The Republican horserace continues to be a
contest of multiple candidates – with frontrunners sometimes ahead by only a
few points, and no one dominating the race. In this week’s Economist/ YouGov
Poll, businessman Donald Trump leads among Republicans, ahead of Kentucky
Senator Rand Paul, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, former Arkansas Governor
Mike Huckabee, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Governor Scott
Walker.
Polling data in % Republican voters for 1st
and 2nd choice:
Chioce 1st 2nd
Donald Trump 15 12
Rand Paul 11 7
Jebb Bush 11 7
Scott Walker 9 8
Marco Rubio 9 7
Mike Huckabee 9 6
Ben Carson 7 7
Chris Christie 6 8
Ted Cruz 4 7
Carley Fiorino 3 5
Rick Perry 3 5
Bobby Jindal 2 4
Rick Santorum 2 4
John Kasich 2 2
Lindsey Graham 1
George Pataki 0
Trump looks
even better as a candidate this week when Republicans are asked for their
second choice. When they are, Trump extends his lead. One in four Republicans
who are registered to vote say he is their first or second choice.But who are these Republicans? Trump’s statements on immigration may be striking a chord. Two-thirds of those who choose Trump first or second support the goals of the Tea Party, higher than the overall percentage of Republicans who do. They are much less likely to have a college education than are other Republicans, and they are more likely than other Republicans to say they are “very” conservative.
Trump supporters may be making more of a statement than voting for someone they consider a contender. Just one in five of Trump’s supporters think Trump will win the nomination. Only 7% of Republicans think Trump will capture the nomination: more give the edge to Bush, Paul, Rubio and Walker.
1 comment:
I'll say *one* thing, and only one thing, for Trump: he's not solicited my support in this election.
A man who can't keep his word to women won't keep his word to men, either. This is a case where the hair tells you a lot about what goes on in the head beneath it.
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