Friday, July 3, 2020

US Cov19 Deaths by State 7/3/20


US is approaching 3 million cases and 132,000 deaths. The recovery rate is 90%.

As of 7/3/20 at 10 am ET, US case gain moves up to 2.0% and %deaths/cases drop to 4.6%. Most deaths on 6/26/20 were in New Jersey and most deaths on 7/1/20 were in New York.

US          Cases      Gain     %      Deaths   %  Deaths/Day
7/3/20     2837681  56596  2.0%  131503   4.6    690
7/2/20     2781085  51237  1.9%  130813   4.7    679
7/1/20     2729848  46547  1.7%  130134   4.8   1315 NY
6/30/20   2683301  45862  1.7%  128819   4.8    376
6/29/20   2637439  19592  0.7%  128443   4.9    200
6/28/20   2617847  61779  2.4%  128243   4.9    603
6/27/20   2553068  48392  1.9%  127640   5.0    855
6/26/20   2504676  41238  1.7%  126785   5.1   2491 NJ
6/25/20   2463438  38945  1.6%  124294   5.0    818
6/24/20   2424493  34641  1.4%  123476   5.1    815
6/23/20   2389852  33011  1.4%  122661   5.1    411
6/22/20   2356841  25291  1.1%  122250   5.2    247
6/21/20   2331550  33908  1.5%  122003   5.2    589
6/20/20   2297642  33576  1.5%  121414   5.3    726
6/19/20   2264066  29212  1.3%  120688   5.3    745
6/18/20   2234854  26368  1.2%  119943   5.4    810
6/17/20   2208486  24888  1.0%  119133   5.4    794
6/16/20   2183598  21114  1.0%  118339   5.4    480
6/15/20   2162484  20260  0.9%  117859   5.5    332
6/14/20   2142224  24891  1.2%  117527   5.5    687
6/13/20   2117333  27508  1.3%  116840   5.5    805
6/12/20   2089825  22965  1.1%  116035   5.6    878
6/11/20   2066860  20346  1.0%  115157   5.6    972
6/10/20   2046514  19076  0.9%  114185   5.6   1060
6/9/20     2027438  19742  1.0%  113125   5.6    653
6/8/20     2007696  17094  0.9%  112472   5.6    344
6/7/20     1990602  24336  1.2%  112128   5.6    730
6/6/20     1966266  40999  2.1%  111398   5.7   1180
6/5/20     1925267  21399  1.2%  110218   5.7   1042
6/4/20     1903868  22386  1.2%  109176   5.7   1093
6/3/20     1881482  20856  1.1%  108083   5.7   1138
6/2/20     1860626  22796  1.2%  106945   5.7     737
6/1/20     1837830  18042  1.0%  106208   5.8     574
5/31/20   1819788  22556  1.3%  105634   5.8    1001
5/30/20   1797232  28624  1.6%  104633   5.8    1289
5/29/20   1768608  22672  1.3%  103344   5.8    1230
5/28/20   1745936                        102114   5.8

US % Deaths/Case by State 7/3/20
State                     Cases    Deaths    %   
New York             419640   32166   7.7% flat
California             247743    6262     2.5% down
New Jersey         177654   15218    8.6% flat
Texas                  183044    2585     1.4% flat
Florida                 169106    3618     2.1% down
Illinois                  145935    7188     4.9% flat
Massachusetts    109338    8132     7.4% flat
Pennsylvania        92703     6765     7.3% flat
Georgia                87709     2849     3.2% down
Arizona                 87425     1757     2.0% flat
Michigan              71678      6212     8.7% flat
N Carolina            68508     1416     2.1% flat
Maryland              68423     3212     4.7% flat
Virginia                 63735     1816     2.8% flat
Louisiana             61561      3262     5.3% down
Ohio                     54166      2910     5.4% down
Tennessee           46890       620      1.3% flat
Connecticut          46646      4326     9.3% flat
Indiana                 46387      2662     5.7% down
Alabama              40111       985       2.5% flat
S Carolina            39701      784       2.0% flat
Minnesota            37210     1495      4.0% flat
Washington         35237      1342      3.8% down
Colorado              33352     1701      5.1% flat
Iowa                     30328      719       2.4% flat
Wisconsin            29738      793       2.7% flat
Mississippi           28770     1092      3.8% down
Utah                     23270     176        0.8% flat
Missouri               23100     1055      4.6% flat
Arkansas             22075      279       1.3% flat
Nevada               19733       525       2.7% flat
Nebraska            19452       282       1.4% flat
Rhode Island       16941      959       5.7% flat
Kentucky             16079      581       3.6% flat
Kansas                15159      280       1.8% flat
Oklahoma            14539      395       2.7% down
New Mexico         12520      503       4.0% down
Delaware             11731      510       4.3% down
DC                       10390      554       5.3% flat
Oregon                 9294       209       2.2% down
S Dakota              6893        97        1.4% flat
Idaho                    6593        92        1.4% flat
N Hampshire        5822       375       6.4% flat
N Dakota              3657        80        2.2% flat
Maine                   3328       105       3.2% flat
W Virginia            3053        93        3.0% down
Wyoming             1550        20        1.3% flat
Vermont              1227         56        4.6% flat
Montana              1083         22        2.0% down
Alaska                 1017         14         1.4% flat
Hawaii                  946         18         1.9% flat

US Territories and Federal Facilities
Guam                  280           5        1.8% flat
N Mariana             31           2        6.5% flat
Puerto Rico        7683        154      2.0% flat
Virgin Islands       98            6        6.1% down
Veterans           23945      1667     7.0% down
US Military        18071         38       0.2% flat
Fed Prisons       7618          92       1.2% flat
Navajo               7613         369      4.8% flat
Travel Groups    152            3         2.0% flat
             
US Totals      2837681    131503    4.6% down

Comments

US %Deaths/Cases continue to decline due to increases in testing. This also tracks treatment learning-curve and patient outcome improvement. States with over 7% did the worst job, including New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Connecticut.  Higher %Deaths/Cases also reflects patient pre-existing health issues, population density, public transit, international travel and economic activity.

The increase in new cases is driven by the increase in testing. It is the denominator in the %deaths/cases, so increases in cases lowers the % of deaths. Deaths have resulted in 11% of the cases and 80% of deaths occur with patients who are age 65 and older.

Time spent out-of-doors might help. California and Florida fared better than average. Developing immunity and eliminating pre-existing conditions should be pursued. Weight loss will help reverse and avoid Diabetes II.  Taking vitamins A, C, D, E, magnesium and zinc will strengthen immunity.

Medicine is a “trial and error” endeavor aimed at improving outcomes. The important work is being done by practicing physicians and their staffs to prevent deaths. 

The 1918-1919 Spanish Flu was a virus that reached 500 million cases requiring treatment and 50 million deaths worldwide. 675,000 deaths were in the US. It affected all age groups and lasted for 2 years.

The 2019-2020 Wuhan Covid19 virus is approaching over 10 million cases and over 500,000 deaths worldwide. During the first 6 months of this virus, tests were given to patients with symptoms that required treatment.  Now most cases are asymptomatic carriers and this testing is driving down death counts. The value of testing is tracking to avoid spreading the virus.  We are also curious about how asymptomatic carriers avoid becoming ill.


Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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