develop nuclear weapons, or to extort the United States or its allies through the threat of nuclear weapons acquisition, development, or use.  Iran today stands in breach of its Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty obligations by concealing undeclared nuclear sites and material as required by its Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).  Iran has obstructed IAEA access to its military sites or sites tied to the Organization of Defensive Innovation and Research, also known as SPND, and to interview nuclear weapons scientists still employed by SPND.  Public reports indicating that Iran may now be engaged in computer modeling related to nuclear weapons development raise immediate alarm.  We must deny Iran all paths to a nuclear weapon and end the regime’s nuclear extortion racket. 

Iran’s behavior threatens the national interest of the United States.  It is therefore in the national interest to impose maximum pressure on the Iranian regime to end its nuclear threat, curtail its ballistic missile program, and stop its support for terrorist groups. 

Section 1.  Policy.  It is the policy of the United States that Iran be denied a nuclear weapon and intercontinental ballistic missiles; that Iran’s network and campaign of regional aggression be neutralized; that the IRGC and its surrogates be disrupted, degraded, or denied access to the resources that sustain their destabilizing activities; and to counter Iran’s aggressive development of missiles and other asymmetric and conventional weapons capabilities. 

Sec. 2.  Enacting Maximum Pressure on the Islamic Republic of Iran 

(a)  The Secretary of the Treasury shall:

(i)    immediately impose sanctions or appropriate enforcement remedies on all persons for which the Department has evidence of activity in violation of one or more Iran-related sanctions;

(ii)   implement a robust and continual sanctions enforcement campaign with respect to Iran that denies the regime and its terror proxies access to revenue;
(iii)  review for modification or rescission any general license, frequently asked question, or other guidance that provides Iran or any of its terror proxies any degree of economic or financial relief;

(iv)   issue updated guidance to all relevant business sectors including shipping, insurance, and port operators, about the risks to any person that knowingly violates United States sanctions with respect to Iran or an Iranian terror proxy; and
(v)    maintain countermeasures against Iran at the Financial Action Task Force, evaluate beneficial ownership thresholds to ensure sanctions deny Iran all possible illicit revenue, and evaluate whether financial institutions should adopt a “Know Your Customer’s Customer” standard for Iran-related transactions to further prevent sanctions evasion. 

(b)  The Secretary of State shall:
(i)    modify or rescind sanctions waivers, particularly those that provide Iran any degree of economic or financial relief, including those related to Iran’s Chabahar port project;
(ii)   implement a robust and continual campaign, in coordination with the Secretary of the Treasury and other relevant executive departments or agencies (agencies), to drive Iran’s export of oil to zero, including exports of Iranian crude to the People’s Republic of China;
(iii)  lead a diplomatic campaign to isolate Iran throughout the world, including within international organizations, including the denial of freedom of movement or safe haven to the IRGC or any terror proxy of Iran wherever such may operate outside Iran’s borders; and
(iv)   take immediate steps, in coordination with the Secretary of the Treasury and other relevant agencies, to ensure that the Iraqi financial system is not utilized by Iran for sanctions evasion or circumvention, and that Gulf countries are not used as sanctions evasion transshipment points. 

(c)  The United States Permanent Representative to the United Nations shall:
(i)    work with key allies to complete the snapback of international sanctions and restrictions on Iran;

(ii)   hold Iran accountable for its breach of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty; and
(iii)  regularly convene the United Nations Security Council to highlight the myriad threats posed by Iran to international peace and security. 

(d)  The Secretary of Commerce shall conduct a robust and continuous export control enforcement campaign to restrict the flow of technology and components used by the regime for military purposes.   

(e)  The Attorney General shall:
(i)    pursue all available legal steps to investigate, disrupt, and prosecute financial and logistical networks, operatives, or front groups inside the United States that are sponsored by Iran or an Iranian terror proxy;
(ii)   pursue all available legal steps to impound illicit Iranian oil cargoes;
(iii)  pursue all available legal steps to identify Iranian governmental assets in the United States and overseas, and help American victims of terrorism, including Gold Star Families, collect on Federal judgments against Iran;
(iv)   pursue all available legal steps to indict and prosecute the leaders and members of Iranian-funded terrorist groups and proxies that have captured, harmed, or killed American citizens and, where possible and in coordination with the Secretary of State, seek their arrest and extradition to the United States; and   
(v)    use all criminal, regulatory, and cyber authorities and tools to vigorously investigate, prosecute, and disrupt efforts by the Iranian government to conduct espionage or obtain military, intelligence, government, or other sensitive information, compromise the Homeland and our critical infrastructure, evade sanctions and export controls, obtain material support for terrorism, exert foreign malign influence, and threaten harm and infringe on First Amendment-protected speech, including efforts designed to sow anti-Semitism.

Sec. 3.  General Provisions.  (a)  Nothing in this memorandum shall be construed to impair or otherwise affect:
(i)   the authority granted by law to an executive department or agency, or the head thereof; or
(ii)  the functions of the Director of the Office of Management and Budget relating to budgetary, administrative, or legislative proposals.   

     (b)  This memorandum shall be implemented consistent with applicable law and subject to the availability of appropriations.   

     (c)  This memorandum is not intended to, and does not, create any right or benefit, substantive or procedural, enforceable at law or in equity by any party against the United States, its departments, agencies, or entities, its officers, employees, or agents, or any other person.   

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/national-security-presidential-

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Venezuela Economy 4-30-25

In 2024, Venezuela's nominal GDP was estimated at $102.328 billion. 

In 2024, Venezuela's population is estimated to be around 34.1 million people.

Since 2016, the population of Venezuela has dropped from 30,765,720 to 28,516,896.

Year     Population

2016     30,765,720

2017     30,565,323

2018     29,807,592

2019     28,938,098

2020     28.444,077

2021     28,237,826

2022     28,213,017

2023     28.300,854

2024     28,405,543

2025     28,516,896

https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/venezuela-population/

In 2024, Venezuela's nominal GDP per capita was estimated to be $3,867.

Venezuela's oil exports have seen a significant decline and subsequent recovery in recent years. After reaching a low of 438,173 barrels per day in 2022, exports increased to 550,168 barrels per day in December 2023. This recovery is partly due to increased sales to Asia and the easing of some US sanctions in 2023, according to Reuters

https://www.google.com/search?q=venezuela+oil+exports+2020+to+present

In Venezuela, the debt-to-nominal GDP ratio was 329.1% in 2020, 146% in 2023, and is projected to be 135% by the end of 2025. The debt-to-GDP ratio has been volatile, reaching a peak in 2020 and then declining before potentially stabilizing, according to Trading Economics and Statista. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=vwnizuela+debt+to+nominal+gdp+2020+to+2025

In January 2025, the United States was Venezuela's largest trading partner, with exports of $632 million and imports of $374 million. Other key trading partners for Venezuela include China, Spain, Brazil, and Turkey. Venezuela's main exports to the US are crude petroleum, petroleum coke, and coffee, while its main imports from the US are refined petroleum, soybean meal, and soybean oil. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=venezuela+trading+partners+2025

Comments

The March 2025 EO imposed 25% Tariffs on countries doing business with Cuba.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Venezuela Sanctions 4-30-25

In 2025, Venezuela was projected to have a trade surplus, meaning exports exceed imports, with a positive trade balance of $3.17 billion USD. The top five export destinations are the United States, China, Spain, Brazil, and Turkey, with the United States being the largest single export destination. 

Here's a more detailed breakdown: 

Exports: Top 5 Destinations: United States, China, Spain, Brazil, and Turkey. 

Total Exports: Venezuela's total exports in 2023 reached $4.7 billion, with an increase of 33.2% year-on-year. 

Major Export Items: Mineral fuels and oils, iron and steel, and organic chemicals are among the main export items, according to a source. 

Imports: Venezuela's total imports in 2023 were $10.1 billion, with a 30.7% increase year-on-year. 

Machinery, nuclear reactors, boilers, electrical and electronic equipment, and pharmaceutical products are among the main imports. 

Trade Balance: Trade Surplus: Venezuela's trade balance in 2023 showed a surplus of $3.17 billion USD. 

Trade with Specific Countries:

United States: In January 2025, Venezuela exported $632 million and imported $374 million from the United States, resulting in a positive trade balance of $258 million. The top exports to the US were crude petroleum, petroleum coke, and coffee, while main imports were refined petroleum, soybean meal, and soybean oil. 

Brazil: In February 2025, Venezuela exported $24 million to Brazil, marking a decrease from February 2024. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=venezuela+imports+exports+trade+deficit

In 2020, Venezuela's debt to nominal GDP ratio was 329.10%. This is expected to decline to 135.00% by the end of 2025. In 2023, the ratio was 146.26% according to Statista

https://www.google.com/search?q=venezue%3Ba+debt+to+nominal+gdp

Tariffs

Mar 25, 2025 — Trump signed an Executive Order imposing tariffs on countries that import Venezuelan oil. President Trump is levying a 25% tariff on all goods.

The Trade Surplus for 2025 estimated above is doubtful in light of the 25% Tariffs imposed.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Tariff Venezuela Oil Imports EO 4-30-25

Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Imposes Tariffs on Countries Importing Venezuelan Oil, The White House, March 25, 2025

PROTECTING UNITED STATES NATIONAL SECURITY: Yesterday, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order imposing tariffs on countries that import Venezuelan oil.

  • President Trump is levying a 25% tariff on all goods from any country that imports Venezuelan oil, whether directly from Venezuela or indirectly through third parties.
  • The tariffs will lapse one year after a country ceases importing Venezuelan oil—or sooner if officials deem it appropriate.
  • If tariffs are imposed on China, they will also apply to Hong Kong and Macau to prevent transshipment and evasion.
  • These tariffs aim to sever the financial lifelines of Nicolás Maduro’s corrupt regime and curb its destabilizing influence across the Western Hemisphere.
  • This action targets transnational criminal threats, such as the Tren de Aragua gang, and addresses the humanitarian crises fueled by Venezuela’s actions.

ADDRESSING AN EMERGENCY SITUATION: The Maduro regime poses an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States.

  • The Maduro regime systemically undermines democratic institutions by suppressing free and fair elections and consolidating power illegitimately.
  • Venezuela’s endemic corruption and mismanagement under Maduro have crushed its people and triggered a regional humanitarian and public health crisis.
  • Millions of Venezuelans have fled Maduro’s oppressive rule, imposing significant burdens on neighboring countries and destabilizing the Western Hemisphere.
  • The Maduro regime has aided and facilitated the infiltration of the Tren de Aragua gang—a designated Foreign Terrorist Organization—into the United States by failing to secure its borders, allowing the gang to flourish within Venezuela, and refusing to take action against its members.
    • These dangerous criminals exploited the previous administration’s open-border policies, establishing a foothold in U.S. communities and preying on American citizens through violent acts, including kidnapping, assault, and murder. 

USING OUR LEVERAGE TO SAFEGUARD OUR INTERESTSPresident Trump is using America’s economic might to safeguard our interests and punish those who support Maduro’s regime.

  • Tariffs are a powerful, proven source of leverage for protecting the national interest.
  • President Trump is sending a clear message that access to our economy is a privilege, not a right, and countries importing Venezuelan oil will face consequences.
  • As President Trump said in the Presidential Memorandum on American First Trade Policy, trade policy is a critical component in national security.
  • President Trump has successfully used tariffs in the past to advance America’s interests and address urgent national security threats and is doing so again today.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/03/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-countries-importing-venezuelan-oil

 

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

Monday, April 28, 2025

Cuba Economy 4-29-25

Cuba's nominal GDP in 2024 is estimated to be around $26.44 billion. This is a significant decrease compared to 2020, when nominal GDP was $107.35 billion.  

In 2024, Cuba's population is estimated to be around 10.98 million.

Cuba's nominal GDP per capita is estimated to be around $7,599 in 2024,

In 2025, Cuba's nominal GDP per capita is projected to be approximately $2,430. 

In 2022, Cuba's exports totaled $2.17 billion USD. Key exports include nickel, cane sugar, cigars, fuel, beverages, and metallic ores. Major export partners include Venezuela, China, and Canada. In 2021, U.S. exports to Cuba were $323.5 million, with agriculture being the largest sector. 

In 2025, Cuba's population is projected to be 10,937,203 with a yearly growth rate of -0.39%. This means the population is decreasing. 

Here's a breakdown of the population figures and yearly growth rate for Cuba from 2014 to 2025: 

Year

Population

Yearly % Change

2014

11,285,775

-0.11%

2015

11,275,065

-0.09%

2016

11,265,612

-0.08%

2017

11,247,829

-0.16%

2018

11,227,118

-0.18%

2019

11,202,846

-0.22%

2020

11,176,354

-0.24%

2021

11,122,168

-0.48%

2022

11,059,820

-0.56%

2023

11,019,931

-0.36%

2024

10,979,783

-0.36%

2025

10,937,203

-0.39%

https://www.google.com/search?q=cuba+population

The UN's World Food Programme (WFP) has been providing food aid to Cuba, particularly in response to economic crises and natural disasters.

In January 2025, Cuba's trade with the United States showed a significant trade deficit. Cuba's exports to the US were $12.5k while imports from the US were $55.4M, resulting in a $55.4M trade deficit. Exports decreased significantly year-over-year, while imports increased. 

Elaboration: Trade Deficit: In January 2025, Cuba had a trade deficit of $55.4M with the United States.

Exports: Cuba's exports to the US were primarily paintings, with a value of $12.5k.

Imports: The main imports from the US were poultry meat ($32.7M), commodities not elsewhere specified ($5.39M), and pig meat ($3.2M).

Changes from Previous Year: Between January 2024 and January 2025, Cuba's exports to the US declined by $928k (98.7%), while imports increased by $3.95M (7.66%). 

https://www.google.com/search?q=cuba+imports+exports+trade+deficit

In 2024, Cuba imports from US were $581.3M and exports to US were $586.5M.

https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c2390.html#2024

In 2020, Cuba's nominal GDP per capita was approximately $9,605. By 2025, Statista projects it to be around $2,430.

Cuba's government debt to nominal GDP is projected to be 52.34% in 2025. This means the government's total debt is expected to be 52.34% of the country's total economic output (GDP). While some sources indicate a higher percentage in 2024 (126%), econometric models suggest a trend towards 118% in 2025 and 108% in 2026. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=cuba+debt+to+nominal+gdp+2020+to+2025

Comments

Cuba is not exporting. Cuba’s economy is collapsing in 2025 due to the US Trade Embargos and Sanctions. Cuba needs to increase food production.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Cuba Sanctions 4-29-25

Cuba is facing significant economic and social challenges in 2025, with ongoing reports of a deep economic crisis, shortages of essential goods, and a decline in living standards. The U.S. trade embargo and recent sanctions have been cited as contributing factors to these difficulties.  

Economic Crisis:

Deepening Recession: The Cuban government admitted to another year of recession in 2024 and expressed cautious optimism for 2025. 

Declining Economy: Projections for 2025 indicate a continued decline in the economy, with a government-predicted growth of only 1%. 

Shortages: Shortages of food, medicine, and fuel are widespread, impacting daily life. 

Inflation: Uncontrolled inflation is a major concern, and the government has eliminated the ration book, admitting it can't provide basic necessities. 

Dependence on Imports: Cuba is highly dependent on imports for essential goods, and a decline in export earnings is hindering its ability to purchase these goods. 

Freight Traffic Decline: Domestic freight traffic has plummeted to levels not seen in 20 years, indicating a sharp decline in production and movement of goods. 

Social and Political Issues:

Mass Exodus: A significant number of Cubans, including young people, are emigrating to the US, seeking better opportunities and escaping difficult living conditions. 

Limited Freedom: The government controls media, restricts access to information, and censors critics. 

Human Rights Concerns: Families of political prisoners have faced harassment, and there are reports of overcrowded prisons, limited access to healthcare, and outbreaks of tuberculosis. 

Power Outages: Prolonged power outages are common, further exacerbating the difficulties of daily life. 

Overall: Cuba's economy and social fabric are under significant strain, with the government struggling to address the challenges and potential for further instability. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=cuba+is+in+trouble

In Fiscal Year 2024 (October 1, 2023 - September 30, 2024), 217,615 Cubans were inspected by CBP and entered the U.S.. This number is the second-highest since 2021, surpassed only by the 224,607 Cubans who entered in Fiscal Year 2022. Additionally, 110,240 Cubans arrived and were granted parole under the CHNV (Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan, Venezuelan) parole process in December 2024. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=how+many+cubans+have+entered+the+us+in+2024

Comments

I expect Cuba’s allies will support more UN aid to Cuba.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Foreign Influence in US Universities 4-28-25

The U.S. government rightly restricts the ability of foreign individuals, entities, and governments to contribute to U.S. political campaigns. It does so because financial influence over the outcomes of elections would distort policymaking toward foreign—rather than U.S.—interests.

U.S. universities do not directly make public policy decisions, but they train the people who typically make and implement policy, and they shape elite culture and ideas to set the agenda for policy discussions. Foreigners seeking to influence these policy roles of U.S. universities currently face relatively few restrictions on their ability to do so.

This report explores the ways foreign individuals, entities, and governments can convey funds to U.S. universities, why that flow of funding matters, how new legislation could improve Americans’ understanding of the scope of this funding, and what might be done to address its disadvantages. Foreign funding flows to American colleges and universities in five primary ways: direct gifts to institutions, indirect gifts to institutions, tuition paid by foreign students—sometimes covered by their foreign governments—U.S. university satellite campuses in foreign countries, and research grants provided to professors.

How Foreign Sources Purchase Influence with Universities

American colleges and universities have disclosed $40.2 billion in foreign funding since 1981, reporting $1.1 billion in foreign payments in 2021 alone.1

Lars Schönander and Dan Lips, “Foreign Influence in American Higher Education: The Case for Additional Transparency and Enforcement,” Lincoln Policy, October 9, 2022, https://cdn.sanity.io/files/d8lrla4f/staging/155926fc057d97f5e0020623f7cf41aecb4d8119.pdf (accessed February 12, 2024).

 However, as scholars Lars Erik Schönander and Dan Lips detail, this is certainly a low estimate given lax disclosure enforcement by the U.S. Department of Education.2

Schönander and Lips, “Foreign Influence in American Higher Education.”

 Universities are required to report any foreign gifts in excess of $250,000 per Section 117 of the Higher Education Act of 1965, yet that provision is poorly enforced, and the Department of Education’s data management is “deeply flawed.”3

Ibid.

Revenue from foreign sources flows to U.S. colleges and universities in five primary ways. While such funding is not automatically suspect simply because the source is outside the United States, these are the primary ways foreign sources can attempt to exert influence:

1. Direct Gifts to Institutions. The most direct way to gain financial leverage is to give gifts. Restricted gifts and grants may be used only as the donor directs. Even unrestricted gifts establish relationships that facilitate outsized influence. The federal government does not restrict this giving, but it does impose a disclosure requirement: Any foreign gift in excess of $250,000 must be disclosed to the U.S. Department of Education. Remarkably few such gifts are disclosed, however.4

Mitchell G. Bard, “Arab Funding of American Universities: Donors, Recipients and Impact 2023,” Jewish Virtual Library, May 2023, https://www​.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/arab-funding-of-american-universities-donors-recipients-and-impact-2023 (accessed February 12, 2024).

 It is unclear whether institutions are intentionally or unintentionally failing to disclose as required. Gifts may also be arriving in smaller annual quantities to avoid reporting. Meanwhile, there are other, less transparent methods for foreign sources to deliver money to universities, as described below.

2. Indirect gifts. Gifts and grants to nonprofit organizations, which then give the money to universities, do not currently trigger disclosure requirements. Many universities, particularly public ones, have created affiliated nonprofit foundations that have no substantive purpose other than to pass funds directly to the university. In this way, public institutions avoid open records and other disclosure requirements that apply to most public institutions, as well as state rules on how to manage public funds.

3. Tuition Payments. Foreign students pay, on average, much higher tuition than U.S. students do. They tend to pay the full sticker price, while U.S. students at private colleges have their undergraduate tuition discounted by about half or get their graduate tuition covered by fellowships.5

Katy McCreary, “Tuition Discount Rates at Private Colleges and Universities Top 50 Percent,” National Association of College and University Business Officers, April 24, 2023, https://www.nacubo.org/Press-Releases/2023/Tuition-Discount-Rates-at-Private-Colleges-and-Universities-Top-50-Percent (accessed February 12, 2024).

 Some universities, especially more selective ones, have high rates of foreign enrollment—for example, New York University is now at about 40 percent foreign enrollment—so they receive large shares of tuition revenue from foreign sources.6

Statista, “U.S. Universities with the Most International Students 2020/21,” November 2023, https://www.statista.com/statistics/237695/international​-students-in-us-universities/ (accessed February 12, 2024), and New York University, “NYU at a Glance,” 2023, https://www.nyu.edu/about/news​-publications/nyu-at-a-glance.html (accessed February 12, 2024).

 While students themselves or family members provide most tuition for foreign students (57 percent), it is unclear what proportion of this funding originates with foreign governments. (Only about 2.2 percent comes directly from foreign governments.)7

Institute of International Education, “International Students’ Primary Source of Funding by Academic Level, 1999/00–2022/23,” 2023, https://​opendoorsdata.org/data/international-students/international-students-primary-source-of-funding/ (accessed February 12, 2024).

The number and rate of foreign students in U.S. universities has grown dramatically over the past several decades. More than 1 million foreign students attended U.S. institutions in 2023.8

Ibid.

 About the same number of foreign students were enrolled as of 2019, representing 9.3 percent of total enrollment.9

U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, “Full-Time-Equivalent Fall Enrollment in Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions, by Control and Level of Institution: 1967 through 2031,” December 2022, https://nces.ed.gov/programs/digest/d22/tables/dt22_307.10​.asp (accessed February 12, 2024).

 In 1980, there were scarcely 300,000, constituting about 5 percent of total enrollment. More than one-third of foreign students now come from Communist China, up from less than 1 percent in 1980.10

U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, “Foreign Students Enrolled in Institutions of Higher Education in the United States, by Continent, Region, and Selected Countries of Origin: Selected Years, 1980-81 through 2019-20,” January 2021, https://nces.ed.gov/programs​/digest/d20/tables/dt20_310.20.asp (accessed February 12, 2024).

4. U.S. Campuses in Foreign Countries. Another significant source of foreign funding for U.S. universities is the operation of affiliated campuses in foreign countries. These are foreign franchises that are largely operated independently but pay significant fees to their home universities. Essentially, U.S. universities are being paid large sums to license their names to overseas universities, and the home universities claim the prestige of being universities of the world for world citizens rather than merely provincial U.S. institutions.

According to Global American Higher Education, 58 campuses of U.S. universities are operating in China. These include campuses affiliated with selective private universities including the University of Chicago, Duke University, Johns Hopkins University, New York University, and Washington University (St. Louis), as well as flagship state universities including Arizona State University, Georgia Tech University, Rutgers University, University of Arizona, University of Michigan, University of Minnesota, and Utah State University. Operational control is sometimes effectively ceded to China, and quality control is not like one would expect at the home campus. When Chinese institutions operate in the United States, they serve the Chinese Communist Party; when U.S. institutions with foreign campuses operate in China, they also abide by the rules of Communist China. Beijing wins in both contexts.

Six campuses of U.S. universities are operating in Qatar. Four are affiliated with private universities: Carnegie Mellon University, Cornell University, Georgetown University, and Northwestern University. Two are affiliated with public universities: Texas A&M University and Virginia Commonwealth University.

Although there are exceptions that include some high-quality programs, these arrangements should be understood largely as vehicles for financial exchange more than educational exchange. Evidence suggests that relatively few U.S. students attend these foreign campuses, and few courses are taught by U.S. instructors. As the Washington Post detailed in 2015, “The Georgetown campus [in Qatar], like the others, is deeply international, with students from Oman, Mexico, Iraq, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon and more. Many have the zigzag life stories of the expatriate majority in Qatar.” The Post also reported broadly on the challenges attracting U.S. faculty to these foreign posts, noting that “Carnegie Mellon’s dean in Qatar, Ilker Baybars, called faculty recruiting ‘the most difficult part of my job.’ It is hard to persuade tenured professors to trade life on a bustling American campus for Doha, where the academic community is small and the weather ranges from pleasant to sweltering.”11

Nick Anderson, “In Qatar’s Education City, U.S. Colleges Are Building an Academic Oasis,” Washington Post, December 6, 2015, https://www​.washingtonpost.com/local/education/in-qatars-education-city-us-colleges-are-building-an-academic-oasis/2015/12/06/6b538702-8e01-11e5-ae1f​-af46b7df8483_story.html (accessed February 12, 2024).

Other foreign campuses may represent the upper bound of U.S. enrollment. For example, at NYU Shanghai, roughly one-third of the class of 2025 was from the United States.12

NYU Shanghai, “Meet the Class of 2025,” https://shanghai.nyu.edu/is/meet-class-2025-0 (accessed February 12, 2024).

 On the whole, however, the data suggest that these are mostly foreign campuses with foreign students taught by foreign staff. The main thing crossing borders is money, not people or ideas. How much money is generally not disclosed.

5. Research Grants to University Professors. Foreign grants to individual professors must be disclosed along with university-level gifts when the $250,000 federal threshold is crossed. But at Yale University, for one, such individual grants have not been disclosed through the federal reporting requirement.13

Armin Rosen, “What Yale Has in Common with Hamas,” Tablet, November 28, 2023, https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/yale-qatar​-ivy-league (accessed February 12, 2024).

 Other professors, even when they do not receive grants, receive all-expenses-paid trips to foreign countries to speak about their research. Such trips alone serve to strategically build goodwill to cash in later.

What Do Foreign Nations Get in Exchange for Their Money?

Direct gifts, indirect gifts, tuition payments, foreign campus licensing fees, and research funding all enable foreign sources to deliver money to U.S. institutions of higher education, providing influential leverage. What do foreign nations expect or get in exchange?

A key category is access. As with contributions to politicians, gifts that are legal buy access to decision-makers when their interests are at stake. This is one reason some universities found it difficult to abandon their Chinese-sponsored Confucius Institutes. Financial leverage enables donors to have special influence on policies, programs, and hires that could affect the donors’ interests. That pattern is a normal and legitimate part of the U.S. philanthropic landscape. But it looks different when donors are foreign individuals, entities, or governments—especially if those foreigners are hostile to U.S. interests.

For example, Middle East studies centers at leading U.S. universities are beneficiaries of funding from countries in that region. Those centers have hired faculty and sponsored projects that regularly advocate for the interests of those countries even when evidently against the interests of the United States.14

Neetu Arnold, “Hijacked: The Capture of America’s Middle East Studies Centers,” National Association of Scholars, September 13, 2022, https://​www.nas.org/reports/hijacked/full-report (accessed February 12, 2024); Adam Kissel, “Why Are Federally Funded University Centers Pushing Antisemitism?,” The Daily Signal, November 21, 2023, https://www.dailysignal.com/2023/11/21/stop-funding-university-programs-contrary-us​-interests/; and Martin S. Kramer, Ivory Towers on Sand: The Failure of Middle Eastern Studies in America (Washington, DC: Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 2001), https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/ivory-towers-sand-failure-middle-eastern-studies-america (accessed February 12, 2024).

 The graduates of those centers staff the State Department, Capitol Hill, and other government agencies, and their research shapes policy discussions.

Financial leverage also allows foreign students to protect themselves when things go wrong. For example, many of the students involved in protests against Israel following the Hamas attacks of October 7, 2023, are foreign nationals. Despite repeated violations of university policies (and in some cases state law)—and threats that they are exposing universities to liability for violations of civil rights protections for Jewish students—the students involved in those protests have faced little to no disciplinary action by universities. The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), where foreign students comprise 30 percent of the student body, explicitly declined to discipline rule-breaking foreign students for fear that suspension might jeopardize their student visas.15

Sally Kornbluth, “Today’s Protest and Counterprotest,” Massachusetts Institute of Technology, November 9, 2023, https://president.mit.edu/writing​-speeches/todays-protest-and-counterprotest (accessed February 12, 2024).

 It takes significant financial leverage to get MIT to care more that foreign students might be deported than to enforce their rules and avoid sanctions under Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.

Financial leverage also expands the opportunities for espionage. Universities are repositories of a significant amount of commercial and national security information, some of which is produced under contract with the government and U.S. companies. Foreign money for graduate students and campus institutes, such as China-supported Confucius Institutes, brings in potential spies on this sensitive information and research—and in the case of China, offers entry to spies on innocent Chinese students and citizens in America.16

Rachelle Peterson, “Policy Brief: Confucius Institutes,” National Association of Scholars, undated, https://www.nas.org/storage/app/media/New%20Documents/PB%20CI%20d1.pdf (accessed February 12, 2024).

 Some Chinese spies enroll in graduate programs and work under leading researchers, even gaining access to labs working on pre-classified technologies. China also recruits accomplished researchers through its Thousand Talents Program.17

News release, “Former Harvard University Professor Sentenced for Lying about His Affiliation with Wuhan University of Technology; China’s Thousand Talents Program; and Filing False Tax Returns,” U.S. Attorney’s Office, District of Massachusetts, April 26, 2023, https://www.justice.gov/usao-ma/pr​/former-harvard-university-professor-sentenced-lying-about-his-affiliation-wuhan (accessed February 12, 2024).

 Finally, U.S. professors themselves can be turned: The chair of the Biochemistry Department at Harvard became so close with the Chinese that he took hundreds of thousands of dollars to serve as an adjunct faculty member at the Wuhan Institute of Technology and supply the Chinese with information. He was ultimately convicted and sentenced for lying about his relationship with China and its Thousand Talents Program.18

Ibid.

Policy Recommendations

Although foreign entities have several ways to direct money to U.S. universities and thereby purchase significant influence, distinguishing legitimate academic support and cultural exchange from illegitimate influence is difficult. The first step is to better understand the full scope of this issue. There are several steps Congress and states should take to increase transparency around foreign funding and to limit the influence of malign foreign influences on American higher education.

Expand and Strengthen Disclosure Requirements on Foreign Funds Provided to U.S. Universities. While U.S. donors should continue to enjoy the right of anonymity, especially to avoid political harassment, this principle is not necessarily correct for foreign donors, particularly those from countries that are hostile to American interests. Congress should lower the amount of direct giving that triggers disclosure requirements and more strictly enforce those disclosures with tougher penalties for non-compliance. Congress could, for example, lower the reporting threshold from its current level of $250,000 to $50,000.

Universities should also be required to disclose, by country of origin, the number of foreign students and the amount of tuition received, as well as the total revenue generated from each foreign campus. Congress should condition access to federal funding—including funding under Title IV of the Higher Education Act for student loans and grants—on compliance.

States should pursue similar reporting requirements pursuant to their authority to authorize or de-authorize institutions to be incorporated and operate in the states.

Limit Foreign Financial Support of American Institutions of Higher Education. Once expanded and strengthened disclosure requirements provide a better understanding of the scope of foreign involvement and where to focus attention, explicit limits on foreign financial leverage may be warranted. These include capping or prohibiting both direct and indirect giving from foreign individuals, entities, and governments that are located in countries of concern to U.S. security interests. The list of countries of concern might be as narrow as in the Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors (CHIPS) Act—China, Iran, Russia, and North Korea—but must likely be broader and include other Middle Eastern countries or additional countries that the disclosure requirements reveal as purchasing risky levels of influence. It may also be sensible to cap the share of university enrollment from each of those countries of concern as well as the absolute number of student visas from these countries collectively. Finally, following due investigation and other due process, it may be necessary to prohibit or significantly curtail U.S. institutions’ foreign campuses in countries of concern. U.S. foreign policy and security interests may need to play a significant role in such decisions, and Congress should empower appropriate federal agencies to make these decisions.

Enforce the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA) and Amend It to Cover Universities. Colleges and universities currently enjoy a “scholastic, academic, or scientific” exception to the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA),19

U.S.C. § 611 et seq.

 which requires entities considered foreign agents to register with the Department of Justice.20

Covington and Burling, “The Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA): A Guide for the Perplexed,” January 31, 2023, https://www.cov.com/en/news​-and-insights/insights/2018/01/the-foreign-agents-registration-act-fara (accessed February 12, 2024).

 This exemption does not apply, however, to political activities. FARA has been sparsely enforced. Like Section 117 of the Higher Education Act, FARA is another “backwater of American law…with just seven prosecutions between 1966 and 2016.”21

Ibid.

 Policymakers have recognized the need for greater FARA enforcement, particularly in higher education. For example, Senators Jim Risch (R–ID), Tim Scott (R–SC), and Chuck Grassley (R–IA) wrote to Attorney General Merrick Garland in late 2023 that there is “clear evidence that [Chinese students and scholars associations] act as an arm of the [Chinese government] for the purpose of shaping U.S. policy and public opinion, and the United States should therefore evaluate whether they are required to register as foreign agents.”22

Tessa Capeloto, “Lawmakers Urge DOJ to Address Foreign Influence on College Campuses,” Wiley, December 14, 2023, https://www.wiley.law/alert​-Lawmakers-Urge-DOJ-to-Address-Foreign-Influence-on-College-Campuses (accessed February 12, 2024).

 Beyond enforcement already available under the law, FARA’s academic exception should be dropped or at least dropped for countries of concern.

Support Policies in the DETERRENT Act. U.S. universities are vital to American interests, yet federal and state funding should not flow to institutions that are significantly influenced by hostile foreign sources. Financial disclosure and enforcement policies such as those pursued in the DETERRENT Act, at the state and federal levels, would help protect U.S. universities and broader American interests. The DETERRENT Act would not only reduce the disclosure threshold to $50,000 for gifts and contracts with most foreign countries, but it would also establish a $0 threshold for the countries and entities that threaten U.S. interests the most.23

U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Education and the Workforce, “DETERRENT Act,” https://edworkforce.house.gov/uploadedfiles/10.11.23​_deterrent_act_118th_congress_bill_fact_sheet_final_pdf.pdf (accessed February 12, 2024).

Conclusion

American colleges and universities, supported by American taxpayers, deserve transparency around the sources of foreign funding that may exert influence on these institutions. Enforcing existing transparency requirements, lowering reporting thresholds, and requiring the disclosure of every penny from sources that may threaten American interests are necessary reforms. Congress should also work to prohibit both direct and indirect giving from foreign individuals, entities, and governments located in countries of concern. Doing so will strengthen colleges and universities and ensure they are oriented toward best serving American student needs.

Jay P. Greene, PhD, is Senior Research Fellow in the Center for Education Policy at The Heritage Foundation. Adam Kissel is Visiting Fellow in the Center for Education Policy. Lindsey M. Burke, PhD, is Director of the Center for Education Policy and Mark A. Kolokotrones Fellow at The Heritage Foundation. 

https://www.heritage.org/education/report/protecting-american-universities-undue-foreign-influence

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader