LA Times/USC
poll: After Milwaukee, Trump jumps 10 points among blacks, By Robert Romano
After delivering his Milwaukee
speech promoting law and order on Aug. 16,
Donald Trump has increased support among blacks by nearly 10 points — the
LA Times/USC daily tracking poll
finds.
In the speech, Trump asked for
blacks’ support — “I am asking for the vote of every African-American citizen
struggling in our country today who wants a different future” — and they
responded.
The result marked a jump from 4.8
percent support on Aug. 15 — to 14.3 percent on
Aug. 16 and 14.6 percent on Aug. 17.
That is nothing short of a political
earthquake, representing more than a million potential voters suddenly swinging in Trump’s direction. That’s huge.
Democrats got 95 percent of the vote
of blacks in 2012, 99 percent in 2008, 93 percent in 2004 and 95 percent in
2000, according
to Gallup. It is a vital constituency for
Democrats. One they simply cannot win without.
Even though he would still lose the
vast majority of those votes, if a swing that dramatic were to hold true on
Election Day, Democrats would be wiped out in a massive landslide. They would
be roadkill.
Milwaukee and the LA Times/USC poll
is a dramatic turn of events, potentially forecasting one of the most historic
shifts in electoral behavior in a generation. The Hillary Clinton campaign must
be beyond panic with these findings.
How did Trump do it? Besides Hillary
Clinton’s historically soft support from blacks, Trump’s carefully scripted,
well-timed speech said blacks were those who were suffering the most by the
riots in Milwaukee: “The main victims of these riots are law-abiding
African-American citizens living in these neighborhoods. It is their jobs,
their homes, their schools and communities which will suffer as a result.”
Trump added, promising to restore
order in the cities, “There is no compassion in tolerating lawless conduct.
Crime and violence is an attack on the poor, and will never be accepted in a
Trump Administration.”
The speech was also very pro-police.
“The problem in our poorest communities is not that there are too many police,
the problem is that there are not enough police. More law enforcement, more
community engagement, more effective policing is what our country needs.”
And pro-family. “For every one
violent protestor, there are a hundred moms and dads and kids on that same city
block who just want to be able to sleep safely at night. My opponent would
rather protect the offender than the victim.”
That was a bold message, and for a
significant segment of blacks, it struck a major chord.
10 points. That’s unbelievable. But
it happened. You can measure it. In principle, if Trump were to deftly deliver
the same message again to a wider audience, he could begin to consolidate a
growing base of supporters among blacks that did not exist three days ago.
Could he grow that base?
Because, if the result were to be
replicated in cities across America, November might not even be close. Who saw
this coming?
Apparently, after a generation of
failure in America’s inner cities, the events in Milwaukee have caused a huge
crack in the traditional Democrat coalition that has included blacks since the
Great Depression — and Trump is exploiting it by promising to restore law and
order. He blamed Democrat one-party rule in the cities on the problems facing
blacks today. And it resonated.
Hillary Clinton is more vulnerable
on law and order than anybody could have imagined among black voters who have
been left behind by generations of failed big government policies. If this
becomes a trend, it could mean be the beginning of a shift away from the
Democrat electoral coalition. Keep watching the LA Times/USC poll. This is
getting interesting.
Robert
Romano is the senior editor of Americans for Limited Government.
http://netrightdaily.com/2016/08/milwaukee-trump-jumps-10-points-among-blacks/
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