China and Russia Remain Key
Allies for Venezuela But More Financial Support Will Come at the Price of
Sharing an Increasing Control of the Country’s Oil and Gas Sector, by
Oilvoice.com, 9/18/18.
Following the recent visit of President
Nicolas Maduro to China to sign cooperation agreements and seeking more
financial support from the Chinese government,
Adrian Lara, Senior Oil and Gas Analyst at GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company, offers his view on the impact on
the upstream sector:
“Financial support to keep the Maduro
regime alive will certainly come at an increasingly high cost for Venezuela
in the form of loss of autonomy from PetrĂ³leos
de Venezuela, S.A (PDVSA) to develop, operate and export oil and gas
production from its own fields.
Chinese and Russian companies, backed by
their governments, have taken the lead as being the lenders of last resort but mainly for reasons that go beyond
a short-term business investment rationale. However, the risk exposure in
Venezuela continues to increase and Chinese and Russian governments won't give
anything for free.
“From Maduro's last visit, there is no
formal indication of additional Chinese funding but there is an increase in
equity for the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) in Petrolera
Sinovensa and more control in the management of drilling, oil services and
general procurement in the Orinoco Belt's Ayacucho-6 project.
Clearly China's government is
negotiating without necessarily offering any additional loans, or asking for
something in exchange for just re-structuring of the current Venezuelan
debt that amounts to at least US$20 billion and which Maduro's government has
real difficulty in paying.
“CNPC and Rosneft have secured
participation in assets that account for at least 15% of the total Venezuelan proved oil
reserves.”
Lara continues: “PDVSA has also recently stated they are
pursuing a joint venture with CNPC to support commercializing natural
gas. This is in line with last month's deal with Trinidad and Tobago involving
the Dragon natural gas field near the maritime border. Last year Rosneft was
awarded Mejillones and Patao gas fields which are also located offshore near
Trinidad and Tobago. All these are indeed deals with high stakes for
Venezuela's allies.”
Norb Leahy, Dunwoody
GA Tea Party Leader
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