Wednesday, September 30, 2020

US Cov19 Deaths by State 9/30/20


US is approaching 7.5 million cases and 220,000 deaths. The recovery rate is 96%. We need immediate accurate test results and immediate treatment of symptoms to prevent hospitalization. 

As of 9/30/20 10 am ET, US case gain moves to average 0.6% and %deaths/cases remains at 2.9%. Most deaths on 6/26/20 were in New Jersey and most deaths on 7/1/20 were in New York.

US          Cases      Gain     %      Deaths   %  Deaths/Day

9/30/20   7408560  43410  0.6%  210839   2.9     932

9/29/20   7365150   8358   0.1%  209907   2.9     167

9/28/20   7356792  68698  0.9%  209740   2.9     560

9/27/20   7288094  42371  0.6%  209180   2.9     697

9/26/20   7245723  58087  0.8%  208483   2.9     928

9/25/20   7187636  45713  0.6%  207555   2.9     934

9/24/20   7141923  43632  0.6%  206616   2.9    1338

9/23/20   7098291  51452  0.7%  205278   2.9     719

9/22/20   7046839  41153  0.6%  204559   2.9     437

9/21/20   7005686  35642  0.5%  204122   2.9     271

9/20/20   6970044  41632  0.6%  203851   2.9     663

9/19/20   6928412  52286  0.8%  203188   2.9     951    

9/18/20   6876126  46279  0.7%  202237   2.9     834

9/17/20   6829847  41376  0.6%  201403   3.0   1206

9/16/20   6788471  38336  0.6%  200197   3.0   1145

9/15/20   6750105  39517  0.6%  199052   3.0     509

9/14/20   6710588  32439  0.5%  198543   3.0     395

9/13/20   6678149  40105  0.6%  198148   3.0     688

9/12/20   6638044  49219  0.7%  197461   3.0   1115

9/11/20   6588825  38001  0.6%  196345   3.0   1086

9/10/20   6550824  36221  0.6%  195259   3.0   1195

9/9/20     6514603  28117  0.4%  194064   3.0    478

9/8/20     6486426  25073  0.4%  193586   3.0    333

9/7/20     6461353  29144  0.5%  193253   3.0    389

9/6/20     6432209  40733  0.6%  192864   3.0    718

9/5/20     6390176  54523  0.9%  192146   3.0  1086

9/4/20     6335653  44026  0.7%  191060   3.0  1046

9/3/20     6291627  32581  0.5%  190014   3.0  1083

9/2/20     6259046  46815  0.8%  188931   3.0  1185

9/1/20     6212231  36631  0.6%  187746   3.0   514

8/31/20   6175600  35595  0.6%  187232   3.0   358

8/30/20   6140005  42295  0.7%  186874   3.0   888

8/29/20   6097710  48270  0.8%  185986   3.1  1014

8/28/20   6049440  47348  0.8%  184972   3.1  1287

8/27/20   6002092  45431  0.8%  183685   3.1  1236

8/26/20   5956661  40393  0.7%  182449   3.1  1323

8/25/20   5916268  41014  0.7%  181126   3.1   512

8/24/20   5875254  33107  0.6%  180614   3.1   423

8/23/20   5842147  42999  0.7%  180191   3.1   951

8/22/20   5799148  51604  0.9%  179240   3.1  1784

8/21/20   5747544  45666  0.8%  177456   3.1  1079

8/20/20   5701878  45134  0.8%  176377   3.1  1272

8/19/20   5656744  43387  0.8%  175105   3.1  1327

8/18/20   5613357  45592  0.8%  173778   3.1   639

8/17/20   5567765  36456  0.7%  173139   3.1   509

8/16/20   5531309  53300  1.0%  172630   3.1  1062

8/15/20   5478009  59964  1.1%  171568   3.1  1122

8/14/20   5418045  56914  1.1%  170446   3.1  1285

8/13/20   5361131  53379  1.0%  169161   3.2  1380

8/12/20   5307752  55755  1.1%  167781   3.2  1580

8/11/20   5251997  51684  1.0%  166201   3.2    582

8/10/20   5200313  48537  0.9%  165619   3.2    527

8/9/20     5151776  52072  1.0%  165092   3.2    922

8/8/20     5099704  66899  1.3%  164170   3.2  1358

8/7/20     5032805  58527  1.2%  162812   3.2  1177

8/6/20     4974278  55130  1.1%  161635   3.2  1300

8/5/20     4919148  56071  1.2%  160335   3.3  1360

8/4/20     4863077  48637  1.0%  158975   3.3    600

8/3/20     4814440  49098  1.0%  158375   3.3    454

8/2/20     4765342  57941  1.2%  157921   3.3  1149

8/1/20     4707401  71515  1.5%  156772   3.3  1442

7/31/20   4635886  67511  1.5%  155330   3.4  1482

7/30/20   4568375  69272  1.5%  153848   3.4  1490

7/29/20   4499103  64918  1.5%  152358   3.4  1858

7/28/20   4434185  62129  1.4%  150500   3.4    648

7/27/20   4372056  54656  1.3%  149852   3.4    445

7/26/20   4317400  68641  1.6%  149407   3.5    909

7/25/20   4248759  78426  1.9%  148498   3.5   1156

7/24/20   4170333  69025  1.7%  147342   3.5   1150

7/23/20   4101308  72575  1.8%  146192   3.6   1234

7/22/20   4028733  66353  1.7%  144958   3.6   1086

7/21/20   3962380  63022  1.6%  143872   3.6    562

7/20/20   3899358  65642  1.7%  143310   3.7    429

7/19/20   3833716  62615  1.7%  142881   3.7    801

7/18/20   3771101  72709  2.0%  142080   3.8    930

7/17/20   3698392  79049  2.2%  141150   3.8    950

7/16/20   3619343  73065  2.1%  140200   3.9   1038

7/15/20   3546278  65819  1.9%  139162   3.9    889

7/14/20   3480459  66354  1.9%  138273   4.0    486

7/13/20   3414105  57863  1.7%  137787   4.0    373

7/12/20   3356242  63561  1.9%  137414   4.1    698

7/11/20   3292681  71686  2.2%  136716   4.2    878

7/10/20   3220995  60711  1.9%  135838   4.2    978

7/9/20     3160284  62746  2.0%  134920   4.3    929

7/8/20     3097538  55588  1.8%  133991   4.3    950

7/7/20     3041950  56460  1.9%  133041   4.4    431

7/6/20     2985490  49239  1.7%  132610   4.4    283

7/5/20     2936251  38384  1.3%  132327   4.5    215

7/4/20     2891267  53586  1.9%  132112   4.6    609

7/3/20     2837681  56596  2.0%  131503   4.6    690

7/2/20     2781085  51237  1.9%  130813   4.7    679

7/1/20     2729848  46547  1.7%  130134   4.8   1315 NY

6/30/20   2683301  45862  1.7%  128819   4.8    376

6/29/20   2637439  19592  0.7%  128443   4.9    200

6/28/20   2617847  61779  2.4%  128243   4.9    603

6/27/20   2553068  48392  1.9%  127640   5.0    855

6/26/20   2504676  41238  1.7%  126785   5.1   2491 NJ

6/25/20   2463438  38945  1.6%  124294   5.0    818

6/24/20   2424493  34641  1.4%  123476   5.1    815

6/23/20   2389852  33011  1.4%  122661   5.1    411

6/22/20   2356841  25291  1.1%  122250   5.2    247

6/21/20   2331550  33908  1.5%  122003   5.2    589

6/20/20   2297642  33576  1.5%  121414   5.3    726

6/19/20   2264066  29212  1.3%  120688   5.3    745

6/18/20   2234854  26368  1.2%  119943   5.4    810

6/17/20   2208486  24888  1.0%  119133   5.4    794

6/16/20   2183598  21114  1.0%  118339   5.4    480

6/15/20   2162484  20260  0.9%  117859   5.5    332

6/14/20   2142224  24891  1.2%  117527   5.5    687

6/13/20   2117333  27508  1.3%  116840   5.5    805

6/12/20   2089825  22965  1.1%  116035   5.6    878

6/11/20   2066860  20346  1.0%  115157   5.6    972

6/10/20   2046514  19076  0.9%  114185   5.6   1060

6/9/20     2027438  19742  1.0%  113125   5.6    653

6/8/20     2007696  17094  0.9%  112472   5.6    344

6/7/20     1990602  24336  1.2%  112128   5.6    730

6/6/20     1966266  40999  2.1%  111398   5.7   1180

6/5/20     1925267  21399  1.2%  110218   5.7   1042

6/4/20     1903868  22386  1.2%  109176   5.7   1093

6/3/20     1881482  20856  1.1%  108083   5.7   1138

6/2/20     1860626  22796  1.2%  106945   5.7     737

6/1/20     1837830  18042  1.0%  106208   5.8     574

5/31/20   1819788  22556  1.3%  105634   5.8    1001

5/30/20   1797232  28624  1.6%  104633   5.8    1289

5/29/20   1768608  22672  1.3%  103344   5.8    1230

5/28/20   1745936                        102114   5.8

US % Deaths/Case by State 9/30/20.  The asterisk * indicates no change from yesterday in cases and deaths. 

Massachusetts cases revised down by 7757 from 128888 to 121131 on 9/3/20*

State                     Cases    Deaths    %  

California             816287   15792   1.9% flat

Texas                  783468   16023    2.1% flat

Florida                 704568   14144    2.0% flat

New York            492057    33233    6.8% flat

Georgia               316306    6994     2.2% flat

Illinois                  293490    8881     3.0% flat

Arizona                218184    5632     2.6% flat

N Carolina           209137    3494     1.7% flat

New Jersey         208360   16238    7.8% flat

Tennessee          194611    2420     1.2% flat

Louisiana            165624     5490     3.3% flat

Pennsylvania      163220     8204     5.0% down

Alabama             153554     2517     1.6% flat

Ohio                    153053     4800     3.1% down

Virginia                148271     3208     2.2% flat

S Carolina           147634     3359     2.3% flat

Michigan             136820     7072     5.2% flat

Massachusetts   131584     9423     7.2% flat

Missouri              129532     2213     1.7% flat

Maryland             124725     3949     3.2% flat

Wisconsin           119955     1300     1.1% flat

Indiana                119066     3612     3.0% flat

Minnesota            98447      2074     2.1% flat

Mississippi           97638      2957     3.0% flat

Washington         89856      2125      2.4% flat

Iowa                     88401     1341      1.5% flat

Oklahoma            86219     1018      1.2% flat

Arkansas             82755      1350      1.6% flat

Nevada               79595      1593      2.0% flat

Utah                    72136       457       0.6% flat

Colorado             70025      2046      2.9% flat

Kentucky             67856      1170      1.7% flat

Kansas                59812       654       1.1% flat

Connecticut         57329      4505      7.9% flat

Nebraska             45044      478       1.1% flat

Idaho                   41434      464       1.1% flat

Oregon                33291      555       1.7% flat

New Mexico        29157      875        3.0% flat

Rhode Island       24556     1113      4.5% flat

S Dakota             21997      223       1.0% flat

N Dakota             21401      239       1.1% flat

Delaware             20531      635       3.1% flat

W Virginia           15692       345       2.2% flat

DC                      15326       627       4.1% flat

Montana             12724       177       1.4% flat

Hawaii                12290       134       1.1% flat

N Hampshire       8233        439       5.3% down

Alaska                 7721         56        0.7% flat

Wyoming             5821         50        0.9% flat

Maine                  5391       141        2.6% flat

Vermont              1749         58        3.3% flat

US Territories and Federal Facilities

Puerto Rico       48755        661       1.4% flat

Guam                 2443          45        1.8% down

Virgin Islands     1318          20        1.5% up

N Mariana             70             2        2.9% flat*

US Military        65657         96        0.2% flat*

Veterans           61001      3436       5.6% flat

Fed Prisons      16919        126       0.7% down

Navajo              10312         555       5.4% flat

Travel Groups    152            3         2.0% flat*

US Totals      7408560    210839    2.9% flat

Comments

The US overall death rate is 2 million per year or 5480 per day from all causes.  The Covid19 death rate has averaged about 1000 per day and is trending toward 500 per day.

US %Deaths/Cases continue to decline due to increases in testing. This also tracks treatment learning-curve and patient outcome improvement. States with over 7% did the worst job, including New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Connecticut.  Higher %Deaths/Cases also reflects patient pre-existing health issues, population density, public transit, international travel and economic activity.

The increase in new cases is driven by the increase in testing. It is the denominator in the %deaths/cases, so increases in cases lowers the % of deaths. Deaths have resulted in 7% of the cases and 80% of deaths occur with patients who are age 65 and older.

Time spent out-of-doors might help. California and Florida fared better than average. Developing immunity and eliminating pre-existing conditions should be pursued. Weight loss will help reverse and avoid Diabetes II.  Taking vitamins A, C, D, E, magnesium and zinc will strengthen immunity.

Medicine is a “trial and error” endeavor aimed at improving outcomes. The important work is being done by practicing physicians and their staffs to prevent deaths. 

The 1918-1919 Spanish Flu was a virus that reached 500 million cases requiring treatment and 50 million deaths worldwide. 675,000 deaths were in the US. It affected all age groups and lasted for 2 years.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/1918-commemoration/1918-pandemic-history.htm

The 2019-2020 Wuhan Covid19 virus is approaching 34 million cases and 1.1 million deaths worldwide. During the first 6 months of this virus, tests were given to patients with symptoms that required treatment.  Lately most cases are asymptomatic carriers and this testing is driving down death counts. The US is now moving back to testing of patients with symptoms.

The value of testing is tracking to avoid spreading the virus.  We are also curious about how asymptomatic carriers avoid becoming ill. Immediate accurate test results and immediate early treatment are necessary.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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