Tuesday, January 27, 2026

High Home Cost States 1-28-26

Based on late 2025/early 2026 data, the highest-priced and most competitive single-family home markets in early 2026 are heavily concentrated in the Northeast and California, with Hawaii remaining among the most expensive states. Key high-cost states with rapid, sustained price appreciation include New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and California.  

Top 2026 High-Cost/Appreciating States & Markets (Projected):

California: San Jose, Los Angeles, San Diego, Oxnard, Riverside, San Francisco

New Jersey: High financing costs, Newark, Philadelphia metro areas

New York: New York City, Buffalo, Rochester, Albany

Connecticut: Hartford, New Haven

Rhode Island: Providence

Massachusetts: Boston, Worcester

Washington: Seattle

Maryland: Baltimore

Wisconsin: Milwaukee, Madison

Virginia: Richmond, Washington-Arlington-Alexandria

Pennsylvania: Philadelphia, Scranton, Harrisburg

Ohio: Cleveland, Toledo

Minnesota: Minneapolis

Colorado: High-cost region, generally

Oregon: Portland

Tennessee: Nashville

Arizona: Phoenix

Nevada: Las Vegas

Florida: Miami, Tampa (high-cost, but cooling)

Hawaii: Remains top-tier in median value 

Note: Data for 2026 is based on forecasts made in late 2025/early 2026, including projections for high price appreciation in Northeast states (CT, NY, NJ, PA, RI) and persistent high costs in CA and HI. 

In 2026, the states with the highest single-family home prices continue to be led by Hawaii, California and Massachusetts.

While national home value growth is projected to be modest—approximately 1.2% to 2.2%—significant regional shifts are occurring as buyers prioritize affordability in "refuge markets". 

The following list identifies states expected to maintain the highest median single-family home prices in 2026, based on current valuations and 2026 growth forecasts:

Top States by Projected 2026 Home Prices

Hawaii: Consistently the most expensive state, with median prices approaching or exceeding $1 million in 2026.

California: Remains a high-cost leader, with a median home price projected to stay above $830,000, despite cooling trends in major metros like San Francisco (-2.5%).

Massachusetts: High demand in metros like Worcester and Boston keeps median prices well above $685,000.

Washington: Maintains high valuations driven by the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue corridor.

Colorado: High median prices remain common, particularly in luxury mountain counties like Pitkin and San Miguel.

New Jersey: Driven by strong growth in suburbs servicing the New York City metro area.

New York: High-priced markets in NYC and Long Island are supplemented by rapid price growth (up to 12.4%) in Syracuse and Rochester.

Utah: Continued demand in areas like Summit County keeps it among the most expensive states.

Connecticut: A top-performing market for 2026; Hartford and New Haven are expected to see price increases of 7.7% to 9.5%.

Maryland: Sustained high prices in the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson area (projected 8.3% growth).

Rhode Island: Metros like Providence-Warwick are seeing significant 2026 sales growth.

New Hampshire: Benefits from the high-cost overflow from the Boston metropolitan area.

Oregon: High median values persist in the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro region.

Florida: Historically high, though some markets like Miami and Tampa are expected to see prices cool or decline in 2026.

Idaho: Listed as the No. 1 hottest real estate market for 2026 due to population growth and high demand.

Arizona: High-priced markets remain in Phoenix and Scottsdale, though some areas are seeing cooling trends.

Nevada: Driven by high valuations in the Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise corridor.

Virginia: High median prices are maintained in the Northern Virginia suburbs and the growing Richmond market.

Delaware: Emerged as a new real estate hot spot for 2026 due to increased building activity and migration.

Montana: High-value recreational and mountain properties keep it among the more expensive states for single-family homes. 

2026 Market Context

Regional Shift: Growth has shifted from the "Sunbelt" (Florida, Texas) toward the Northeast and Midwest due to inventory scarcity and relative affordability in those regions.

Inventory Impact: States with the lowest inventory, particularly in the Northeast, are seeing the highest price appreciation (e.g., New York Connecticut)

Inflation vs. Appreciation: In many states, 2026 home price growth is expected to stay at or below general consumer price inflation (2% to 3%), leading to a stabilization in real home values. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=what+are+the+us+20+highest+single+family+home+price+states+2026

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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