Friday, May 2, 2025

Russian Economy 5-2-25

The Russian economy suffered a setback from 2015 to 2021. Nominal GDP and Per Capita GDP both contracted.

Household Per Cap Income continues to remain low. 

Year      Nominal GDP   Household per cap Income

In 2025, $2.196 trillion.  tbd

In 2024, $2.098 trillion   $8,179

In 2023  $2.010 trillion   $7,550

In 2022  $2.266 trillion   $8,303

In 2021  $1.843 trillion   $6,506

In 2020  $1.493 trillion   $5,980

In 2019  $1.693 trillion   $6,531

In 2018  $1.657 trillion   $6,345

In 2017  $1.570 trillion   $6.523

In 2016  $1.358 trillion   $5,497

In 2015  $1.597 trillion   $5,935

In 2014  $1.780 trillion   $8.546

https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/russia/annual-household-income-per-capita#:~:text=Russia

https://www.google.com/search?q=russia+nominal+gdp

Population of Russia (2025 and historical)

Year

Population

Yearly Change

2025

143,997,393

−823,030

2024

144,820,423

−620,077

2023

145,440,500

−139,399

2022

145,579,899

−395,700

The Russian population is declining.

https://www.google.com/search?q=russia+population

In January 2025, Russia's national government debt was $291.7 billion.

https://www.google.com/search?q=russia+national+debt+in+usd+2025

In 2025, Russia's national debt is projected to be 20.41% of its GDP. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=russia+national+debt+to+gdp+in+usd

From 2020 to present, Russia has consistently maintained a trade surplus, indicating its exports exceed its imports. In 2020, Russia's trade balance was $75.81 billion. This significantly increased to $172.28 billion in 2021 and further to $289.89 billion in 2022. Recent data shows a narrowed surplus in December 2024, but still remaining positive. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=russia+imports+exports+trade+balance+2020+to+present

In the period from 2024 to 2025, Russia's trade balance saw a significant shift, with a narrowing of the trade surplus and changes in import and export trends. Overall, Russia's trade surplus decreased from $124.6 billion in January-October 2024 to $10.5 billion in February 2025. This was primarily due to a decrease in exports and a slight increase in imports. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=russia+imports+exports+trade+balance+2024+to+2025

The European Union (EU) and our 27 Member States remain united and determined in our unprecedented support for Ukraine. Since the start of the war, the EU and our Member States have made available close to $155 billion* in financial, military, humanitarian, and refugee assistance, of which 65% have been provided as grants or in-kind support and 35% in the form of highly concessional loans.

https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegations/united-states-america/eu-assistance-ukraine-

Comments

Russia will continue to export oil and natural gas to China and trade will be limited to their allies. The increase in Russia’s per capita GDP suggests that Russia is in a “War Economy”. Ukraine’s insistence on retaking Crimea is an issue. The EU support for Ukraine is limited to half of what the US has already paid. The odds on ending the Ukraine War are 50-50. 

Russia, China and their allies may need to increase food production and produce what they consume.

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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