Tuesday, June 15, 2021

US Electric Car Dilemma

US car buyers are expecting the US to turn into Cuba, where if you have a car, it’s a vintage US 1970s model.  Used car prices doubled this month. Used cars were plentiful at prices from $3000 to $6000 for the past few years. 

If the US rushes to eliminate fossil fuels, the price of electricity will increase 500%. Solar and Wind costs 14 cents/kwh to produce electricity and natural gas costs 3 cents/kwh to produce electricity. We are not ready to end fossil fuels.

US consumers can either learn how to restore and maintain these used cars like the Cubans, or wait for a cheaper electric car.

Electric car prices in the US range from $30,000 to $100,000.  It’s clear they have targeted a small group of wealthy customers, not teens, new grads or regular folks.

China’s $4500 electric car has a range of 75 miles and top speed of 62mph. It seats 4 really tiny people. It is 9 feet long, 5 feet wide and 5.3 feet high.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wuling_Hongguang_Mini_EV

Wuling Hongguang Mini EV - Wikipedia

Today’s electric vehicle market: Slow growth in U.S., faster in China, Europe, by Drew Desliver, 7/7/21.

In the US, 7% of car owners own electric or hybrid vehicles. That includes 1.8 million EVs out of 289.5 million total cars or 0.06%.

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/06/07/todays-electric-vehicle-market-slow-growth-in-u-s-faster-in-china-europe/

https://www.google.com/search?q=how+many+cars+are+there+in+the+us

Comments

Auto manufacturers are overreacting to the EV band wagon. It will take decades to convert the US from combustion engine vehicles and by then we may have hydrogen powered cars. We do need to expand and protect our natural gas electric grid and keep our electricity costs as low as possible.

I watched the US Automakers let themselves be ruined by the labor unions and their own mistakes. 

In the 1960s US cars got 10mpg, were poorly made and only lasted for 100,000 miles as paint faded, rust formed and engines failed. They were redesigned each year, so they never improved.

Regular gasoline prices began to rise in the 1970s and I bought a 1974 Triumph Spitfire to get 30mpg and a 1978 Honda 150 Motorcycle to get 50mpg.

Regular gasoline price history

1950  20 cents

1960  20cents

1975  53 cents

1981 $1.19

2000 $1.50

2005 $2.30

US consumers bought Toyota and Honda. US brands have failed to compete with Japan since the 1970s.

Unions and high corporate taxes drove US manufacturers and their supply chains to other countries in 1993.

In 2005 I traded the Cadillacs in for 2 Toyota Prius Hybrid cars to move from 20mpg to 60mpg and we still drive them.  Japanese cars last longer, are better made and inexpensive to maintain.

Norb Leahy Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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