How much of America do
foreigners really own? 9/27/16, Market Watch
The Commerce Department
released its latest data on foreign ownership of U.S. assets on Tuesday. And
its findings may be surprising to some.
According to the data,
the value of foreign-owned American assets climbed to $32.5 trillion in the
second quarter, while total foreign assets held by Americans reached $24.5
trillion, leaving the U.S. with an investment deficit of $8 trillion.
But though the
percentage of U.S. assets owned by foreigners has ballooned over the past few
decades, the perception that American assets are largely owned by foreign
interests is inaccurate, according to an analysis of available data by Jay
Bryson, a global economist at Wells Fargo, and Harry Pershing, an economic
analyst at the San Francisco-based bank.
To start, it helps to
explore what types of assets are owned by foreigners.
The largest category, by
far, is portfolio assets. This includes tradable securities like bonds and
stocks. They account for roughly half of the assets owned by foreigners.
Next comes foreign direct investment, the outright ownership
of a company by a foreign entity, which amounts to 20%. This is followed by
“other assets” at 16%, and derivatives at 10%. The breakdown can be seen in the
charts below:
Foreigners own about $17
trillion worth of American portfolio assets—representing shares of funds like
mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, etc. Foreign holdings of American
portfolio assets are concentrated in bonds, worth about $11 trillion. Of this,
Treasurys constitute the largest share, worth about $6.3 trillion, according to
Bryson and Pershing.
There was $77 trillion
worth of long-term securities outstanding in U.S. financial markets during
2015. Of this, foreigners owned $16.2 trillion, or 21%.
“These ownership ratios
have generally trended higher over time, but the perception that foreign
investors own the majority of U.S. securities is simply not supported by the
data,” Bryson and Pershing said.
Of all U.S. assets,
foreigners own the largest share of outstanding Treasury securities. According
to the latest available data, foreigners owned 48% of all Treasury debt.
Although it’s still high, the Wells Fargo economists note that it is down from
60% in 2008.
Foreign ownership of
other assets is far less pervasive. Foreigners currently own about 25% of
outstanding corporate bonds, 15% of American stocks and 12% of agency
securities (a category that includes mortgage-backed debt).
In terms of country of
ownership, Japan holds the largest amount of U.S. portfolio assets, followed by
China. However, China is the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasury bonds,
with about 10% of outstanding debt sitting in accounts controlled by the
Chinese government.
The three countries
rounding out the top five are the Cayman Islands, the United Kingdom, and
Luxembourg. Bryson and Pershing note that the levels for the Cayman Islands and
Luxembourg are likely inflated because custodial banks may own these assets on
behalf of investors based elsewhere. Unfortunately, this makes it difficult to
ascertain who actually owns many of these securities.
Foreign direct
investment, the outright ownership of American assets by foreigners, totaled
$6.9 trillion at the end of the second quarter, with the largest share of this
concentrated in the manufacturing sector, followed by the finance and insurance industry and the wholesale trade
industry.
The value of directly
invested capital by businesses based in Western Europe was $2.2 trillion in
2015, representing about 70% of the total. The Asia-Pacific region is a distant
second, with about 18% of the FDI total. The amount attributable to Japan
amounted to $400 billion, much larger than the $15 billion contributed by
China.
So next time you see a headline about the purchase of a U.S.
company by a foreign buyer, take it with a grain of salt. Americans still own
the vast majority of American assets.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-much-of-america-do-foreigners-really-own-2016-09-27
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