Greece and the Cemetery for your Wealth by Larry Edelson, July
1, 2015, Money and Markets
The Greek default is merely the opening act of the worst
sovereign-debt crisis in history. By the
time it comes to its conclusion, roughly five years from now, the
crisis will have enveloped — and
destroyed — the Western world governments of Europe, Japan and the United States.
Government (sovereign) bond markets will be destroyed. So
much so that in the June issue of my
Real Wealth Report, I told my
subscribers that ...
Over the next few years I expect government bonds to
easily lose as much as 50 percent of their value, and possibly much more. No
amount of yield they could possibly offer will save you. Not even if you live
to 200 years old.
Owning any sovereign debt of Europe, Japan, or the United
States, I said, would be akin to creating a cemetery for your wealth.
From Greece, the crisis will spread to the other heavily
indebted countries of Europe and the European Union.
Take Italy, for instance, which owes 32 percent more than
its economy produces in a year.
Portugal, 30 percent more. Cyprus, 8 percent more. France, indebted to the tune of 98 percent
of its GDP. Ireland, 110 percent.
And those figures don't even include
"unofficial" debts and IOUs, which are multiples higher.
As Europe starts to go down the drain, the crisis will
then spread to Japan, where government debt is a whopping 230 percent of the
country's GDP.
And once it becomes obvious that Japan too will eventually
default, Washington will no longer be spared.
The most indebted government in the history of
civilization, Washington, is in debt to the tune of more than $200 TRILLION —
more than ELEVEN times the entire output of our economy.
Let me give you a little more insight on the sovereign
debt crisis that's now starting. Also from my June Real Wealth Report, the
big question I pose — and answer — is this
...
Where Will the Massive Capital That Flees Government Bonds
Go?
The frightened trillions that will stampede out of
government bond markets has to go somewhere. So let's trace it out logically.
Will the capital that flees government bonds in Europe, Japan and the United
States go to ...In the long run, conditions are bullish for U.S. stocks.
A. Cash under the mattress? Some of it, yes. But certainly
not the bulk. Savvy investors always want to put their money to work
somewhere for some yield and potential gains — even in the worst of times.
B. The stock market? Yes, a major portion of it will be invested
in the U.S. stock market. We've already seen it impact the stock market. It's
the chief reason the major indices are so firm.
It does not preclude a selloff in stocks, which I still fully
expect. Especially as jitters over a looming Fed rate hike continues.
But in the longer run, the implosion of government bond
markets is going to be extremely bullish for the U.S. stock market.
The U.S. stock markets are the last bastion of capitalism,
and the deepest liquid market on the planet.
C. Real estate? Absolutely. Don't fall for any claims that
rising interest rates — as a result of falling bond prices — will kill the real
estate market again. It won't. It will largely have the opposite impact, driving
real estate prices higher!
How so? It's simple: As the cost of mortgage money begins
to rise, pent up demand for property will come pouring out of the woodwork.
After all, if rates are going to rise, then you're far better off buying now
rather than later.
Naturally, different locations in the U.S. and around the
world will fare differently. And you
want to buy real estate based on location.
But to think that real estate will implode as interest
rates start to rise and the sovereign
bond markets implode is simply dead wrong. Real estate, as a tangible asset,
is going to do just fine, opening up all kinds of new opportunities for you.
D. Foreign stock markets? Over the next few years you will
see Asia's markets double and even triple, offering incredible opportunities,
largely due to a wholesale exodus of capital out of Western government bond
markets.
E. Natural resources? Although deflation still has the
upper hand on a macroeconomic basis,
and will for some time, mark my words ...
In the not-too-distant
future, capital will become so frightened over the collapse of the
Western world's government bond
markets — and the inevitable bankruptcy of Europe, Japan and the U.S. — that ...
Natural resources, gold,
silver, oil, coal, copper, nickel, food, timber, water, platinum, palladium, and more ... will once again, explode
higher.
Not because of inflation. But because the world's largest
governments will be going down the tubes. It's coming, and it's not far off.
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Source: moneyandmarkets.com
Comments
All governments at all levels must freeze hiring and
begin to reduce their spending to bring their debt levels down. This should
prompt a wholesale abandonment of UN Agenda 21 implementation, carbon tax and
all the government cash this monster eats.
Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader
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