Monday, September 9, 2024

Sanctuary Banns and Criminals 9-9-24

States banning Sanctuary status for some or all of their counties and cities include:

Alabama

Arizona

Arkansas

Georgia

Iowa

Mississippi

Missouri

N Carolina

S Carolina

Tennessee

Texas

https://www.cnn.com/2019/05/09/politics/sanctuary-city-bans-states/index.htm 

The Biden administration has ended a Trump-era policy of denying so-called sanctuary cities from receiving certain forms of federal funding.

In 2021, the Department of Justice gave out approximately $300 million to sanctuary jurisdictions under three funding programs.

Illegal Criminal Migrants

Illegal Criminal Migrants identified by Border Patrol who entered the US Border include migrants with convictions in their own country or in the US.

Year   Illegal Criminals

2017    8,231    

2018    6,698

2019   4,269

2020   2,438

 

2021   10,763

2022   12,028

2023   15,267

2024   14,697

https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/cbp-enforcement-statistics/criminal-noncitizen-statistics

Comments

The Sanctuary movement began in the 1980s in Arizona and was founded by two Quakers and a Presbyterian Minister. It had its roots in the 1960s as Liberation Theology that focused on protecting the “oppressed”. Now we are suffering the consequences of this. Nothing exceeds like excess.

At St. Louis University the Priests teaching Philosophy and Theology were divided on this issue. I sided with the Conservatives. We believed that our first responsibility is to ourselves. We followed the law of proximity and included family as our responsibility as needed. We also believed that charity is a one-to- one obligation that begins at home. Mother Theresa got it right. We are suspicious of expanding charity beyond our actual responsibilities. Marxists will turn our charity into Communism. The Good Samaritan paid the innkeeper to heal the injured man and this is one-to-one.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberation_theology

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

Sunday, September 8, 2024

US Senate 9-8-24

The US Senate has 100 Senators, 2 from each of the 50 States. There are currently 46 Democrats, 49 Republicans 4 Independents and 1 Vacancy. The Independents vote with the Democrats. All appropriation bills are originated in the House and are voted on in the Senate.  Senators were supposed to be elected by the State Legislatures, but in 1913, Congress passed the 17th Amendment that allowed Senators to be elected by the voters of each State. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seventeenth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution 

The current list of US Senators by State are below.

Alabama             Katie Britt (R)               Tommy Turberville (R)

Alaska                Lisa Murkowski (R)       Daniel Sullivan (R)

Arizona              Mark Kelly (D)               Kyrsten Sinema (I)

Arkansas           John Boozman (R)        Tom Cotton (R)

California           Laphonza Butler (D)      Alex Padilla (D)

Colorado           Michael Bennet (D)       John Hickenlooper (D)

Connecticut       Richard Blumenthal (D) Christopher Murphy (D)

Delaware           Tom Carper (D)             Chris Coons (D)

Florida               Marco Rubio (R)            Rick Scott (R)

Georgia             John Ossoff (D)             Raphael Warnock (D)

Hawaii               Mazie Hirono (D)           Brian Schatz (D)

Idaho                 Mike Krapo (R)              Jim Risch (R)

Illinois                Tammy Duckworth (D)   Dick Durban (D)

Indiana              Mark Braun (R)              Todd Young (R)

Iowa                  Joni Ernst (R)                 Chuck Grasley (R)

Kansas              Roger Marshall (R)        Jerry Moran (R)

Kentucky           Mitch McConnell (R)      Rand Paul (R)

Louisiana          Bill Cassidy (R)              John Neely Kennedy (R)

Maine               Susan Collins (R)           Angus King (I)

Maryland          Ben Cardin (D)               Chris Van Hollen (D)

Massachusetts   Ed Markey (D)             Elizabeth Warren (D)

Michigan          Gary Peters (D)             Debbie Stabenow (D)

Minnesota        Amy Klobuchar (D)       Tina Smith (D)

Mississippi       Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)   Roger Wicker (R)

Missouri          Josh Hawley (R)             Eric Schmitt (R)

Montana         Steve Daines (R)            Jon Tester (D)

Nebraska        Deb Fischer (R)             Pete Ricketts (R)

Nevada           Catherine Masto (D)      Jacky Rosen (D)

N Hampshire  Maggie Hassan (D)       Jeanne Shaheen (D)

N Jersey         Cory Booker (D)              vacant

N Mexico        Martin Heinrich (D)        Ben Ray Lugan (D)

New York       Kirsten Gillibrand (D)     Chuck Shumer (D)

N Carolina     Ted Budd (R)                 Thom Tillis (R)

N Dakota       Kevin Kramer (R)           John Hoeven (R)

Ohio              JD Vance (R)                 Sherrod Brown (D)

Oklahoma     James Langford (R)       Markwayne Mullin (R)

Oregon         Jeff Merkley (D)              Ron Wyden (D)

Pennsylvania Bob Casey (D)             John Fetterman (D)

Rhode Island Jack Reed (D)              Sheldon Whitehouse (D)

S Carolina     Lindsey Graham (R)    Tim Scott (R)

S Dakota       Mike Rounds (R )        John Thune (R)

Tennessee    Marsha Blackburn (R)  Bill Hagerty (R)

Texas           John Cornyn (R)           Ted Cruz (R)

Utah             Mike Lee (R)                 Mitt Romney (R)

Vermont       Bernie Sanders (I)        Peter Welch (D)

Virginia        Tim Kaine (D)                Mark Warner (D)

Washington Maria Cantwell (D)        Patty Murray (D)

W Virginia    Shelly Moore Capito (R) Joe Manchin (D)

Wisconsin    Tammy Baldwin (D)     Ron Johnson (R)

Wyoming     John Borrasso (R)       Cynthia Lummis (R)

https://ballotpedia.org/List_of_current_members_of_the_U.S._Congress

https://www.britannica.com/topic/Members-of-the-U-S-Senate-1935165

Comments

Senators should list their positions on issues on their websites.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

Corporate Tax Rate 9-8-24

Trump has proposed lowering the US Corporate Tax Rate from 21% to 15%. 

The average corporate tax rate for all the countries in the world is 23.5%. These tax rates span from 0 to 36%.

The Corporate Tax Rates for Countries we trade with include:

Country   Corp Tax %

China           25

Germany     30

Japan          30.6

S Korea       24

Mexico        30

India           35

Saudi Arab 20

UK              25

Italy            24

France       25

Brazil         34

https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/corporate-tax-rate

The US move to 15% to become more competitive. It gives small business a fighting chance to redevelop. It also encourages foreign countries we allow to establish manufacturing plants in the US to supply US customers. It allows large businesses the opportunity to reshore manufacturing and invest in infrastructure and shorted their supply chains.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader         

 

Saturday, September 7, 2024

US Jobs Report August 2024

By BLS 9/6/24 

The BLS has reduced the number of US jobs reported from April 2023 to March 2024 by 818,000. When spread through the prior year, the average monthly job gain from April 2023 through March 2024 was 173,500 versus nearly 242,000, an analysis of BLS data shows. The downward adjustments were limited to the private sector, with nearly half in the professional and business services industry (revised down by 358,000, or 1.6%.) Other sectors showing large negative swings included the information industry (down 68,000, or 2.3%), leisure and hospitality (down 150,000, or 0.9%) and manufacturing (down 115,000, or -0.9%).

This report is preliminary and will be revised.  This report counts the additions to payroll on ADP and others that offer payrolling services. These numbers will be compared with payroll tax receipts received in 30 days from all employers and revised. The estimates released by the Labor Department on Wednesday — after an uncharacteristic delay of more than half an hour — are preliminary and will not be finalized until February 2025.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/21/economy/bls-jobs-revisions/index.html

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

The average work week dropped from 34.3 to 34.2 hours in July 2024.

Job openings decreased in August from 8.184 million to 7.67 million

Job openings increased in July 2024 from 8.14 million to 8.184 million

Job openings increased in June 2024 from 8.06 million to 8.14 million.

Job openings decreased in May 2024 from 8.1 million to 8.06 million.

Job openings decreased in April from 8.75 million to 8.1 million.

Job openings decreased in March 2024 from 8.86 million to 8.75 million.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL

 

Jobs restored in 2021 from the Covid years were 7.2 million.

Jobs created in 2022 were 4.5 million.

Jobs created in 2023 were 3.1 million. rev to 2.282 million.

https://apnews.com/article/jobs-hiring-unemployment-economy-inflation-federal-reserve-96162ff805670eb19a44cdf67fa20e3e

 

The report shows jobs added in 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024 by month\

142,000 in August 2024

114,000 in July 2024 rev to 89,000

206,000 in June 2024 rev to 145,000

272,000 in May 2024 rev to 218,000

175,000 in April 2024 rev to 165,000

303,000 in March 2024 rev to 310,000

275,000 in February 2024 rev to 270000

353,000 in January 2024 rev to 229000

Total  1,426,000

 

158,000 in December 2023 rev to 290000

199,000 in November 2023

150,000 in October 2023

336,000 in September 2023

187,000 in August 2023

187,000 in July 2023

185,000 in June 2023 rev dn 24000

314,000 in May 2023 rev dn 25000

253,000 in April 2023 rev dn 818,000

 

236,000 in March 2023

311,000 in February 2023

517,000 in January 2023

3,033,000 in 2023

-1,700,000 layoffs

1,333,000 jobs

 

223,000 in December 2022

263,000 in November 2022

261,000 in October 2022

263,000 in September 2022

315,000 in August 2022

528,000 in July 2022

372,000 in June 2022

390,000 in May 2022

428,000 in April 2022

431,000 in March 2022

678,000 in February 2022

467,000 in January 2022

4,620,000 in 2022

-1,760,000 layoffs

2,860,000 jobs

 

199,000 in December 2021

210,000 in November 2021

531,000 in October 2021

194,000 in September 2021

235,000 in August 2021

943,000 in July 2021

850,000 in June 2021

559,000 in May 2021

278,000 in April 2021 

785,000 in March 2021

379,000 in February 2021

49,000 in January 2021

5,212,000 in 2021

-1,300,000 layoffs

3,912,000 jobs

 

12,855,000 total 2021-2024

-19,430,000 layoffs

-6,575,000 jobs -818,000 rev -7,393,000

https://www.google.com/search?q=us+layoffs+in+us+by+year+2021&sca_esv=b51f433a1d832308&ei=reY0ZuygNbHDp84PrtezmAo&ved=0ahUKEwisq4qny_GFAxWx4ckDHa7rDKMQ4dUDCBA&uact=5&oq=us+layoffs+in+us+by+year+2021&gs_lp=Egxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAiHXVzIGxheW9mZnMgaW4gdXMgYnkgeWVhciAyMDIxMgUQIRigATIFECEYoAEyBRAhGKABMgUQIRigATIFECEYoAFI4iJQjghYwAxwAXgBkAEAmAFMoAGWAaoBATK4AQPIAQD4AQGYAgOgAqUBwgIKEAAYsAMY1gQYR8ICBRAhGJ8FmAMAiAYBkAYIkgcBM6AHrws&sclient=gws-wiz-serp

 

BLS Jobs Report August 2024 

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 142,000 in August 2024 and unemployment moved from 4.3% to 4.2%. The number of unemployed persons moved from 7.2 million to 7.1 million. Long Term Unemployment remained at 1.5 million. The Labor Participation rate remained at 62.7%. There were 5.6 million actively seeking jobs.

Construction jobs increased by 34,000 in August.

Health care jobs increased by 31,000 in August and is above February 2020 levels.

Social Assistance jobs increased by 13,000 in August.

Manufacturing jobs did not decreased by 24,000 in August.

Government jobs did not increase and is above February 2020 levels.

Transportation and Warehouse jobs did not increase in August.

Information jobs did not increase in August.

Leisure and hospitality food and drink service jobs did not increase in August. Jobs are down by 121,000 since February 2020

Professional and business services jobs did not increase in August and is above February 2020 levels by 1,000,000 jobs.

Retail jobs did not increase in August. Retail jobs are down by 100,000 since February 2020

Other Services jobs did not increase in August.

Mining, Oil and Gas Extraction jobs did not increase in August.

Financial jobs did not increase in August.  Employment in financial activities is 200,000 jobs above its February 2020 level.

Wholesale jobs did not increase in August.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

 

In February 2020 the US Jobs Deficit was 9.5 million.  

US Unemployment by industry had deficits from February 2020.

                    2020                       2021

Industry      June   Sept   Oct     Feb    Apr    May   Aug   Dec

Hospitality  2.2M  1.6M  1.4M  1.5M 1.4M   1.3M  -1.1m -1m

Prof & Bus 632K  385K  215K+596k+738k +821k+1.1m +1m

Mfg            481K  353K  270K  178k   56k    17k     0k       0k

Construct   238K  201K  150K  11k   +8k   +40k   +40k   +59k

Mining       110K   93K    87K    62k  +73k  +80k   +96k   +102

Healthcare 508K  524K  460K  306k  250k  223k  -37k   +0k

Public Sch 582K  504K  575K  306k  306k  308k  -555k -555k

Pvt Schls   255K  172K  148K  148k  148k  115k  +115k +115k

SocialAsst 236K  204K  204K  152k  126k  126k   -53k    -40k

Media/Info 193K  108K  122K  122k  122k  122k  +117k +101k

Tran Whse 94K  +75K +149K+584k +674k+709k +759k +751k

Wholesale 192K  159K  158K  113k  1 57k   41k     -3k   +0k

Other Svc  297K  189K  169K   317k 317k  317k   -317k  -300k

Retail         303K  202K  140K  104k  284k+159k  -208k  -200k

Totals        6.3M   4.6M   4.9M  3.8M  2.9M 2.6M  -1.34k - 0k

Industries with deficits as of 2/28/23 included Hospitality, Public Schools, Retail and Other Services.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

The Employment Situation-August 2021 (bls.gov)

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

 

US Job Cuts

Scores of Americans had to brush up their CVs last year. In 2023, companies planned 721,677 job cuts, a 98% jump from 2022, according to a new report from professional outplacement firm Challenger, Gray, and Christmas. The number marks the highest annual total since 2020.Jan 4, 2024

https://www.google.com/search?q=us+layoffs+in+us+by+year+2023&sca_esv=f73e6ca5e1446b75&ei=ZGc3ZtmxGIzJkPIPyPSVgAg&ved=0ahUKEwjZ846rrvaFAxWMJEQIHUh6BYAQ4dUDCBA&uact=5&oq=us+layoffs+in+us+by+year+2023&gs_lp=Egxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAiHXVzIGxheW9mZnMgaW4gdXMgYnkgeWVhciAyMDIzMgUQIRigATIFECEYoAEyBRAhGKABMgUQIRigATIFECEYoAFI2k1QzydYmz9wAXgAkAEAmAFioAHvAaoBATO4AQPIAQD4AQGYAgOgAskBwgIKEAAYsAMY1gQYR8ICBRAhGJ8FmAMAiAYBkAYIkgcDMi4xoAejEQ&sclient=gws-wiz-serp

The tech layoff wave is still going strong in 2024. Following significant workforce reductions in 2022 and 2023, this year has already seen 60,000 job cuts across 254 companies, according to independent layoffs tracker Layoffs.fyi.

https://www.businessinsider.com/layoffs-sweeping-us-these-are-companies-making-cuts-2024

Comments

The US Jobs deficit was 9.5 million in January 2021. This is the shortfall between jobs held in February 2020.

Over 16 million illegal immigrants entered the US since January 2021. I expect they will take government welfare in addition to jobs where they can be supervised by bi-lingual illegals in jobs that don’t require English and drug cartel jobs. Over 4 million legal immigrants arrive each year and 2 million US students graduate each year.

The US Labor Force Participation Rate 2021-2024

62.7  August 2024

62.7 July 2024

62.6 June 2024

62.5 May 2024

62.7 April 2024

62.7 March 2024

62.5 February 2024

62.5 January 2024

62.5 December 2023

62.8 November 2023

62.7 October 2023

62.8 September 2023

62.8 August 2023

62.6 July 2023

62.6 June 2023

62.6 May 2023

62.6 April 2023

62.6 March 2023

62.5 February 2023

62.4 January 2023

60.1 December 2022

62.1 November 2022

62.2 October 2022

62.3 September 2022

62.4 August 2022

62.1 July 2022

62.2 June 2022

62.3 May 2022

62.2 April 2022

62.4 March 2022

62.3 February

62.2 January 2022

61.9 December 2021

61.8 November 2021

61.6 October 2021

61.6 September 2021

61.7 August 2021

61.7 July 2021

61.6 June 2021

61.6 May 2021

61.7 April 2021

61.5 March 2021

61.4 February 2021

61.4 January 2021

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/labor-force-participation-rate

 

US Layoffs by Year

2023  194,000

2022   93,000

2021  10,353,000

Total 10.640.000

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2023/06/30/nearly-194000-laid-off-in-2023-so-far-as-us-layoffs-surge/?sh=3a3a2ce5777c

https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2022/article/job-openings-and-quits-reach-record-highs-i

 

Jobs 2021-2024

Jobs restored 12,686,000

Job Lay-offs   10,640,000

Jobs created    2,046,000 rev – 818,000 = 1,228,000

 

Comments

The 12,686,000 Jobs restored are off-set by the 10.640,000 Job Lay-offs to have 2.046.000 Jobs created in 2021 to 2023 minus 818,000 puts Jobs created at 1,228,000.

The US population is 335.9 million. The Labor Participation rate is 62.7%. The US Labor force is 209.9375 million.

The BLS Jobs Data is released monthly to report job starts but doesn’t report job lay-offs. It is quietly adjusted later and recorded unintelligibly in tables near the bottom of the report.

The average work week remained at 34.3 hours in August 2024. The Labor Participation rate remained 62.7 in August 2024. These are clues that US citizen employment is flat. The increase is likely due to job gains by illegal immigrants.

US Lay-offs 2023-2024

By Trading Economics 2-24-24

Feb 2024  1.72K

Jan 2024  1.60K

Dec 2023 1.61K

Nov 2023 1.55K

Oct 2023  1.65K

Sep 2023 1.61K

Aug 2023 1.68K

Jul 2023   1.68K

Jun 2023 1.55K

May 2023 1.55K

Apr  2023 1.59K

Mar 2023 1.84K

Total      19.63K

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-layoffs-and-discharges

Comments

If I applied the data above on US layoffs to the US Jobs Report, the data shows jobs lost from 2021 to Feb 2024 were 6,944,000.

Jobs 2021-2023                  Revised Feb 2024

Jobs restored 12,686,000   12,686,000

Job Lay-offs   10,640,000   19,630,000

Jobs created    2,046,000   -6,944,000 jobs lost

Comments

By 2021, most large companies required job seekers to apply via painfully complex company job websites. They hired mostly Black and LGBTQ applicants to comply with DEI edicts. White Conservatives were not welcome and many quit their Woke companies. Company website applications were too much hassle for lower paid workers who used to show up with a resume to get a job. 

The 11 million jobs open reported in 2021, was a fishing trip for Engineers with specific skills in AI, EV, Cyber abatement and advanced chip design and manufacturing. At the same time these companies were in the process of deciding what new fad they would continue to fund. Apple was going to make EVs and dropped it. Bezos bought Twitter, found corruption and laid off 75% of his workforce. AI companies did find Engineers who had been studying AI since 2000. Engineers can now work from home as consultants.

As job postings fell from 2022 to 2023, non-engineering jobs were posted “in case they needed employees”, but applicants were ignored as companies continued to question future demand for their services. Applicants stopped applying through company websites and turned to finding their own jobs.

The 8 million jobs open reported in 2024 reflects the bubbles in job postings that arose from “ready, fire, aim” tactics used by big companies as they assessed what fads would succeed. Low EV sales reflected prohibitive costs, design flaws and limitations. EV mandates continue to be ignored.

Covid vaccine edicts by Woke Companies resulted in forced terminations from 2021 to 2023. Small “non-essential” businesses closed in Democrat States. On-line sales spiked as retail stores closed. Big Box grocery stores gained business as restaurant and fast-food sales declined. Covid taught consumers to eat at home. Work from home became popular and employees are hesitant to go back to the office. Big City office space is being converted to apartment units.

Open Borders from 2021 has resulted in the invasion of illegal migrants to big cities. Illegal gangs have added to the crime and employees are even more hesitant to go to the office.

10 million illegals or 65% of our 16 million are working in the US and have taken the jobs. The 6 million plus Illegal migrants are working for Drug Cartels, collecting welfare and awaiting work permits. Many are working illegally in the US at familiar companies processing animal parts, landscaping and working in on-line retail in warehouse jobs.

This 818,000 downward revision should prompt Congress to ensure that better methods are adopted by BLS for this market sensitive report, before everyone just decides to ignore all future US Job Reports.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Political Campaign Spending 9-7-24

Political campaign spending is out of control. The bulk of the money goes to political hit ads on TV. George Soros spent $300 million each to get Ossoff and Warnock elected to the Senate in Georgia. Outside money is the problem. If campaign contributions were limited to Voters Only for those who appear on their Ballot, all candidates would be on an even footing and the Politicians would actually work for the Voters. 

Political spending in the 2016 election totaled $15 billion.

Political spending in the 2018 election totaled  $5.7 billion

Political spending in the 2020 election totaled $14.4 billion.

Political spending in the 2022 election totaled $4.8 billion collected and $4.1 billion spent.

A confusing matrix of FEC Rules limiting campaign contributions is displayed on:

https://www.fec.gov/help-candidates-and-committees/candidate-taking-receipts/contribution

Soros navigates around the FEC Rules by donating campaign contributions to hundreds of Non-Profits, who in turn give his money to his candidates.

This allows “outside money” to buy millions of dollars in TV ads. That’s how Soros funded all the big city District Attorneys to stop prosecution of criminals. Soros also funded both Democrat Senate Candidates in Georgia in 2020 and 2021. Soros is the investor who crashed the British Pound and founded the Open Borders movement. He lives in New York and needs to be deported to Moscow.

Congress needs to pass new laws on campaign contributions to eliminate outside money and require candidates to set up a web page with their complete resume and their positions on all issues before they are allowed to be accepted as candidates.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader