Monday, March 4, 2024

Commercial Real Estate Slump 3-4-24

Office occupancy ended 2023 at 80%. Companies have pared back their office space to accommodate Covid work-from-home policies and are having trouble getting employees to report to company offices.

Vacancies are running from 20-25% and are expected to remain high. 

Banks may have loans default before the supply and demand of commercial real estate space are equalized.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/empty-office-buildings-doom-loop-cities-60-minutes/

in 1980, office vacancies were 7%. Over-building rose and peaked at 19% in 1987. It fell to 8% in 2001 and rose to 17% in 2004. It dropped to 13% in 2008 and rose to 18% in 2011. It stood at 17% in 2019.

https://www.abi.org/newsroom/chart-of-the-day/office-vacancy-rate-since-1980-4

In 1980, office rent costs were $100/sq ft.  By 2019, office rent costs rose to $127/sq ft.

Comments

Most of the commercial property problem resides in the big cities.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

No comments: