State Primary Votes

Limited Predictive Value

Republicans will have a string of primaries covering most States from February 1 to June 14, 2016.

I’ve included the Conservative Review Scorecards to determine how conservative these states are.

February 1 2016 - The Iowa Republican Primary vote is contaminated by ethanol, farm subsidies and social conservatives.  No candidate can attack ethanol in Iowa, but it needs to be removed from our gasoline. It harms engine parts and lowers engine efficiency. No candidate can suggest that the federal government should do away with farm subsidies, because farmers don’t trust that they would be able to raise prices to cover the loss of this subsidy. Social conservatives who enjoy religious testimony from candidates miss the point that we need to fix our economy first in order to preserve and restore the US Constitution, the basis of our religious freedom. They also don’t realize that US foreign aid goes immediately into the bank account of the dictator we send it to. Iowa receives too much federal bribe money to be objective or representative. Iowa is not a hotbed of conservatism. They have 2 US Senators with scores of 55% and 68% and they have 6 House Reps. The 2 Democrats score 14% and 7%. The 4 Republicans score 50%, 69%, 75% and 79%.

February 9 2016 - The New Hampshire Republican Primary vote represents another island of villagers with their own history and attitudes. They are Northeasterners and 3 of their 4 members of Congress are really Democrats who ran as Republicans.  They have 2 US Senators with scores of 37% and 2% and they have 2 US House Reps with scores of 69% and 7%. Their grades from Conservative Review Scorecard are 1 D and 3 Fs.

February 20 2016 - South Carolina Republican Primary vote shows a more conservative state that has a solid bench of folks in Congress. They have 2 Republican US Senators with scores of 38% and 88% and 9 Republican US House Reps with scores of 96%, 93%, 88%, 86%, 79%, 75%, 71%, 59% and 50%. They also have 1 Democrat House Rep with a score of 7%.

March 1 2016 – Multiple Republican Primaries would include Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia and Wyoming. 

March 15 2016 - Florida is 60:40 Republican State, but has rotated the Governor and Senate slots between Republicans and Democrats. They have 1 Republican US Senator with a score of 79% and 1 Democrat US Senator with a score of 4%. They have 17 Republican US House Reps with scores from 25% to 93%. They have 10 Democrat US House Reps with scores from 4% to 19%.

GOP Primaries continue in the States until June.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=0https://www.conservativereview.com/scorecard

Comments

The early primaries, the polls and the TV “debates” have identified the current leaders in the Republican Primary race. From here forward, the other State Republican Primaries are worth watching to determine if those States will vote Republican or Democrat in the Presidential election in November.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader