by Martin Armstrong,
8/11/18.
What people have to
understand is that the Federal Reserve is moving in the opposite direction with
respect to its monetary base. The Adjusted Monetary Base is the sum of currency
(including coin) in circulation outside Federal Reserve Banks and the U.S. Treasury,
plus deposits held by depository institutions at Federal Reserve Banks.
These data are
adjusted for the effects of changes in statutory reserve requirements on the
quantity of base money held by depositories. This peaked with the Economic
Confidence Model turn in 2015 on October 1st. The Fed has been shrinking its
balance sheet and believe it or not, there has been growing a SHORTAGE of
dollars contrary to those who keep saying the world is awash with dollars so
buy gold, cryptocurrencies, or whatever.
I have been stating
that (1) were are in a major bull market for the dollar, and (2) it is the US
economy that is supporting the world. What I mean is simply this. Everyone from
China to Europe is DEPENDENT upon trade with the USA because it is the US
consumer who is the marketplace. The balance of the world CANNOT win a trade
war with the USA. They have focused on selling to the USA rather than
developing their own domestic consumer economies.
China has shifted and
understood that important distinction and has indeed turned its focus to
developing a domestic economy. Europe has not and it is significant to
comprehend that the structure of the European Union is disastrous. They want to
PRETEND to be the federalized entity of Europe, but all 28 member states must
agree on trade. This PREVENTS Germany from accepting Trump’s proposal to
abolish all tariffs because France will not agree to an absolute free trade and
that will prevent the EU from acting in the best interest of the whole. It
requires unanimous consent.
Australia has imposed
a 10% tariff on anything purchased overseas and they expect foreign businesses
to collect their taxes. They call it a GST, but it is imposed on all products
as a protective measure they claim for local businesses. FREE TRADE is simply
not feasible politically while Trump gets all the blame.
The rest of the world
CANNOT win a currency war. So far, our computer has been spot on. We are headed
toward a monetary reset in the years ahead but to get there, we must experience
a STRONG dollar – not a WEAK dollar. The sooner these pretend analysts stop the
same rhetoric that stems from the broken Quantity Theory of Money, the sooner
we will begin to truly understand how the economy works. Turnkey is a live
example of the most vital element of all – CONFIDENCE. When that is lost, this
is what produces hyperinflation – NOT the quantity of money.
There is a SHORTAGE of US dollars on the trading desks around the world – not an excess. This is also what is behind the bid.
Norb Leahy, Dunwoody
GA Tea Party Leader
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