Wednesday, July 1, 2020

US Cov19 Deaths by State 7/1/20


US is approaching 2.8 million cases and 131,000 deaths. The recovery rate is 90%.

As of 7/1/20 at 10 m ET, US case gain remains at 1.7% and %deaths/cases remain at 4.8%. Most deaths on 6/26/20 were in New Jersey and most deaths on 7/1/20 were in New York.

US          Cases      Gain     %      Deaths   %  Deaths/Day
7/1/20     2729848  46547  1.7%  130134   4.8   1315 NY
6/30/20   2683301  45862  1.7%  128819   4.8    376
6/29/20   2637439  19592  0.7%  128443   4.9    200
6/28/20   2617847  61779  2.4%  128243   4.9    603
6/27/20   2553068  48392  1.9%  127640   5.0    855
6/26/20   2504676  41238  1.7%  126785   5.1   2491 NJ
6/25/20   2463438  38945  1.6%  124294   5.0    818
6/24/20   2424493  34641  1.4%  123476   5.1    815
6/23/20   2389852  33011  1.4%  122661   5.1    411
6/22/20   2356841  25291  1.1%  122250   5.2    247
6/21/20   2331550  33908  1.5%  122003   5.2    589
6/20/20   2297642  33576  1.5%  121414   5.3    726
6/19/20   2264066  29212  1.3%  120688   5.3    745
6/18/20   2234854  26368  1.2%  119943   5.4    810
6/17/20   2208486  24888  1.0%  119133   5.4    794
6/16/20   2183598  21114  1.0%  118339   5.4    480
6/15/20   2162484  20260  0.9%  117859   5.5    332
6/14/20   2142224  24891  1.2%  117527   5.5    687
6/13/20   2117333  27508  1.3%  116840   5.5    805
6/12/20   2089825  22965  1.1%  116035   5.6    878
6/11/20   2066860  20346  1.0%  115157   5.6    972
6/10/20   2046514  19076  0.9%  114185   5.6   1060
6/9/20     2027438  19742  1.0%  113125   5.6    653
6/8/20     2007696  17094  0.9%  112472   5.6    344
6/7/20     1990602  24336  1.2%  112128   5.6    730
6/6/20     1966266  40999  2.1%  111398   5.7   1180
6/5/20     1925267  21399  1.2%  110218   5.7   1042
6/4/20     1903868  22386  1.2%  109176   5.7   1093
6/3/20     1881482  20856  1.1%  108083   5.7   1138
6/2/20     1860626  22796  1.2%  106945   5.7     737
6/1/20     1837830  18042  1.0%  106208   5.8     574
5/31/20   1819788  22556  1.3%  105634   5.8    1001
5/30/20   1797232  28624  1.6%  104633   5.8    1289
5/29/20   1768608  22672  1.3%  103344   5.8    1230
5/28/20   1745936                        102114   5.8

US % Deaths/Case by State 7/1/20
State                     Cases    Deaths    %   
New York             417836   32129   7.7% up NY
California             232273    6088     2.6% down
New Jersey         176953   15177    8.6% flat
Texas                  167269    2496     1.5% flat
Florida                 152434    3505     2.3% down
Illinois                  144238    7124     4.9% flat
Massachusetts    108882    8054     7.4% flat
Pennsylvania        91228     6702     7.3% down
Georgia                81291     2805     3.4% down
Arizona                 79215     1632     2.1% flat
Michigan              70728      6193     8.8% flat
Maryland              67559     3190     4.7% flat
N Carolina            65397     1376     2.1% flat
Virginia                 62787     1763     2.8% flat
Louisiana             58137      3229     5.6% flat
Ohio                     52419      2890     5.5% flat
Connecticut          46514      4322     9.3% flat
Indiana                 45594      2640     5.8% flat
Tennessee           43509       604      1.4% flat
Alabama              38045       950       2.5% flat
Minnesota            36303     1476      4.1% flat
S Carolina            36399      739       2.0% down
Washington         33888      1332      3.9% down
Colorado              32715     1690      5.2% flat
Iowa                     29198      717       2.4% down
Wisconsin            28659      784       2.7% down
Mississippi           27247     1073      3.9% down
Missouri               22344     1038      4.6% down
Utah                     22217     172        0.8% flat
Arkansas             20777      270       1.3% flat
Nebraska             19177      274       1.4% flat
Nevada                18456      507       2.7% down
Rhode Island       16813      950       5.7% up
Kentucky             15642      565       3.6% flat
Kansas                14559      275       1.9% flat
Oklahoma            13757      387       2.8% down
New Mexico         12147      497       4.1% flat
Delaware             11474      509       4.4% down
DC                       10327      551       5.3% down
Oregon                 8656       207       2.4% flat
S Dakota              6764        91        1.3% down
Idaho                    6117        92        1.5% down
N Hampshire        5782       371       6.4% flat
N Dakota              3576        79        2.2% flat
Maine                   3253       105       3.2% down
W Virginia            2905        93        3.2% flat
Wyoming             1487        20        1.3% down
Vermont              1208         56        4.6% flat
Montana               967         22         2.3% down
Alaska                  904         14         1.5% down
Hawaii                  917         18         2.0% flat


US Territories and Federal Facilities
Guam                  267           5        1.9% flat
N Mariana             31           2        6.5% flat
Puerto Rico        7537        153      2.0% flat
Virgin Islands       84            6        7.1% down
Veterans           22689      1629      7.2% down
US Military        17116         38       0.2% flat
Fed Prisons       7444          91       1.2% flat
Navajo               7549         364      4.8% flat
Travel Groups    152            3         2.0% flat
             
US Totals      2729848    130134    4.8% flat

Comments

US %Deaths/Cases continue to decline due to increases in testing. This also tracks treatment learning-curve and patient outcome improvement. States with over 7% did the worst job, including New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Connecticut.  Higher %Deaths/Cases also reflects patient pre-existing health issues, density, public transit, international travel and economic activity.

The increase in new cases is driven by the increase in testing. It is the denominator in the %deaths/cases, so increases in cases lowers the % of deaths. Deaths have resulted in 11% of the cases and 80% of deaths occur with patients who are age 65 and older.

Time spent out-of-doors might help. California and Florida fared better than average. Developing immunity and eliminating pre-existing conditions should be pursued. Weight loss will help reverse and avoid Diabetes II.  Taking vitamins A, C, D, E, magnesium and zinc will strengthen immunity.

Medicine is a “trial and error” endeavor aimed at improving outcomes. The important work is being done by practicing physicians and their staffs to prevent deaths. 

The 1918-1919 Spanish Flu was a virus that reached 500 million cases requiring treatment and 50 million deaths worldwide. 675,000 deaths were in the US. It affected all age groups and lasted for 2 years.

The 2019-2020 Wuhan Covid19 virus is approaching over 10 million cases and over 500,000 deaths worldwide. During the first 6 months of this virus, tests were given to patients with symptoms that required treatment.  Now most cases are asymptomatic carriers and this testing is driving down death counts. The value of testing is tracking to avoid spreading the virus.  We are also curious about how asymptomatic carriers avoid becoming ill.


Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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