Gasoline
prices in the US are heading under $2.00 per gallon.
It looks
like several things are at play with the lower gasoline prices we are
experiencing in the US in 2017. One is increased oil production and the other
is weak consumer demand.
US
consumers are tapped out and waiting for a lift in the US main-street
economy. Internet on-line retail is
growing and brick and mortar retail is imploding and retail employees are
nervous.
Both OPEC
and the US are pumping more oil. OPEC
reported an increase in member oil production by 106 million barrels in
2017.
A good
measure of consumer driving is federal gasoline tax receipts. The federal tax has been 18.5 cents per
gallon for many years.
Gasoline
tax revenue peaked at just over $40 billion in 1999. It then declined to $33
billion in 2004 and popped back to $40 billion in 2006 and declined back to $35
billion in 2016.
Consumers
continue to drive less and tourism is down. In the US, we are in the 9th
year of the “great recession” and are awaiting corporate tax cuts to bring
manufacturing jobs back to the US. This
hasn’t happened yet.
Norb
Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader
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