Obama's Paris climate treaty
spells doom for TPP, By Rick Manning, 12/1/15
President Obama will sign on to some
form of a climate change treaty in Paris and he will refuse to submit it to the
Senate for ratification.
Why is the lame-duck Obama
emboldened to flout the Constitution on this landmark treaty?
The answer lies in Congress's
attempt to force the president to bring his Iran deal to the Senate for
ratification. When Republicans decided to "assert their authority" by
passing legislation requiring that Obama submit the nuclear deal to Congress in
a form that could only be rejected if a two-thirds majority in both chambers
were willing to override his veto, the seeds were sown for Obama's complete
disregard for constitutional treaty powers.
Not coincidentally, during the same
timeframe, Obama and Republican congressional leaders were working overtime to
provide the executive with what Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.)
then called "an enormous grant of power" by allowing him to
fast-track trade deals through Congress.
These two actions in tandem have set
the stage for the imperial Obama who will sign the treaty, use his regulatory
agencies to write rules based upon it and dare Congress or the courts to stop him.
And it is this experience that will
doom Obama's attempt to rewrite the rules of the world's economy through his
recently completed, yet unsigned, Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP).
Under the rules of fast-track, once
Obama signs the TPP, Congress will be on the clock to have an up-or-down vote
in both the House and the Senate without amendments or filibusters. Into this
decision-making mix, the majority in Congress will be pulling out the stops to
stop the Paris treaty.
TPP matters in this post-Paris climate
treaty signature context because it provides the international framework to
enforce the climate change agreement without any additional congressional
approval. The U.S. Trade Representative's office made the importance of using
the TPP to enforce the green agenda clear in a January 2014 press release when
they declared: The United States'
position on the environment in the Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations is
this: environmental stewardship is a core American value, and we will insist on
a robust, fully enforceable environment chapter in the TPP or we will not come
to agreement.
Our proposals in the TPP are
centered around the enforcement of environmental laws, including those
implementing multilateral environmental agreements (MEAs) in TPP partner
countries, and also around trailblazing, first-ever conservation proposals that
will raise standards across the region.
There can be little doubt that Obama
plans on using the Trans-Pacific Partnership governance as the means to enforce
whatever he agrees to in Paris on the U.S. all the while our trade partners
will ignore it, with the threat of international trade sanctions imposed
against the United States should Congress or a future president roll back his
agenda.
It is also clear that Obama intends
to force a ponderous federal court battle over whether the Paris treaty should
be subjected to Senate ratification, buying him time to move forward with a
regulatory agenda designed to meet the terms of the non-ratified agreement.
Given the likelihood that the TPP
governance board (which consists of one vote for each of the 12 countries who
are currently participating) will act to enforce the Paris climate treaty
against the U.S. (but not themselves) for noncompliance during a Hillary
Clinton or Bernie Sanders presidency regardless of the will of Congress, the
vote on TPP will become the proxy for Obama's climate agenda.
The truth has always been that the
TPP has never been about trade, but instead has been about a rewriting of the
rules of the world economy negotiated by a president who vowed to fundamentally
transform America. And it is through the TPP that any future president who
shares his vision will be able to finish the transformation and no one in
Congress will be able to stop it.
Manning
is president of Americans for Limited Government.
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/international/261588-obamas-paris-climate-treaty-spells-doom-for-tpp
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