Tuesday, March 5, 2019

Zimbabwe Hyperinflation Lesson


When countries take on high levels of debt, they are at risk of running out of cash. They default on their loans. They need to cut spending, restructure their loans and pay them off like Greece. Venezuela took on $50 billion in debt, but didn’t spend it on maintaining their oil business. They now have a $100 billion debt and oil production has failed.

Venezuela should have been forewarned about hyperinflation that occurs when the government can’t pay their bills.

Zimbabwe’s sovereign bankruptcy resulted from high government spending of hundreds of millions of dollars in the war in the Democratic Republic of Congo from 1998 to 2002. Their economy began to collapse in 2000.

The government printed money to pay their bills and war debt from 2003 to 2009 resulting in inflation that reached 231,000,000% in 2008.

To get out of hyperinflation, the government abandoned the Zimbabwe dollar and adopted US and other currencies. In 2009 they began to recover from their 95% unemployment rate.

After 2000, the government of Zimbabwe seized private farms and ranches from white owners and gave these to Black Cronies who didn’t know how to farm. Crops failed. Their policy remains “black only” for land ownership. South Africa did the same.

Zimbabwe has a population of 17 million and a land area of 150,872 square miles. Labor force is 6 million, Labor force by occupation is agriculture 60%, services 9%, manufacturing 4% and mining 3%. Poverty rate is 32%,

Zimbabwe has a Nominal GDP of $18 billion. GDP growth is 2.7%. GDP by sector is agriculture 20.3%, industry 25.1%, services 54.6%. Nominal per capita GDP is $908.

Main industries are mining and cattle.  Zimbabwe has reserves of metallurgical-grade chromite, coalasbestoscoppernickelgoldplatinum
iron ore, tin, clay, wood, cement, chemicals, fertilizer, clothing, footwear, food and beverages. Ease of doing business rank is 161st.

Exports are $3 billion in platinum, gold, ferroalloys, cotton, tobacco, textiles and clothing sold to South Africa 80%, Mozambique 10%, UAE 4%.

Imports are $5 billion in machinery, vehicles, manufactured goods, chemicals, fuel and food purchased from South Africa 50% and Zambia 24%.

Government revenue is $3 billion, spending is $4 billion, Current Debt is $18 billion.


Norb Leahy, Dunwoody GA Tea Party Leader

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