Monday, July 6, 2015

Greek Government Debt Story

In Greece, the debt increase was associated with high public sector wage and pension commitments.[4]
All the implemented austerity measures have helped Greece bring down its primary deficit—i.e., fiscal deficit before interest payments—from €24.7bn (10.6% of GDP) in 2009 to just €5.2bn (2.4% of GDP) in 2011,[42][43] but as a side-effect they also contributed to a worsening of the Greek recession, which began in October 2008 and only became worse in 2010 and 2011.[44] The Greek GDP had its worst decline in 2011 with −6.9%,[45] a year where the seasonal adjusted industrial output ended 28.4% lower than in 2005,[46][47] and with 111,000 Greek companies going bankrupt (27% higher than in 2010).[48][49] As a result, Greeks have lost about 40% of their purchasing power since the start of the crisis,[50] they spend 40% less on goods and services,[51] and the seasonal adjusted unemployment rate grew from 7.5% in September 2008 to a record high of 27.9% in June 2013,[52] while the youth unemployment rate rose from 22.0% to as high as 62%.[53][54] Youth unemployment ratio hit 16.1 per cent in 2012.[55][56][57]
During the course of 2010–12 it became evident that, out of eighteen eurozone states, four (Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Cyprus), facing persistent negative growth prospects and increasing government debt, would find it difficult or impossible to repay or refinance their government debt without the assistance of bailout support from the Troika (EC, IMF and ECB).
The crisis had significant adverse economic effects and labour market effects for the worst affected countries, with unemployment rates in Greece and Spain reaching 27%,[14
Contagion was considered possible. Greece was bailed out in 2010 with a 110 billion euro direct loan by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund. After 2 years of fiscal austerity and Greek riots, another 130 billion euro loan was made. Greek austerity programs greatly reduced public pensions and public wages.[17]
Think-tank Bruegel calculates that Greece paid a sum equal to around 2.6pc of its GDP (rather than the widely quoted figure of around 4pc) to service its loans last year.
Comments
Greek government corruption is a primary reason for the decline.  Politicians passed pension laws allowing retirement as early as age 45 to as old as 61.  Pensions continued for 200,000 Greeks after their deaths.  Politicians traded government jobs for votes. 
Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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