Saturday, July 4, 2020

US Cov19 Deaths by State 7/4/20


US is approaching 3 million cases and 133,000 deaths. The recovery rate is 90%.

As of 7/4/20 at 9 am ET, US case gain moves down to 1.9% and %deaths/cases remain at 4.6%. Most deaths on 6/26/20 were in New Jersey and most deaths on 7/1/20 were in New York.

US          Cases      Gain     %      Deaths   %  Deaths/Day
7/4/20     2891267  53586  1.9%  132112   4.6    609
7/3/20     2837681  56596  2.0%  131503   4.6    690
7/2/20     2781085  51237  1.9%  130813   4.7    679
7/1/20     2729848  46547  1.7%  130134   4.8   1315 NY
6/30/20   2683301  45862  1.7%  128819   4.8    376
6/29/20   2637439  19592  0.7%  128443   4.9    200
6/28/20   2617847  61779  2.4%  128243   4.9    603
6/27/20   2553068  48392  1.9%  127640   5.0    855
6/26/20   2504676  41238  1.7%  126785   5.1   2491 NJ
6/25/20   2463438  38945  1.6%  124294   5.0    818
6/24/20   2424493  34641  1.4%  123476   5.1    815
6/23/20   2389852  33011  1.4%  122661   5.1    411
6/22/20   2356841  25291  1.1%  122250   5.2    247
6/21/20   2331550  33908  1.5%  122003   5.2    589
6/20/20   2297642  33576  1.5%  121414   5.3    726
6/19/20   2264066  29212  1.3%  120688   5.3    745
6/18/20   2234854  26368  1.2%  119943   5.4    810
6/17/20   2208486  24888  1.0%  119133   5.4    794
6/16/20   2183598  21114  1.0%  118339   5.4    480
6/15/20   2162484  20260  0.9%  117859   5.5    332
6/14/20   2142224  24891  1.2%  117527   5.5    687
6/13/20   2117333  27508  1.3%  116840   5.5    805
6/12/20   2089825  22965  1.1%  116035   5.6    878
6/11/20   2066860  20346  1.0%  115157   5.6    972
6/10/20   2046514  19076  0.9%  114185   5.6   1060
6/9/20     2027438  19742  1.0%  113125   5.6    653
6/8/20     2007696  17094  0.9%  112472   5.6    344
6/7/20     1990602  24336  1.2%  112128   5.6    730
6/6/20     1966266  40999  2.1%  111398   5.7   1180
6/5/20     1925267  21399  1.2%  110218   5.7   1042
6/4/20     1903868  22386  1.2%  109176   5.7   1093
6/3/20     1881482  20856  1.1%  108083   5.7   1138
6/2/20     1860626  22796  1.2%  106945   5.7     737
6/1/20     1837830  18042  1.0%  106208   5.8     574
5/31/20   1819788  22556  1.3%  105634   5.8    1001
5/30/20   1797232  28624  1.6%  104633   5.8    1289
5/29/20   1768608  22672  1.3%  103344   5.8    1230
5/28/20   1745936                        102114   5.8

US % Deaths/Case by State 7/4/20
State                     Cases    Deaths    %   
New York             420774   32191   7.7% flat
California             252252    6314     2.5% flat
Texas                  190387    2621     1.4% flat
Florida                 178594    3686     2.1% flat
New Jersey         176455   15270    8.7% up
Illinois                  146872    7215     4.9% flat
Massachusetts    109628    8149     7.4% flat
Pennsylvania        93418     6797     7.3% flat
Arizona                 91858     1788     1.9% down
Georgia                90493     2856     3.2% flat
Michigan              72175      6215     8.6% down
N Carolina            70562     1420     2.0% down
Maryland              68961     3223     4.7% flat
Virginia                 64393     1845     2.9% up
Louisiana             63289      3283     5.2% down
Ohio                     55763      2932     5.3% down
Tennessee           48712       633      1.3% flat
Indiana                 46915      2681     5.7% flat
Connecticut          46717      4335     9.3% flat
Alabama              41865      1006      2.4% down
S Carolina            41532       793      1.9% down
Minnesota            37624     1503      4.0% flat
Washington         35641      1352      3.8% flat
Colorado              33612     1701      5.1% flat
Iowa                     30809      721       2.3% down
Wisconsin            30317      796       2.6% down
Mississippi           29684     1103      3.7% down
Utah                     23866      181       0.8% flat
Missouri               23717     1071      4.5% down
Arkansas             22622      281       1.2% down
Nevada               20718       528       2.5% down
Nebraska            19660       284       1.4% flat
Rhode Island       16991      960       5.7% flat
Kentucky             16376      585       3.6% flat
Kansas                16005      282       1.8% flat
Oklahoma            15065      398       2.6% down
New Mexico         12776      511       4.0% flat
Delaware             11923      512       4.3% flat
DC                       10435      555       5.3% flat
Oregon                 9636       209       2.2% flat
Idaho                    6994        93        1.3% down
S Dakota              6978        97        1.4% flat
N Hampshire        5857       376       6.4% flat
N Dakota              3722        80        2.1% down
Maine                   3373       105       3.1% down
W Virginia            3126        93        3.0% flat
Wyoming             1582        20        1.3% flat
Vermont              1236         56        4.5% down
Montana              1128         23        2.0% flat
Alaska                 1063         15        1.4% flat
Hawaii                  975         19         1.9% flat

US Territories and Federal Facilities
Guam                  280           5        1.8% flat
N Mariana             31           2        6.5% flat
Puerto Rico        7787        155      2.0% flat
Virgin Islands      111            6        5.4% down
Veterans           24298      1678      6.9% down
US Military        18071         38       0.2% flat
Fed Prisons       7798          93       1.2% flat
Navajo               7613         369      4.8% flat
Travel Groups    152            3         2.0% flat
             
US Totals      2891267    132112    4.6% flat

Comments

US %Deaths/Cases continue to decline due to increases in testing. This also tracks treatment learning-curve and patient outcome improvement. States with over 7% did the worst job, including New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Connecticut.  Higher %Deaths/Cases also reflects patient pre-existing health issues, population density, public transit, international travel and economic activity.

The increase in new cases is driven by the increase in testing. It is the denominator in the %deaths/cases, so increases in cases lowers the % of deaths. Deaths have resulted in 10% of the cases and 80% of deaths occur with patients who are age 65 and older.

Time spent out-of-doors might help. California and Florida fared better than average. Developing immunity and eliminating pre-existing conditions should be pursued. Weight loss will help reverse and avoid Diabetes II.  Taking vitamins A, C, D, E, magnesium and zinc will strengthen immunity.

Medicine is a “trial and error” endeavor aimed at improving outcomes. The important work is being done by practicing physicians and their staffs to prevent deaths. 

The 1918-1919 Spanish Flu was a virus that reached 500 million cases requiring treatment and 50 million deaths worldwide. 675,000 deaths were in the US. It affected all age groups and lasted for 2 years.

The 2019-2020 Wuhan Covid19 virus is approaching 12 million cases and 550,000 deaths worldwide. During the first 6 months of this virus, tests were given to patients with symptoms that required treatment.  Now most cases are asymptomatic carriers and this testing is driving down death counts. The value of testing is tracking to avoid spreading the virus.  We are also curious about how asymptomatic carriers avoid becoming ill.


Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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