Saturday, July 12, 2025

China Manufacturing 7-12-25

While the United States manufactures a significant amount of goods, China's manufacturing output is larger than the US and many other countries combined. Specifically, in 2023, China accounted for 29% of global manufacturing output. In contrast, the US share is around 16-18%. While these figures represent global output, it's important to note that the US still relies heavily on China for many products and components, especially in sectors like electronics, textiles, and machinery. Here's a more detailed breakdown: 

China’s Manufacturing Dominance:

China has become the world's leading manufacturer, surpassing the US in 2010. In 2023, China's manufacturing value-added reached $4.66 trillion, representing 29% of the global total, according to the ChinaPower Project

US Manufacturing Share: The US share of global manufacturing output has fluctuated, but is currently around 16-18%, according to Wikipedia

Reliance on China: Despite efforts to reduce reliance, US manufacturers still depend on China for various products and components. For example, China accounts for nearly 18% of US goods imports, according to Manufacturing Today

Factors Contributing to China’s Dominance: China's success is attributed to factors like low costs, a large workforce, and high production quality, says Safeguard Global

U.S. Manufacturing Dependence on China

It's difficult to provide an exact percentage of U.S. manufacturing done in China. However, the U.S. manufacturing supply chain relies on Chinese goods. 

Imports from China

  • In 2022, U.S. manufacturing imported 20.6% of its intermediate goods/services, with 13.4% of the final output of foreign origin.
  • China was the largest foreign supplier of intermediate goods and services to U.S. manufacturing, accounting for 1.8% of the foreign input, according to the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST).
  • China accounts for a significant portion of U.S. goods imports, with some estimates reaching nearly 18%.
  • Other sources indicate that China's share of U.S. goods imports has declined from 22% in 2016 to 14%.
  • However, the U.S. trade deficit with China remains substantial, estimated at $295.4 billion in 2024, notes the United States Trade Representative (USTR)

Factors contributing to this reliance

  • Cost-efficiency and scalability: U.S. manufacturers have established relationships with Chinese suppliers due to their cost-effectiveness and ability to scale production quickly.
  • Advanced manufacturing infrastructure: China boasts a comprehensive manufacturing infrastructure that handles the entire process from raw materials to final assembly, simplifying production for U.S. companies.
  • Skilled workforce: China provides a skilled workforce capable of producing complex and high-quality products. 

Challenges and shifts

  • Despite political pressure to reduce reliance on China, relocating production incurs higher costs, longer lead times, and potential disruptions to existing supply chains.
  • Alternative manufacturing hubs like Vietnam, Mexico, and India are emerging but haven't yet matched China's scale and efficiency.
  • Boston Consulting Group report highlights a trend towards reshoring manufacturing to the U.S. and shifting towards Mexico, India, and Southeast Asia for future export manufacturing, potentially driven by geopolitical uncertainties and tariffs.
  • Some U.S. suppliers are increasing their reliance on Chinese goods, even as China's overall share of U.S. goods imports declines, according to a Feds Notes article from the Federal Reserve Board

In conclusion, while the exact percentage of U.S. manufacturing undertaken in China is not readily available, the data shows a substantial and complex reliance on Chinese manufacturing for intermediate goods and components within the U.S. supply chain. This relationship is influenced by economic factors like cost and infrastructure, as well as evolving geopolitical and trade dynamics. 

https://www.google.com/search?q=what+percent+of+us+manufacturing+is+done+in+china

Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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