Russia-Ukraine tensions rise
after Kerch Strait ship capture, 11/26/18, BBC.
Sunday's
naval clash - what happened?
What led to this?
'A difficult balance' - By Jonathan Marcus, defense and diplomatic correspondent - The incident in the Black Sea is a powerful reminder that the tensions between Russia and Ukraine are not part of a frozen conflict: they can flare up with very little warning.
What led to this?
'A difficult balance' - By Jonathan Marcus, defense and diplomatic correspondent - The incident in the Black Sea is a powerful reminder that the tensions between Russia and Ukraine are not part of a frozen conflict: they can flare up with very little warning.
Why is
this happening now? There have been growing tensions between the two sides
over access to
the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov. In recent months, Russia has begun
inspecting all vessels sailing to or from Ukrainian ports.
How has Ukraine reacted? The stand-off has been met with anger in Ukraine. Late on Sunday, crowds gathered outside the Russian embassy in Kiev, some throwing flares. At least one car belonging to the embassy was set alight.
What could martial law in Ukraine involve? Martial law could give the government the power to restrict public demonstrations, regulate the media, suspend elections, and oblige citizens to carry out "socially necessary" tasks such as working at a defense facility, local media report.
Why are relations so bad between Russia and Ukraine?
How has Ukraine reacted? The stand-off has been met with anger in Ukraine. Late on Sunday, crowds gathered outside the Russian embassy in Kiev, some throwing flares. At least one car belonging to the embassy was set alight.
What could martial law in Ukraine involve? Martial law could give the government the power to restrict public demonstrations, regulate the media, suspend elections, and oblige citizens to carry out "socially necessary" tasks such as working at a defense facility, local media report.
Why are relations so bad between Russia and Ukraine?
The three ships were
sailing off the coast of Crimea, which was annexed by Russia in 2014, when they
were seized.
Russia opened fire, before
its special forces stormed the vessels. Between three and six Ukrainians were
injured.
Ukraine said it was a
Russian "act of aggression". Moscow said the ships had illegally
entered its waters.
On Monday, Ukrainian
President Petro Poroshenko said he was proposing that parliament back a 30-day
martial law - half the length of that recommended by Ukraine's security and
defense council a day earlier.
In a televised address, Mr
Poroshenko said he did not want martial law to affect presidential elections
set for 31 March 2019. If backed by MPs, martial law would enter into force at
09:00 local time (07:00 GMT) on 28 November.
Sunday's clash between
Russian and Ukrainian vessels marks a major escalation of tension between the
two countries.
This is the first time the
two militaries have come into open conflict in recent years, although Ukrainian
forces have been fighting Russian-backed separatists and Russia volunteers in
the east of the country.
Kiev also says Russian
regular troops have fired on Ukrainian positions a number of times in the past. A number of Western
countries condemned Russia's actions.
In New York, the UN
Security Council met to discuss the crisis - but failed to agree a
Russian-proposed agenda amid sharp disagreements between Moscow and the West.
The Ukrainian navy said
its vessels - two gunboats and a tug - were hit and disabled on Sunday evening
as they tried to leave the area near a Russian-built bridge over the Kerch
Strait - the only access to the Sea of Azov.
It said all the crew
members - including six injured sailors - were captured by Russian special
forces. Ukrainian military chief Viktor Muzhenko said the Russian coastguard
had "fired to kill" during the confrontation.
Russia's FSB security
agency said its coastguard ships chased the Ukrainian ships and opened fire to
force them to stop.
It also said three
Ukrainian crew members were injured and were now being treated in a hospital in
Crimea. Before the clash, Russia
scrambled fighter jets and helicopters, and also blocked the bridge with a
tanker.
On Sunday morning,
Ukraine's vessels tried to sail from the Black Sea port of Odessa to Mariupol
in the Sea of Azov. Ukraine said Russia then
tried to intercept the boats, ramming the tug.
Russia accused the
Ukrainian ships of illegally entering its waters, after the FSB had temporarily
closed an area of water for shipping.
Kiev called it a flagrant
violation of international law, because the Black Sea is free for shipping, and
annexed Crimea belongs to Ukraine.
Ukraine also cited a 2003
Russia-Ukraine treaty on unimpeded access to the Kerch Strait and Sea of Azov.
It said it had informed
the Russians in advance of its plan to move its ships through the sea to Mariupol
- a claim denied by Russia. In recent weeks, two Ukrainian vessels passed
through the Kerch Straight without incident.
Nato and Ukraine's allies
in the West have strongly backed President Petro Poroshenko. But what can they do
to influence Russian behavior?
There will be talk of more
economic sanctions. But Russia is already heavily sanctioned and this has not
encouraged it to rethink its annexation of Crimea. There will be calls for
additional support for the Ukrainians; Nato countries
provide training for Kiev's military - they could presumably do more. And the Trump
administration, even before this episode, was already considering calls to sell
additional weaponry to Ukraine in addition to the Javelin anti-tank missiles
already supplied.
But there is a difficult
balance to be struck between support for Ukraine's territorial integrity on the
one hand and avoiding anything that might tip the conflict into full-scale war.
The inspections began soon
after Ukraine detained a fishing vessel from Crimea in March. Moscow says the
checks are necessary for security reasons, pointing to a potential threat to
the Kerch bridge from Ukrainian radicals.
Ukraine has accused Russia
of trying to occupy the Azov sea and damage Ukraine's economy by hindering
access to two important ports, Berdyansk and Mariupol.
President Poroshenko told
the Washington Post in September that iron
and steel products from Mariupol made up 25% of Ukraine's export revenue.
President Poroshenko
described the Russian actions as "unprovoked and crazy", and said he
would ask parliament on Monday to introduce martial law. He has now signed the
decree requesting parliament to do so. He stressed that this did not mean a
"declaration of war... Ukraine does not plan to fight anyone".
The Ukrainian defense
ministry announced that orders
had been given to put the military on full combat alert.
Ukraine's parliament is
currently discussing how to proceed with the issue. A vote is expected later on
Monday. If approved, it would be the first time Ukraine has enacted martial law
since the beginning of the Ukraine-Russia conflict in 2014.
However, politicians are
split on the issue, with some expressing concern that it could lead to the 2019
presidential and parliamentary elections being cancelled.
Some say President
Poroshenko could be a main beneficiary, as his ratings have plummeted in recent
months.
Ukraine gained
independence after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. However, Russia
considers a Western-leaning Ukraine a threat to its interests.
In 2014, Ukraine's
pro-Russian leader was overthrown, after large-scale protests against the
government's decision to abandon plans to sign an association agreement with
the EU. Russia then annexed Crimea, while Russia-backed separatists in the
eastern Donetsk and Luhansk regions moved against the Ukrainian state. Ukraine
and the West accuse Russia of sending its troops to the region and arming the
separatists. Moscow denies this but says that Russian volunteers are helping
the rebels. More than 10,000 people have been killed in the conflict in the
east.
Norb Leahy, Dunwoody
GA Tea Party Leader
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