Rasmussen poll
has Trump up by 3, 'Most accurate'
presidential survey also indicates vote shock, by Bob Unruh, 10/20/16, WND
Whatever impact the
third and final presidential debate of the 2016 election season may have still
is to come, but the day after the event, Rasmussen had GOP nominee Donald Trump up by three
points in its polling.
“The latest Rasmussen
Reports national telephone and online White House Watch survey finds Trump with
43 percent support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 40 percent,” the report said
Thursday.
“Six percent still
prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, and three percent favor Green Party
nominee Jill Stein. Another three percent like some other candidate, and six
percent are undecided.”
Rasmussen had the two
candidates tied the day of the debate. “Clinton held a seven-point lead at the
beginning of last week just after the airing of an 11-year-old video showing
Trump making graphic sexual remarks, but she began losing ground after the
second presidential debate,” the report said.
“Among the 87 percent of
voters who say they are now sure how they will vote, it’s Trump 48 percent,
Clinton 46 percent. Four percent of these voters choose Johnson, two percent
Stein.
Among the voters who say
they still could change their minds between now and election day, it’s Trump 36
percent, Clinton 30 percent, Johnson 34 percent and Stein 11 percent.”
The USC Dornsife/LA Times “Daybreak”
poll, which
had the two candidates in a virtual dead heat on Wednesday, showed Trump
extending his lead by fractions.
Trump was at 44.3 percent in
the poll, to Clinton’s 43.6 percent. The day before, was Trump 44.1 to 43.9 for
Clinton
The L.A. Times, however, published a
report
citing Ernie Tedeschi, an economist and former Treasury Department official,
who “found that if he took the poll’s data and weighted it differently, what
had been a tie between Trump and Clinton suddenly became a Clinton lead.”
The IDB-TIPP Poll, described as the most
accurate over the course of the 2012 race, on Thursday had Trump at 41 percent
and Clinton at 40 percent, virtually the same as the day before. Johnson and Stein had 7 and
5 percent, respectively.
Explained the poll
publishers: “The second day’s results of the IBD-TIPP poll don’t reflect any
impact of the spirited presidential debate Wednesday night, which covered a
wide range of issues, from the Supreme Court, to abortion, to ISIS, to economic
policy and entitlement reform.
“During the debate, Clinton
repeatedly struggled to defend her policy positions and the Clinton Foundation
scandal against sharp questioning from moderator Chris Wallace. When asked, for
example, about conflicts of interest involving the foundation while she was
secretary of state, Clinton tried to turn to focus on what she described were
the strengths of the nonprofit. She also had difficulty defending her position
on gun control and explaining how her economic policies were different from
President Obama'[s] failed stimulus package.”
The Daily Caller reported the most recent polling
among U.S. military voters, by Military Times, had Trump leading all candidates
with 40 percent of the vote.
The instant, unscientific
polls on the debate produced predictable results. The left-leaning CNN tally
had Clinton winning the debate 52 percent to 39 percent for Trump.
The Drudge Report’s
instant poll – which collected opinions from more than half a million people,
not just the few hundred CNN garnered – had Trump winning the debate 86 percent
to 13 percent.
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