Despite the lackluster dog days of summer trading in the
financial markets setting upon us — nearly every single market on the board is
now setting up for a series of major tipping points.
I told my Real Wealth Report subscribers all about the
biggest of them all in my latest issue — including my specific recommendations on how to protect their
wealth.
In today's column, I will tell you what I am seeing — plus
I'll give you a road map to help you see for yourself where the fireworks are
likely to begin in each of the major markets.
But before I do, let's take a look at the major underlying
fundamental forces at work. I'm not going to bore you with all the details, nor
am I going to address the stuff of corporate earnings, balance sheets, economic
stats, etc. For in the end, such fundamental analysis tells you only about the
past, never about the future.
Instead, what matters most is the mass psyche of the
participants in the financial markets and the forces they are truly responding
to, each market in its own way.
I see two major fundamental forces at work impacting all
markets:
First and foremost is the ramping up of the war cycles that
I have been warning you about since late 2012. Just like the 1930s, the
U.S. dollar is showing very resilient
strength, due largely to frightened capital
fleeing from other parts of the world, especially Europe. Make no
mistake about it: The cycles of war that
I have studied — starting in my college years 40 years ago — are real. They are based on scientific studies of both domestic and international
war data extracted from the annals of
Raymond Wheeler's studies on war and subjected to rigorous fact-finding.
They are as concrete as the seasons of the year, and they
tell you, in no uncertain terms, when society is likely to be most predisposed to conflict,
both domestically and internationally.
The fact is that the war cycles are now ramping up all the
way into the year 2020, and with an intensity
that even I underestimated.
From Russia and Eastern Europe ... to Nigeria ... to Iraq
and Syria ... Jordan ... Israel and Gaza. From the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) killing tens of
thousands …To China, brazenly occupying
the South China Sea, the Senkaku and Spratly Islands, hunting down oil
and gas resources, ready to wage war if
need be ...To Ferguson and Baltimore, merely
the beginnings of civil unrest in our own country.
To Texas' latest move to petition the Federal government to
move the state's $650 billion of gold back
to Texas and into a new just-approved vault to be built — a sure-fire
sign of the state's growing desire to
secede. And many of the other secession movements occurring herein the U.S. and
in Europe.
Not to mention Greece, which will have to default, no matter
what, setting off a major crisis in the
hair-brained single currency and economic union experiment of Europe's
inept leaders. And if all that isn't bad
enough, the war cycles won't stop there ...
Second, are the draconian financial war measures that
Western world leaders in Europe, Japan and the U.S. are implementing because of their country's bankrupt socialist
policies and balance sheets. I'm talking
about how leaders in Europe, Japan and the United States wage war against their
own citizens.
How they hunt down the rich and raise a battle cry for class
warfare ... which later backfires by widening the gap between the rich and poor, often driving
the rich out of town, along with their
companies and jobs.
How they target the average citizen, by camouflaging hidden
tax increases (such as Obamacare) and gimmicky
retirement programs that merely lock up your capital for their benefit.
How they brazenly transfer wealth from you to government
coffers, such as Europe has done in the Cyprus haircut, forcing bank depositors
to pay when banks fail ...
How they openly endorse the IMF's recent 10 percent wealth
surtax on every citizen, already in the works in Europe ... and also actively considered
behind closed doors in Washington.
How they are now moving, especially in Europe, toward
capital controls and even toward a cashless society.
Then there's all that spying going on, all that trampling of
basic rights to liberty, privacy and other
basic freedoms — all of which remain in place.
It's all part and parcel of how bankrupt empires fade away
into the sunset, and we will be no different.
The crisis is picking up steam each and every day, and
according to my models, will not peak until at
least 2020.
And all of it is already beginning to have an astounding
impact on financial markets.
The dollar, for example, remains poised for substantial new
highs. Why? Because trillions are still flooding into our markets, the last
bastions of capitalism.
Ironically, the strong dollar though will eventually prove
to be the kiss of death for our economy and our government's finances. It will
usher in even more deflation, more hoarding of wealth, and make our
government's debt burden all that more unsustainable.
Although the dollar is poised for substantial new
highs, it will ironically become the
kiss of death for our economy and our
government’s finances.
And even more
ironically, despite all the troubles the world faces, the U.S. equity markets
will remain extremely resilient
longer-term as rising civil unrest and international conflict throughout the world pours into U.S.
equity markets.
Also consider crude oil.
Think its bear market is over? No, it isn't. Instead, its recent bounce
is nearly over and a new leg down will soon begin.
Why? For a fundamental explanation, it's simple. First, the
global economy is weakening. Second, OPEC members are ramping up their war
against our newly built energy supplies by
flooding the market with their oil, looking to put U.S. shale producers
out of business.
Then there are the agricultural and soft commodities, still caught in a
severe slump, with new, much deeper lows
ahead still for wheat, corn, soybeans, for bean oil, for coffee, sugar, cocoa and more.
Then there are the precious metals, which have not yet
bottomed. But when they do bottom — in the not-too-distant-future — will be the
buys of a century …
Not because of inflation fears, but instead, because the Western world
governments of Europe, Japan and the
United States will soon begin to crumble right before our very eyes.
Right now, my best advice is to watch my weekly system
support and resistance levels, which I outline for you below:
For gold: Support lies at the $1,169 level, followed by
$1,137, $1,127 and $1,119. A closing below $1,119 should pave the way to a move
to longer-term support levels, which stand at $1,027, $997, $925, $900 and $825. Overhead
resistance is formidable at $1,205 and
$1,225.
Silver: Support
remains at $15.26, a break of which will lead to a re-test of the $14.50
level. A close below $14.50 will lead to
a new leg down to the $12.50 level. Overhead resistance is formidable at $16.50 and $16.75.
Mining shares: Headed still lower. Do NOT buy any at this
time.
Crude Oil: Resistance still at the $64 and $68 levels. Key
support levels are still at the $44.80, $41.00, and $39.00 levels. A close
below $39.00 will set off a plunge to the $30 level, where I expect crude oil
to bottom, mid-2016.
U.S. Dollar, basis the U.S. Dollar Index, nearest futures (DXU5): Resistance at 100.90 and 101.75. Support at the 94.00 and 92.42
levels. A close above 101.75 will see
the dollar rocket higher, with my target becoming the 112 area.
Dow Industrials: The danger of a correction is still there.
But, long-term, the U.S. equity markets are headed much higher.
MAJOR resistance still holding at the 18,500 to 18,600
level. Major long-term support — which will
likely be tested before there is any major new move higher — at 16,300
followed by 14,800.
Source: moneyandmarkets.com
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